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Samara vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 79-71
17-17 21-18 25-13 16-23
Position#7
Record14-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.1
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#14
Record0-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game89.8
RussiaVTB United League· Palace of Sport
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Samara v Minsk
10 Feb 2024
SAM79
MIN71
16 Dec 2023
SAM79
MIN68
03 Mar 2023
SAM90
MIN56
19 Jan 2023
SAM78
MIN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H27/12
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H07/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H10/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A14/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
47-70
47
70
-23
H17/01
Russian Cup
Saratov
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A20/01
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H24/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A28/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A04/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
55-109
55
109
-54
A07/02
Russian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
18-20
25-9
24-18
29-22
18-18
16-23
19-29
15-14
22-16
12-20
19-14
29-17
11-18
19-16
20-22
9-14
12-27
5-16
21-13
18-20
15-16
18-12
28-16
13-24
20-22
17-16
16-16
18-24
24-28
18-16
16-23
17-20
18-24
20-10
22-14
11-25
21-30
10-26
13-28
148.4Avg total
71.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.380.1158.4-1.854%
Season at home (13)81.178.7159.8+2.462%
Season away (13)75.581.5157.0-5.946%
Last 10 (10)71.077.4148.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)70.682.0152.6-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.785.8158.4-13.125%
vs Similar (14)79.975.3155.1+4.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.576.8152.2-1.250%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A16/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A21/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H25/12
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A07/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A11/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H14/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
63-105
63
105
-42
A03/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
18-14
14-28
21-13
15-21
18-30
31-31
17-19
23-23
17-29
22-29
21-16
20-24
18-28
20-22
14-30
13-28
17-24
11-30
28-14
23-24
11-19
26-18
19-25
19-15
11-27
21-15
11-19
14-22
19-29
15-22
11-22
18-20
11-22
12-21
18-25
16-32
21-26
15-27
11-20
162.2Avg total
69.5Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.989.8159.7-19.80%
Season at home (13)71.289.8161.0-18.70%
Season away (13)68.789.7158.4-21.00%
Last 10 (10)69.592.7162.2-23.20%
Last 5 (5)64.490.0154.4-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.989.8159.7-19.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)92.065.0157.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
SamaraMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/12
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H17/01
Russian Cup
Saratov
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/01
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H24/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A07/02
Russian Cup
76.9Avg total
35.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.979.9-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.879.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.744.180.7-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.776.9-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.046.681.6-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.046.482.4-10.48%-
vs Similar (14)39.839.078.8+0.857%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.838.876.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A21/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H25/12
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A07/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H14/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A03/02
VTB United League
81.8Avg total
33.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.480.0-6.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.343.578.8-8.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.381.2-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)33.748.181.8-14.40%-
Last 5 (5)32.647.279.8-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.745.780.3-11.08%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)49.028.877.8+20.2100%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Samara wins
0
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Samara v Minsk79-68
19/10/23Minsk v Samara78-91
03/03/23Samara v Minsk90-56
11/02/23Minsk v Samara78-87 OT
19/01/23Samara v Minsk78-71
31/10/22Minsk v Samara68-80
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AZenit Petersburg55-109
04/02/24AParma Perm77-68
28/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban76-91
24/01/24HAstana66-78
20/01/24ASaratov79-64
17/01/24HZenit Petersburg47-70
14/01/24ANizhny Novgorod79-73
10/01/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg68-64
07/01/24HCSKA Moscow82-92
27/12/23HTemp Sumz Revda81-65
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ASaratov63-105
29/01/24HParma Perm59-88
24/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban59-95
21/01/24HRuna Moscow62-76
14/01/24HMBA Moscow79-86
11/01/24AZenit Petersburg69-96
07/01/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg72-104
25/12/23HCSKA Moscow83-97
21/12/23AUnics Kazan81-101
16/12/23ASamara68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game78.381.175.5
Allowed / game80.178.781.5
Point differential-1.8+2.4-5.9
Avg total158.4159.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.971.268.7
Allowed / game89.889.889.7
Point differential-19.8-18.7-21.0
Avg total159.7161.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2622485%87.976.4+11.5
2 Unics Kazan2620677%85.374.0+11.3
3 Lokomotiv Kuban2619773%85.077.3+7.7
4 Zenit Petersburg2617965%81.373.2+8.1
5 Enisey26161062%84.280.3+3.9
6 Parma Perm26151158%77.975.6+2.3
7 Samara26141254%78.380.1-1.8
8 Uralmash Ekaterinburg27141352%80.180.0+0.0
9 Runa Moscow27111641%77.580.3-2.8
10 Saratov27111641%78.581.6-3.1
11 Astana26101638%77.283.0-5.7
12 MBA Moscow2781930%75.680.2-4.6
13 Nizhny Novgorod2671927%72.879.4-6.6
14 Minsk260260%69.989.8-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara1721251679
Minsk1718132371
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