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Saint Josephs Hawks vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-74
38-36 43-38
Position#75
Record11-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game73.0
Saint Josephs Hawks 🏆
USA
vs
Dayton
USA
Position#65
Record14-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saint Josephs Hawks v Dayton
24 Jan 2026
SAIN81
DAYT74
06 Feb 2024
SAIN79
DAYT94
19 Feb 2022
SAIN62
DAYT74
24 Feb 2021
SAIN97
DAYT84
05 Jan 2020
SAIN67
DAYT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saint Josephs Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saint Josephs HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H19/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H23/12
NCAA
Arcadia
#424
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H28/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A31/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A11/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
33-37
33-18
34-33
27-32
35-36
44-29
43-36
40-49
39-53
29-20
27-42
40-34
43-49
45-33
22-32
35-28
33-36
29-34
43-45
143.5Avg total
71.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.473.0147.4+1.458%
Season at home (11)76.865.9142.7+10.982%
Season away (8)71.182.8153.9-11.625%
Last 10 (10)71.871.7143.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)72.072.0144.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.590.5166.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.572.7144.2-1.253%
vs Weaker (8)77.067.4144.4+9.688%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
40-49
46-23
38-38
42-31
55-38
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
31-39
39-29
30-35
49-37
33-24
38-41
31-30
47-21
29-40
35-27
139.9Avg total
74.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.868.1144.9+8.874%
Season at home (13)80.266.3146.5+13.985%
Season away (6)69.571.8141.3-2.350%
Last 10 (10)74.065.9139.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)72.464.6137.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.878.6152.4-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.871.6147.4+4.264%
vs Weaker (10)79.364.3143.6+15.090%
This opponent (Saint Josephs Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +5.5+5.5
Saint Josephs HawksDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Saint Josephs HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H19/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Arcadia
#424
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H28/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H15/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.2Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.969.3+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.129.066.1+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)35.737.373.0-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.166.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.865.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.576.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.833.568.3+1.253%-
vs Weaker (8)38.030.568.5+7.575%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.268.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.031.968.9+5.168%-
Last 30 away (11)33.235.368.5-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.265.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.664.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.732.666.4+1.157%-
vs Weaker (10)38.832.671.4+6.260%-
This opponent (Saint Josephs Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saint Josephs Hawks wins
6
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Dayton v Saint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
25/01/25Dayton v Saint Josephs Hawks77-72
07/02/24Saint Josephs Hawks v Dayton79-94
09/03/23Dayton v Saint Josephs Hawks60-54
05/01/23Dayton v Saint Josephs Hawks76-56
19/02/22Saint Josephs Hawks v Dayton62-74
24/02/21Saint Josephs Hawks v Dayton97-84
05/01/20Saint Josephs Hawks v Dayton67-80
Saint Josephs Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26AVCU Rams72-79
15/01/26HSt. Bonaventure68-64
11/01/26ARichmond Spiders67-65
08/01/26HDuquesne97-90 OT
03/01/26HDavidson56-62
31/12/25ASt. Louis Billikens79-102
28/12/25HArcadia87-65
23/12/25HCoastal Carolina62-68
19/12/25HDelaware State67-51
12/12/25ASyracuse63-71
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26ALa Salle64-67
17/01/26HLoyola Chicago78-51
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72
03/01/26ALoyola Chicago70-68
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
17/12/25HFlorida State97-69
14/12/25HNorth Florida84-61
06/12/25AVirginia73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saint Josephs Hawks
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%82%25%
Points / game74.476.871.1
Allowed / game73.065.982.8
Point differential+1.4+10.9-11.6
Avg total147.4142.7153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%85%50%
Points / game76.880.269.5
Allowed / game68.166.371.8
Point differential+8.8+13.9-2.3
Avg total144.9146.5141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens2019195%91.566.8+24.6
2 George Mason1918195%78.367.0+11.3
3 Dayton1914574%76.868.1+8.8
4 VCU Rams1913668%84.973.9+10.9
5 Davidson1812667%72.769.4+3.3
6 Richmond Spiders2013765%80.272.4+7.8
7 George Washington1912763%85.872.9+12.9
8 St. Bonaventure2012860%77.173.9+3.2
9 Rhode Island1911858%72.167.0+5.1
10 Saint Josephs Hawks1911858%74.473.0+1.4
11 Duquesne1910953%84.177.9+6.2
12 Fordham20101050%71.765.3+6.3
13 La Salle2071335%67.072.8-5.7
14 Loyola Chicago2051525%67.877.5-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Saint Josephs Hawks384381
Dayton363874
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