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Samara vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 79-68
24-15 14-18 28-14 13-21
Position#7
Record8-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.6
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#14
Record0-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game87.9
RussiaVTB United League· Palace of Sport (Samara)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Samara v Minsk
10 Feb 2024
SAM79
MIN71
16 Dec 2023
SAM79
MIN68
03 Mar 2023
SAM90
MIN56
19 Jan 2023
SAM78
MIN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H04/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A08/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H13/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A17/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H22/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A27/11
VTB United League
Temp Sumz Revda
#15
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A29/11
Russian Cup
Enisey
#8
L
82-103
82
103
-21
A02/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
58-96
58
96
-38
A07/12
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H11/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
17-24
19-15
20-21
19-28
21-22
17-19
19-25
22-13
25-23
15-24
23-19
21-21
27-23
13-18
25-16
17-25
21-24
23-16
24-18
16-20
16-17
13-24
21-22
18-19
17-16
31-10
7-19
22-29
16-25
26-26
18-23
14-29
14-28
16-15
14-24
29-17
20-12
21-21
23-28
162.2Avg total
77.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.883.6164.4-2.850%
Season at home (8)85.482.0167.4+3.462%
Season away (8)76.285.2161.5-9.038%
Last 10 (10)77.884.4162.2-6.650%
Last 5 (5)74.484.8159.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.786.7164.4-9.029%
vs Similar (11)80.279.4159.5+0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.277.1159.3+5.258%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A02/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
73-101
73
101
-28
H07/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A12/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H18/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H22/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H26/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A01/12
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
H07/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H11/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
14-16
18-19
6-16
20-29
22-29
11-23
20-20
7-16
18-20
11-21
18-27
18-15
20-15
15-21
21-27
16-20
19-22
16-22
11-20
27-21
16-21
23-24
10-25
18-24
17-17
24-22
27-27
24-25
18-19
21-19
16-27
14-14
14-23
26-21
25-21
13-20
16-28
20-21
25-20
158.2Avg total
71.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.287.9158.1-17.80%
Season at home (9)71.391.2162.6-19.90%
Season away (7)68.783.7152.4-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.586.7158.2-15.20%
Last 5 (5)79.889.8169.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.585.2153.7-16.75%
vs Similar (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker (9)94.365.0159.3+29.389%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
SamaraMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H13/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A17/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/11
VTB United League
Temp Sumz Revda
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A29/11
Russian Cup
Enisey
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A02/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A07/12
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H11/12
VTB United League
83.1Avg total
39.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.981.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.681.2+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.480.8-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.183.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.645.784.3-7.114%-
vs Similar (11)39.840.580.4-0.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.238.479.7+2.850%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A02/11
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H07/11
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/11
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A15/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/11
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/12
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H07/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H11/12
VTB United League
76.0Avg total
34.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.341.880.1-3.541%-
Last 30 away (13)39.638.377.9+1.338%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.476.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.477.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.643.177.8-8.515%-
vs Similar (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (9)48.433.081.4+15.4100%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Samara wins
0
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Minsk v Samara78-91
03/03/23Samara v Minsk90-56
11/02/23Minsk v Samara78-87 OT
19/01/23Samara v Minsk78-71
31/10/22Minsk v Samara68-80
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HRuna Moscow93-78
07/12/23AZenit Petersburg58-96
02/12/23AEnisey82-103
29/11/23ATemp Sumz Revda73-64
27/11/23AAstana66-83
22/11/23HParma Perm85-83
17/11/23AUralmash Ekaterinburg86-78
13/11/23HNizhny Novgorod85-79
08/11/23ACSKA Moscow76-94
04/11/23HSaratov74-86
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HEnisey74-89
07/12/23HAstana84-89 OT
01/12/23ANizhny Novgorod79-90
26/11/23HLokomotiv Kuban86-90
22/11/23HSaratov76-91
18/11/23HZenit Petersburg62-84
15/11/23AAstana74-78
12/11/23AMBA Moscow54-84
07/11/23HUralmash Ekaterinburg73-101
02/11/23ARuna Moscow53-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game80.885.476.2
Allowed / game83.682.085.2
Point differential-2.8+3.4-9.0
Avg total164.4167.4161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.271.368.7
Allowed / game87.991.283.7
Point differential-17.8-19.9-15.0
Avg total158.1162.6152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1716194%87.874.8+13.0
2 Unics Kazan1511473%88.275.4+12.8
3 Zenit Petersburg1611569%80.372.8+7.6
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1711665%82.377.8+4.5
5 Enisey1710759%82.981.4+1.5
6 Parma Perm168850%76.276.2+0.1
7 Uralmash Ekaterinburg168850%79.980.2-0.3
8 Runa Moscow168850%80.181.8-1.7
9 Samara168850%80.883.6-2.8
10 Astana178947%78.283.0-4.8
11 Saratov1761135%77.382.4-5.1
12 MBA Moscow1651131%77.978.6-0.7
13 Nizhny Novgorod1641225%73.179.2-6.1
14 Minsk160160%70.287.9-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara2414281379
Minsk1518142168
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