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Sam Houston St. vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 75-68
44-24 31-44
Position#20
Record11-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game56.4
vs
Position#183
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Tarleton
07 Jan 2023
SAM 75
TARL68
03 Mar 2022
SAM 69
TARL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
80-49
80
49
+31
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
111-58
111
58
+53
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A15/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
107-26
107
26
+81
H20/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-19
47-30
28-29
32-49
67-31
44-27
20-32
31-33
31-26
48-27
39-34
30-28
55-10
52-16
25-38
39-42
38-25
37-37
31-23
26-34
136.9Avg total
76.4Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.256.4134.6+21.873%
Season at home (5)98.047.4145.4+50.680%
Season away (10)68.360.9129.2+7.470%
Last 10 (10)76.460.5136.9+15.960%
Last 5 (5)76.660.4137.0+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.066.2126.2-6.250%
vs Similar (7)63.156.3119.4+6.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)76.756.3133.0+20.579%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
39-39
35-28
40-37
49-23
49-32
30-39
27-41
27-30
22-45
38-37
29-44
52-24
62-32
31-16
39-47
28-29
35-40
36-35
32-30
142.4Avg total
73.2Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.967.3141.2+6.753%
Season at home (7)83.460.6144.0+22.986%
Season away (8)65.673.1138.8-7.525%
Last 10 (10)73.269.2142.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)76.466.8143.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.473.5136.9-10.110%
vs Similar (7)65.173.6138.7-8.429%
vs Weaker (12)75.059.5134.5+15.592%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
Sam Houston St.Tarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
55-10
55
10
+45
H20/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H06/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
36.7Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.125.859.9+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.521.459.9+17.292%-
Last 30 away (17)30.729.259.9+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)36.726.763.4+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.063.6+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.031.060.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (7)31.624.956.4+6.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)36.125.161.2+11.179%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.463.9+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.364.4+5.953%-
Last 30 away (15)31.931.563.4+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.830.566.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.028.265.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.334.863.1-6.50%-
vs Similar (7)32.334.366.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker (12)37.325.062.3+12.392%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22Sam Houston St. v Tarleton69-50
07/01/22Tarleton v Sam Houston St.75-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HGrand Canyon68-72 OT
31/12/22ANew Mexico State75-62
30/12/22AUtah Valley State64-80
20/12/22HArlington Baptist Patriots107-26
17/12/22ATexas State69-62
15/12/22ALouisiana Monroe79-53
07/12/22AOklahoma State51-65
03/12/22HDallas Christian111-58
29/11/22ANevada60-78
23/11/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes80-49
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HSouthern Utah68-65
31/12/22AAbilene Christian63-69
30/12/22HUT Arlington70-63
22/12/22HHuston Tillotson114-56
18/12/22AAir Force67-81
11/12/22AUCF Knights49-75
07/12/22ABaylor57-80
03/12/22HWiley98-55
30/11/22HWeber State75-65
26/11/22AWichita State71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %73%80%70%
Points / game78.298.068.3
Allowed / game56.447.460.9
Point differential+21.8+50.6+7.4
Avg total134.6145.4129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%20%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%86%25%
Points / game73.983.465.6
Allowed / game67.360.673.1
Point differential+6.7+22.9-7.5
Avg total141.2144.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1612475%76.158.6+17.6
2 Sam Houston St.1511473%78.256.4+21.8
3 Louisiana Tech1610662%77.268.4+8.8
4 Kennesaw State1610662%73.768.1+5.6
5 Western Kentucky159660%74.167.4+6.7
6 Middle Tenn. St.159660%71.266.3+4.9
7 Delaware169756%70.271.0-0.8
8 UTEP158753%69.566.7+2.7
9 Missouri State168850%66.362.1+4.2
10 Florida International147750%72.674.4-1.8
11 New Mexico State157847%76.167.9+8.2
12 Jacksonville State167944%69.971.2-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1612475%76.967.1+9.8
2 Abilene Christian159660%77.064.9+12.1
3 Southern Utah159660%85.975.3+10.6
4 Utah Tech169756%75.970.0+5.9
5 California Baptist169756%66.963.8+3.2
6 Tarleton158753%73.967.3+6.7
7 UT Arlington1751229%66.165.2+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.443175
Tarleton244468
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