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Texas State vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 62-69
34-39 28-30
Position#236
Record6-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#20
Record8-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game54.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
28-32
35-26
35-40
27-31
29-30
25-22
34-33
34-26
44-39
29-28
36-44
28-23
37-32
30-40
41-43
33-24
38-41
24-36
41-35
131.7Avg total
67.1Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.566.3132.8+0.355%
Season at home (4)71.268.0139.2+3.250%
Season away (7)63.965.3129.1-1.457%
Last 10 (10)67.164.6131.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)67.469.2136.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.372.3135.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)66.068.7134.7-2.767%
vs Weaker (15)68.160.2128.3+7.973%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A08/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#681
W
120-33
120
33
+87
H11/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#591
W
84-48
84
48
+36
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A18/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
80-49
80
49
+31
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
111-58
111
58
+53
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
19-26
33-25
49-17
71-16
45-16
39-32
27-23
38-32
41-22
47-32
33-19
47-30
28-29
32-49
67-31
44-27
20-32
31-33
31-26
48-27
133.4Avg total
79.0Scored
54.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.054.4133.4+24.680%
Season at home (3)105.046.3151.3+58.7100%
Season away (7)67.957.9125.7+10.071%
Last 10 (10)79.054.4133.4+24.680%
Last 5 (5)76.260.6136.8+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.065.6126.6-4.660%
vs Similar (7)63.156.3119.4+6.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.357.8134.1+18.583%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +12.7+12.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +12.7+12.7
Texas StateSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H14/12
NCAA
58.5Avg total
30.8Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.729.761.4+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.729.663.3+4.150%-
Last 30 away (16)29.929.859.7+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)30.827.758.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.259.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.333.061.3-4.767%-
vs Similar (9)30.829.960.7+0.944%-
vs Weaker (15)32.928.961.8+4.160%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
L
19-26
19
26
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#681
W
49-17
49
17
+32
H11/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#591
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H03/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/12
NCAA
60.1Avg total
36.0Scored
24.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.626.860.4+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.323.861.2+13.585%-
Last 30 away (17)30.729.159.8+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)36.024.160.1+11.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.827.463.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.430.661.0-0.260%-
vs Similar (7)31.624.956.4+6.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.226.661.8+8.772%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22HHardin-Baylor65-71
11/12/22AUT Arlington71-65
04/12/22HRice71-83
02/12/22ALamar65-55
27/11/22AHawaii65-72
26/11/22HSouthern Utah78-65
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/22ALouisiana Monroe79-53
07/12/22AOklahoma State51-65
03/12/22HDallas Christian111-58
29/11/22ANevada60-78
23/11/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes80-49
22/11/22ANorthern Illinois88-54
18/11/22AUtah Utes65-55
15/11/22HLe Tourneau84-48
11/11/22HSouthwest Adventist120-33
08/11/22AOklahoma52-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game66.571.263.9
Allowed / game66.368.065.3
Point differential+0.3+3.2-1.4
Avg total132.8139.2129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %80%100%71%
Points / game79.0105.067.9
Allowed / game54.446.357.9
Point differential+24.6+58.7+10.0
Avg total133.4151.3125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1110191%79.958.9+21.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette1110191%84.569.7+14.7
3 Marshall119282%80.767.7+13.0
4 James Madison118373%90.561.8+28.7
5 Troy128467%79.565.2+14.2
6 Old Dominion117464%67.664.0+3.6
7 Coastal Carolina106460%79.665.4+14.2
8 Appalachian State116555%77.866.5+11.3
9 Georgia Southern116555%70.565.1+5.5
10 Arkansas State116555%67.963.3+4.6
11 Texas State116555%66.566.3+0.3
12 Georgia State105550%66.564.3+2.2
13 South Alabama104640%71.369.8+1.5
14 Louisiana Monroe113827%72.372.3+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.108280%79.054.4+24.6
2 Western Kentucky108280%77.566.6+10.9
3 UTEP96367%73.769.6+4.1
4 Liberty117464%75.762.6+13.1
5 Kennesaw State117464%73.866.8+7.0
6 Middle Tenn. St.117464%71.064.6+6.4
7 Delaware117464%72.269.8+2.4
8 Louisiana Tech106460%76.870.6+6.2
9 New Mexico State95456%77.965.9+12.0
10 Jacksonville State116555%75.072.1+2.9
11 Florida International104640%74.977.1-2.2
12 Missouri State114736%64.162.1+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State342862
Sam Houston St.393069
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