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Saga vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 58-96
12-23 18-24 19-13 9-36
Position#15
Record18-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record22-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Ryukyu
15 Feb 2027
SAGA v RYUK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
SAGA77
RYUK102
13 Dec 2025
SAGA72
RYUK95
12 Nov 2024
SAGA67
RYUK73
11 Nov 2024
SAGA72
RYUK84
31 Jan 2024
SAGA58
RYUK96
07 Oct 2023
SAGA79
RYUK80
05 Oct 2023
SAGA63
RYUK80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 68
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 68
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 68
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 68
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 68
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 68
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 68
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 68
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 68
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 68
A28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
146.9Avg total
75.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.874.3150.2+1.555%
Season at home (17)75.773.9149.6+1.859%
Season away (16)75.974.8150.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)75.271.7146.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)75.672.6148.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.886.4157.1-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.370.8145.2+3.558%
vs Weaker (10)83.365.9149.2+17.4100%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
L
81-83
81
83
-2
72avg 72
H01/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
57-68
57
68
-11
42avg 72
A06/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 72
A07/01
B League
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
63-67
63
67
-4
57avg 72
A10/01
EASL
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
57avg 72
A17/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
60avg 72
H20/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 72
H21/01
B League
New Taipei Kings
#5
W
90-67
90
67
+23
86avg 72
H24/01
EASL
Kyoto
#21
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 72
H27/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
no box
H28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-23
19-24
23-16
13-14
15-26
16-9
13-19
22-15
20-16
30-18
16-16
15-18
14-19
18-15
16-15
21-22
7-17
18-18
29-20
17-17
11-18
20-13
20-18
15-23
22-17
18-17
13-17
18-19
17-21
29-14
26-13
16-27
19-21
24-19
26-27
21-17
19-16
20-18
11-20
150.3Avg total
76.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.676.5156.2+3.167%
Season at home (16)79.676.2155.8+3.469%
Season away (17)79.676.9156.5+2.765%
Last 10 (10)76.174.2150.3+1.940%
Last 5 (5)79.476.4155.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.070.0138.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.377.2154.5+0.160%
vs Weaker (18)82.075.9157.9+6.161%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
SagaRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
76.3Avg total
39.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.276.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.336.976.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.837.477.2+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.476.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.477.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.645.180.8-9.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.634.372.9+4.267%-
vs Weaker (10)43.834.378.1+9.590%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/01
B League
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/01
EASL
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H20/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
B League
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/01
EASL
Kyoto
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H28/01
B League
72.7Avg total
34.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.9-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.537.976.4+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.475.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.672.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.274.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.537.570.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.739.274.9-3.540%-
vs Weaker (18)39.437.677.1+1.844%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.2
50.0%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.0
40.3%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.0
60.2%
72.0%10.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.3
49.9%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
72.0%13.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWWWWLLW
Ryukyu
WLWLWLLWLL
#15
League position
#5
+4.9
Net rating
+1.7
105.1
Offensive rating
105.6
100.2
Defensive rating
103.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.3%
3-point %
29.8%
65.4%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 105.6Defence100.2 · 103.9Shooting54.4% · 47.8%3-point %40.3% · 29.8%Ball care15.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds18.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
2
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HKyoto86-81 OT
27/01/24HKyoto85-94
24/01/24HNew Taipei Kings90-67
21/01/24HUtsunomiya Brex68-74
20/01/24HUtsunomiya Brex68-66
17/01/24ADiamond Dolphins75-77
10/01/24ANew Taipei Kings63-67
07/01/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles88-65
06/01/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles57-68
01/01/24HSendai81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLLWW59%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%59%50%
Points / game75.875.775.9
Allowed / game74.373.974.8
Point differential+1.5+1.8+1.1
Avg total150.2149.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%24%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeLWLLW69%
AwayLWLWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%69%65%
Points / game79.679.679.6
Allowed / game76.576.276.9
Point differential+3.1+3.4+2.7
Avg total156.2155.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%19%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)75% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3329488%82.066.8+15.2
2 NeoPhoenix3329488%90.877.0+13.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3326779%78.268.3+9.9
4 SeaHorses Mikawa33221167%83.077.0+6.0
5 Ryukyu33221167%79.676.5+3.1
6 Shimane33211264%85.077.8+7.2
7 Chiba33201361%85.882.9+2.8
8 Diamond Dolphins33201361%81.479.0+2.3
9 Brave Thunders33191458%79.977.2+2.7
10 Hiroshima D.33181555%78.873.2+5.5
11 Saga33181555%75.874.3+1.5
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya33181555%77.375.8+1.4
13 Akita33161748%73.174.7-1.6
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles33151845%71.474.5-3.2
15 Gunma33151845%77.881.8-4.0
16 Sendai33141942%79.380.5-1.2
17 Nagasaki33141942%81.183.9-2.8
18 Yokohama33141942%76.882.7-6.0
19 Osaka33132039%77.882.3-4.5
20 Hokkaido33102330%74.779.9-5.2
21 Kyoto33102330%78.184.4-6.3
22 Shinshu3362718%71.384.2-12.8
23 Toyama3342912%74.285.3-11.2
24 Ibaraki Robots333309%73.986.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga121819958
Ryukyu2324133696
← all games of the day
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