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Saga vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 09:40
Final 67-73
20-18 12-19 14-21 21-15
Position#18
Record6-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game78.2
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Ryukyu
15 Feb 2027
SAGA v RYUK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
SAGA77
RYUK102
13 Dec 2025
SAGA72
RYUK95
12 Nov 2024
SAGA67
RYUK73
11 Nov 2024
SAGA72
RYUK84
31 Jan 2024
SAGA58
RYUK96
07 Oct 2023
SAGA79
RYUK80
05 Oct 2023
SAGA63
RYUK80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 69
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
62avg 69
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 69
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 69
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
71avg 69
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 69
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 69
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 69
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 69
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 69
H11/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
20-17
23-4
12-17
15-23
16-25
17-16
14-18
25-15
18-18
16-25
23-17
17-19
21-27
15-11
17-21
21-20
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
152.8Avg total
76.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.874.4149.2+0.446%
Season at home (4)77.879.8157.5-2.025%
Season away (9)73.472.0145.4+1.456%
Last 10 (10)76.676.2152.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)77.277.6154.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.079.9150.9-8.910%
vs Similar (12)76.374.3150.7+2.050%
vs Weaker (8)79.970.1150.0+9.875%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 75
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#24
W
108-72
108
72
+36
106avg 75
A20/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
61-98
61
98
-37
54avg 75
A23/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
100-82
100
82
+18
90avg 75
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
84avg 75
H27/10
B League
Macau Black Bears
#5
W
96-93
96
93
+3
86avg 75
A30/10
EASL
Osaka
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 75
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 75
A03/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 75
H06/11
B League
Saga
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 75
A11/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
17-16
20-17
26-25
24-23
21-19
32-14
31-16
17-23
14-18
6-31
24-26
24-20
27-18
24-17
25-27
23-14
17-18
20-22
28-14
25-28
23-25
24-20
24-20
25-28
18-16
37-16
16-19
29-18
20-20
20-22
26-24
29-23
18-16
14-11
23-28
22-20
24-14
18-24
20-14
170.8Avg total
89.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.178.2166.2+9.977%
Season at home (5)89.279.6168.8+9.680%
Season away (8)87.477.2164.6+10.175%
Last 10 (10)89.381.5170.8+7.880%
Last 5 (5)91.081.2172.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.370.0139.3-0.767%
vs Similar (14)76.077.1153.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.777.2165.9+11.577%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
SagaRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
77.2Avg total
37.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.975.2-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.937.573.5-1.645%-
Last 30 away (19)38.238.176.3+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.677.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.477.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)37.336.273.6+1.150%-
vs Weaker (8)39.836.576.2+3.288%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A20/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H27/10
B League
Macau Black Bears
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A30/10
EASL
Osaka
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A03/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H06/11
B League
Saga
#18
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/11
B League
84.3Avg total
43.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.279.4+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.737.281.9+7.586%-
Last 30 away (16)38.239.177.2-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.884.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.688.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.039.371.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (14)40.037.977.9+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.738.282.9+6.577%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.8
36.4%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
72.7%13.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.4
54.4%
51.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.5%
72.7%16.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLWLLLLWW
Ryukyu
WWWWWWWLWL
#18
League position
#3
+0.6
Net rating
+13.2
106.4
Offensive rating
118.4
105.8
Defensive rating
105.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
33.3%
69.1%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 118.4Defence105.8 · 105.3Shooting51.9% · 52.8%3-point %36.4% · 33.3%Ball care16.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 39.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
5
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Saga v Ryukyu72-84
17/04/24Ryukyu v Saga101-97 OT
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
27/10/24AAlvark66-79
26/10/24AAlvark74-79
23/10/24HChiba74-79
20/10/24AAkita72-74
19/10/24AAkita70-61
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24ASaga84-72
06/11/24HKyoto84-78
03/11/24AOsaka95-84
02/11/24AOsaka96-79
30/10/24AMacau Black Bears96-93
27/10/24HHiroshima D.88-68
26/10/24HHiroshima D.100-82
23/10/24AShimane61-98
20/10/24AShiga108-72
19/10/24AShiga81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %46%25%56%
Points / game74.877.873.4
Allowed / game74.479.872.0
Point differential+0.4-2.0+1.4
Avg total149.2157.5145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ryukyu
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %77%80%75%
Points / game88.189.287.4
Allowed / game78.279.677.2
Point differential+9.9+9.6+10.1
Avg total166.2168.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%40%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix1412286%92.278.1+14.1
2 Chiba1412286%83.672.8+10.9
3 Alvark1412286%79.370.7+8.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex1412286%82.175.2+6.9
5 Shimane1411379%82.970.3+12.6
6 Ryukyu1310377%88.178.2+9.9
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya149564%77.668.9+8.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa149564%78.574.9+3.6
9 Gunma148657%79.472.9+6.4
10 Osaka147750%84.382.1+2.2
11 Kyoto147750%78.978.6+0.3
12 Akita147750%73.975.0-1.1
13 Saga136746%74.874.4+0.4
14 Diamond Dolphins146843%81.182.3-1.2
15 Nagasaki146843%70.171.9-1.7
16 Yokohama146843%74.977.0-2.1
17 Hokkaido145936%73.280.3-7.1
18 Sendai1441029%74.379.2-4.9
19 Brave Thunders1441029%76.284.4-8.1
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1441029%71.480.2-8.8
21 Hiroshima D.1431121%73.284.0-10.8
22 Koshigaya Alphas1431121%69.981.6-11.7
23 Ibaraki Robots1431121%74.086.0-12.0
24 Shiga141137%73.087.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2012142167
Ryukyu1819211573
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