Sakalai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 15:10

Final 97-98 (OT)

17-16 20-22 24-16 22-29 14-15

Position#11

Record5-16

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game82.1

Sakalai

Neptunas 🏆

Position#6

Record9-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game83.5

LKL

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Sakalai v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sakalai winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sakalai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

65-106

106

-41

A29/12

LKL

KK Baltai

71-78

-7

A08/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

71-97

-26

A28/01

LKL

Juventus

85-70

+15

H03/02

LKL

Skycop

70-80

-10

A04/02

LKL

Nevezis

78-86

-8

H28/02

LKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#10

82-90

-8

A16/03

LKL

Siauliai

70-84

-14

A30/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

#12

94-74

+20

H31/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

66-84

-18

A10/04

LKL

27-26

12-34

15-27

11-19

25-21

14-21

12-17

20-19

16-27

22-29

20-25

13-16

28-23

15-20

24-15

18-12

8-19

27-25

23-23

12-13

10-21

24-15

23-22

21-28

26-16

20-25

20-26

16-23

19-20

14-18

21-19

16-27

25-19

22-22

21-14

26-19

13-17

15-28

20-14

18-25

160.1Avg total

75.2Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	73.5	82.1	155.7	-8.6	24%
Season at home (10)	70.0	77.9	147.9	-7.9	20%
Season away (11)	76.7	86.0	162.7	-9.3	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	84.9	160.1	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.6	161.6	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	68.9	85.4	154.3	-16.5	0%
vs Similar (10)	78.6	78.6	157.2	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

77-79

-2

H03/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

67-90

-23

H05/02

LKL

Rytas

85-91

-6

H10/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

84-85

-1

A26/02

LKL

Nevezis

91-93

-2

H02/03

LKL

Skycop

79-94

-15

A16/03

LKL

Juventus

88-69

+19

H24/03

LKL

Nevezis

81-79

A30/03

LKL

KK Baltai

85-59

+26

H31/03

LKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#10

109-101

109

101

H10/04

LKL

16-16

16-22

20-22

25-19

20-19

21-26

18-20

8-25

22-24

19-22

18-22

26-23

17-30

24-18

25-12

18-25

25-18

29-28

22-16

15-31

24-25

16-29

25-11

14-29

25-19

28-18

20-17

15-15

26-20

28-19

13-24

14-16

18-13

17-14

24-20

26-12

28-22

25-18

22-39

34-22

168.6Avg total

84.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.8	83.5	166.3	-0.8	43%
Season at home (11)	86.1	82.1	168.2	+4.0	55%
Season away (10)	79.1	85.1	164.2	-6.0	30%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	84.0	168.6	+0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	80.4	168.8	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.7	87.2	163.8	-10.5	17%
vs Similar (6)	81.3	83.3	164.7	-2.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	87.8	81.2	169.0	+6.6	67%

This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SakalaiNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	9%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	24.7	45.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.8	19.6	41.3	+2.2	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.1	24.4	44.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	23.9	41.8	-6.0	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	17.3	38.6	+3.9	89%	-

SakalaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

39-60

-21

A29/12

LKL

KK Baltai

39-42

-3

A08/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

38-56

-18

A28/01

LKL

Juventus

43-43

H03/02

LKL

Skycop

35-44

-9

A04/02

LKL

Nevezis

34-36

-2

H28/02

LKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#10

46-41

A16/03

LKL

Siauliai

33-38

-5

A30/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

#12

47-41

H31/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

28-45

-17

A10/04

LKL

82.8Avg total

38.2Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	37.0	42.4	79.4	-5.4	29%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	35.3	39.5	74.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.5	45.0	83.5	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	44.6	82.8	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.9	46.3	81.2	-11.4	9%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.3	38.1	77.4	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

32-38

-6

H03/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-45

-4

H05/02

LKL

Rytas

41-46

-5

H10/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-48

-7

A26/02

LKL

Nevezis

54-46

H02/03

LKL

Skycop

40-54

-14

A16/03

LKL

Juventus

53-37

+16

H24/03

LKL

Nevezis

54-39

+15

A30/03

LKL

KK Baltai

35-27

H31/03

LKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#10

53-40

+13

H10/04

LKL

86.4Avg total

44.4Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	41.4	40.5	81.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.7	40.0	84.7	+4.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.4	86.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.8	46.0	84.8	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.0	36.9	79.9	+6.1	67%	-

This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.0	19.2	37.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	20.2	39.6	-0.7	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.7	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.7	20.7	41.4	-0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	17.7	39.3	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.0	20.2	38.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.4	19.7	36.1	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.3	21.5	42.7	-0.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.5	21.1	38.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	23.5	39.7	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	35.9	39.4	75.3	-3.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	34.7	38.4	73.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.0	40.3	77.3	-3.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	40.3	77.3	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.4	83.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.0	39.1	73.1	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.0	39.7	77.7	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	41.4	42.1	83.5	-0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.8	41.9	80.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.8	41.2	79.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	43.0	82.7	-3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.0	41.9	83.9	+0.1	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sakalai wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/11	Neptunas v Sakalai	96-95

Sakalailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/12	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	66-84
31/03/12	H	Lietkabelis	94-74
30/03/12	A	Siauliai	70-84
16/03/12	A	BC Olimpas Palanga	82-90
28/02/12	H	Nevezis	78-86
04/02/12	A	Skycop	70-80
03/02/12	H	Juventus	85-70
28/01/12	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-97
08/01/12	A	KK Baltai	71-78
29/12/11	A	Rytas	65-106

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/12	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	109-101
31/03/12	H	KK Baltai	85-59
30/03/12	A	Nevezis	81-79
24/03/12	H	Juventus	88-69
16/03/12	A	Skycop	79-94
02/03/12	H	Nevezis	91-93
26/02/12	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	84-85
10/02/12	H	Rytas	85-91
05/02/12	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	67-90
03/02/12	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sakalai

LKL 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	24%
Home	LLWLW	20%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	24%	20%	27%
Points / game	73.5	70.0	76.7
Allowed / game	82.1	77.9	86.0
Point differential	-8.6	-7.9	-9.3
Avg total	155.7	147.9	162.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Neptunas

LKL 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	43%
Home	LLWWW	55%
Away	WLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	43%	55%	30%
Points / game	82.8	86.1	79.1
Allowed / game	83.5	82.1	85.1
Point differential	-0.8	+4.0	-6.0
Avg total	166.3	168.2	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	25% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	21	20	1	95%	86.4	71.0	+15.4
2	Rytas	22	18	4	82%	88.0	67.9	+20.2
3	Skycop	21	15	6	71%	83.1	76.3	+6.8
4	Siauliai	21	15	6	71%	84.2	79.9	+4.3
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	20	12	8	60%	73.1	72.0	+1.1
6	Neptunas	21	9	12	43%	82.8	83.5	-0.8
7	KK Baltai	21	9	12	43%	73.6	78.4	-4.8
8	Nevezis	21	8	13	38%	74.9	80.8	-5.9
9	Juventus	21	6	15	29%	73.6	82.4	-8.9
10	Lietkabelis	21	5	16	24%	73.4	81.5	-8.1
11	Sakalai	21	5	16	24%	73.5	82.1	-8.6
12	BC Olimpas Palanga	21	4	17	19%	73.0	84.8	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sakalai	17	20	24	22	14	97
Neptunas	16	22	16	29	15	98

← all games of the day

Sakalai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature