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Samara vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-56
23-9 16-16 28-18 23-13
Position#10
Record11-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.2
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#12
Record1-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game81.5
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Samara v Minsk
10 Feb 2024
SAM79
MIN71
16 Dec 2023
SAM79
MIN68
03 Mar 2023
SAM90
MIN56
19 Jan 2023
SAM78
MIN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
99-51
99
51
+48
A04/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
A11/02
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H15/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H28/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
12-16
15-22
15-27
21-15
27-13
27-11
24-12
28-13
15-25
24-23
20-21
22-19
17-18
18-28
17-21
18-19
26-19
17-19
17-14
25-30
18-24
20-20
20-19
16-26
21-13
19-16
18-22
16-19
17-22
25-18
13-12
26-16
25-14
17-24
21-21
19-23
19-14
14-21
17-16
157.0Avg total
80.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.177.2155.3+0.941%
Season at home (14)77.877.4155.2+0.443%
Season away (13)78.477.0155.4+1.438%
Last 10 (10)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)80.479.4159.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.485.6158.0-13.20%
vs Similar (8)76.577.5154.0-1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.173.1154.3+8.064%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H04/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A11/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A15/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
42-69
42
69
-27
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A14/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
19-22
15-18
16-16
16-21
15-30
18-19
17-21
13-20
5-18
18-16
12-23
14-18
13-17
11-23
18-16
19-18
19-26
19-17
14-17
15-29
26-14
12-24
29-19
6-15
11-11
16-19
9-24
13-20
21-18
12-28
21-16
19-16
22-17
18-25
12-13
13-20
16-20
24-11
17-27
144.3Avg total
64.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)62.181.5143.6-19.44%
Season at home (13)60.278.9139.2-18.70%
Season away (14)63.983.9147.7-20.07%
Last 10 (10)64.579.8144.3-15.30%
Last 5 (5)67.880.4148.2-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)61.881.7143.5-20.04%
vs Similar (6)70.774.2144.8-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
SamaraMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A04/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/02
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H15/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/02
VTB United League
78.2Avg total
40.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.777.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.938.677.5+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.238.877.0-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.678.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.842.479.1-5.638%-
vs Similar (8)35.938.274.1-2.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.136.978.0+4.364%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A11/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A15/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
VTB United League
70.0Avg total
31.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.741.170.8-11.413%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.139.967.9-11.814%-
Last 30 away (16)31.242.273.4-11.012%-
Last 10 (10)31.039.070.0-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)28.541.670.1-13.18%-
vs Similar (6)34.739.273.8-4.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samara wins
0
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Minsk v Samara78-87 OT
19/01/23Samara v Minsk78-71
31/10/22Minsk v Samara68-80
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23HEnisey69-74
15/02/23HAstana89-75
11/02/23AMinsk87-78 OT
03/02/23HParma Perm74-77
29/01/23ASaratov83-93
19/01/23HMinsk78-71
16/01/23HUnics Kazan74-86
08/01/23HSaratov87-82
04/01/23AAstana99-51
22/12/22HNizhny Novgorod60-83
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ASaratov70-78
11/02/23HSamara78-87 OT
08/02/23AParma Perm67-82
04/02/23HEnisey42-69
01/02/23AAstana82-86
19/01/23ASamara71-78
15/01/23ALokomotiv Kuban56-74
11/01/23AAstana48-77
04/01/23HZenit Petersburg66-91
25/12/22HAstana65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%43%38%
Points / game78.177.878.4
Allowed / game77.277.477.0
Point differential+0.9+0.4+1.4
Avg total155.3155.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %4%0%7%
Points / game62.160.263.9
Allowed / game81.578.983.9
Point differential-19.4-18.7-20.0
Avg total143.6139.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2826293%97.475.6+21.8
2 Unics Kazan2823582%87.075.3+11.6
3 Zenit Petersburg2820871%82.272.4+9.8
4 Lokomotiv Kuban27151256%79.877.4+2.4
5 Nizhny Novgorod27151256%75.676.1-0.5
6 MBA Moscow26131350%77.279.0-1.8
7 Parma Perm26111542%79.081.3-2.3
8 Samara27111641%78.177.2+0.9
9 Saratov27111641%79.982.7-2.8
10 Enisey28111739%74.577.5-3.0
11 Astana2552020%66.586.2-19.8
12 Minsk271264%62.181.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara2316282390
Minsk916181356
← all games of the day
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