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Saga vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 77-102
17-25 22-19 19-30 19-28
Position#12
Record9-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game75.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Ryukyu
15 Feb 2027
SAGA v RYUK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
SAGA77
RYUK102
13 Dec 2025
SAGA72
RYUK95
12 Nov 2024
SAGA67
RYUK73
11 Nov 2024
SAGA72
RYUK84
31 Jan 2024
SAGA58
RYUK96
07 Oct 2023
SAGA79
RYUK80
05 Oct 2023
SAGA63
RYUK80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 72
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 72
H08/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
81-83
81
83
-2
75avg 72
H09/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 72
A12/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 72
A15/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-94
73
94
-21
65avg 72
A16/11
B League
Alvark
#8
W
91-64
91
64
+27
78avg 72
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 72
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 72
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
60avg 72
H13/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
17-25
24-15
16-16
17-24
17-28
26-13
27-17
20-16
19-27
23-20
19-20
25-24
27-22
17-29
24-20
22-20
19-15
20-19
25-16
18-23
11-30
18-14
26-27
20-19
15-16
25-12
31-17
23-19
18-27
18-23
31-8
13-20
25-14
12-17
17-27
25-28
12-29
15-22
20-16
163.8Avg total
81.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.083.5164.5-2.541%
Season at home (12)81.781.9163.6-0.250%
Season away (10)80.285.5165.7-5.330%
Last 10 (10)81.782.1163.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)78.681.6160.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.482.5153.8-11.19%
vs Similar (12)88.282.2170.5+6.067%
vs Weaker (7)82.781.9164.6+0.957%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
91-81
91
81
+10
79avg 79
H05/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 79
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 79
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
87avg 79
A12/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 79
H15/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 79
H16/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 79
A06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 79
A07/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
60-73
60
73
-13
43avg 79
H10/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 79
A13/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-24
18-21
25-17
23-17
25-17
21-16
23-19
23-29
19-18
23-22
16-14
23-26
24-16
24-18
11-22
22-26
29-20
18-15
22-15
27-22
25-14
21-16
12-19
20-19
23-20
15-19
23-14
20-15
27-23
18-15
9-15
15-22
12-21
23-13
10-17
28-25
29-12
22-15
16-20
159.4Avg total
84.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.975.3158.2+7.568%
Season at home (10)81.077.1158.1+3.960%
Season away (12)84.473.8158.2+10.675%
Last 10 (10)84.375.1159.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)79.071.2150.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
vs Similar (11)79.580.0159.5-0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.374.0158.3+10.378%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
SagaRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H05/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H08/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A12/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A16/11
B League
Alvark
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H13/12
B League
83.6Avg total
38.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.143.885.9-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.982.6-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.383.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.081.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.441.580.8-2.145%-
vs Similar (12)42.343.685.9-1.233%-
vs Weaker (7)41.346.087.3-4.743%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H05/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A12/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A07/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A13/12
B League
86.7Avg total
46.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.380.7+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.537.780.3+4.873%-
Last 30 away (19)42.338.680.9+3.763%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.586.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.938.578.4+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.837.681.4+6.272%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.1
55.2%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.312.1
79.1%
73.1%12.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.0
52.1%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
73.1%13.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLWLLWL
Ryukyu
WLWWWWWLWW
#12
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+12.3
109.7
Offensive rating
116.2
108.9
Defensive rating
103.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
42.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.6%
3-point %
34.0%
73.9%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 116.2Defence108.9 · 103.9Shooting53.8% · 51.6%3-point %34.6% · 34.0%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 42.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
9
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Saga v Ryukyu72-95
04/05/25Ryukyu v Saga85-76
03/05/25Ryukyu v Saga87-71
12/11/24Saga v Ryukyu67-73
11/11/24Saga v Ryukyu72-84
17/04/24Ryukyu v Saga101-97 OT
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HRyukyu72-95
10/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa67-78
07/12/25HAlvark90-77
06/12/25HAlvark91-64
16/11/25ASun Rockers Shibuya73-94
15/11/25ASun Rockers Shibuya86-70
12/11/25AHokkaido93-95
09/11/25HOsaka81-83
08/11/25HOsaka87-82
05/11/25HShiga77-83
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ASaga95-72
10/12/25HDiamond Dolphins60-73
07/12/25AHiroshima D.74-68
06/12/25AHiroshima D.81-72
16/11/25HKyoto85-71
15/11/25HKyoto91-76
12/11/25AOsaka93-86 OT
09/11/25ANeoPhoenix81-83
08/11/25ANeoPhoenix92-69
05/11/25HToyama91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%50%30%
Points / game81.081.780.2
Allowed / game83.581.985.5
Point differential-2.5-0.2-5.3
Avg total164.5163.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ryukyu
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %68%60%75%
Points / game82.981.084.4
Allowed / game75.377.173.8
Point differential+7.5+3.9+10.6
Avg total158.2158.1158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%40%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2220291%94.076.0+18.0
2 Diamond Dolphins2320387%83.570.2+13.3
3 Chiba2218482%83.174.8+8.4
4 Utsunomiya Brex2218482%84.877.0+7.7
5 Hokkaido2218482%89.083.4+5.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2216673%85.278.3+6.9
7 Gunma2215768%83.775.2+8.5
8 Ryukyu2215768%82.975.3+7.5
9 Hiroshima D.22121055%84.882.0+2.7
10 Shimane22121055%83.681.0+2.6
11 Alvark22121055%76.978.6-1.7
12 Sendai22111150%78.179.4-1.3
13 NeoPhoenix2291341%81.881.9-0.1
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2291341%79.380.9-1.6
15 Osaka2291341%82.685.1-2.5
16 Saga2291341%81.083.5-2.5
17 Yokohama2291341%79.182.3-3.2
18 Shiga2291341%81.285.5-4.3
19 Koshigaya Alphas2291341%72.477.7-5.4
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya2281436%77.382.3-5.0
21 Altiri Chiba2271532%80.484.0-3.6
22 Kyoto2261627%71.879.1-7.3
23 Toyama2261627%83.092.2-9.2
24 Brave Thunders2241818%74.684.5-10.0
25 Akita2231914%69.284.1-15.0
26 Ibaraki Robots2332013%73.482.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1722191977
Ryukyu25193028102
← all games of the day
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