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Samford vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-68
47-40 34-28
Position#61
Record12-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game75.8
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#250
Record6-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samford v VMI
18 Jan 2027
SAMF v VMI
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
SAMF80
VMI61
09 Jan 2025
SAMF81
VMI68
13 Jan 2024
SAMF134
VMI96
04 Jan 2023
SAMF87
VMI78
17 Feb 2022
SAMF100
VMI99
30 Dec 2020
SAMF84
VMI71
06 Mar 2020
SAMF78
VMI96
29 Feb 2020
SAMF84
VMI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-38
47-45
50-44
35-41
38-43
46-33
37-32
49-33
54-46
34-35
26-22
46-25
33-56
31-40
55-46
42-44
41-27
45-29
44-34
44-35
160.4Avg total
84.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.775.8164.5+12.980%
Season at home (8)92.066.8158.8+25.2100%
Season away (7)85.086.1171.1-1.157%
Last 10 (10)84.376.1160.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)81.471.6153.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)85.685.0170.6+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.170.7155.9+14.486%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A19/11
NCAA
Davidson
#195
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A27/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
113-51
113
51
+62
H03/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A01/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-39
28-54
30-48
36-45
42-30
25-40
29-42
35-35
60-23
53-28
33-46
45-35
54-28
46-33
29-41
42-37
38-38
31-46
26-34
41-36
150.1Avg total
74.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.372.0150.3+6.340%
Season at home (6)93.862.2156.0+31.767%
Season away (9)68.078.6146.6-10.622%
Last 10 (10)74.375.8150.1-1.520%
Last 5 (5)77.074.8151.8+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.385.9151.2-20.76%
vs Similar (5)69.877.2147.0-7.40%
vs Weaker (6)90.564.0154.5+26.583%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
SamfordVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
NCAA
79.4Avg total
40.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.376.6+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.930.971.8+9.994%-
Last 30 away (14)41.940.382.1+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.879.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.042.984.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.132.573.6+8.586%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Davidson
#195
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A27/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
60-23
60
23
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H04/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.574.8-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.636.674.2+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)33.242.175.3-8.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.973.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.473.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.843.375.2-11.511%-
vs Similar (5)32.439.271.6-6.820%-
vs Weaker (6)45.330.876.2+14.583%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Samford wins
3
VMI wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24VMI v Samford63-102
13/01/24Samford v VMI134-96
18/02/23VMI v Samford61-96
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
13/02/21VMI v Samford85-56
31/12/20Samford v VMI84-71
06/03/20Samford v VMI78-96
29/02/20Samford v VMI84-78
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AWestern Carolina88-69
02/01/25HCitadel86-56
21/12/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs97-90
19/12/24AArizona64-96
08/12/24HAustin Peay72-47
06/12/24ASouth Carolina St88-81
29/11/24HWest Georgia86-65
28/11/24HUtah Valley State84-76
27/11/24HNorth Dakota St103-98 OT
20/11/24AMichigan State75-83
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HMercer67-70
01/01/25AEast Tennessee St69-84
21/12/24ARichmond Spiders71-78
12/12/24HRegent University100-61
07/12/24HQueens Royals78-81
03/12/24HVirginia-Lynchburg113-51
29/11/24AGeorge Washington64-77
27/11/24ALoyola Maryland67-70
23/11/24ADavidson66-93
19/11/24APittsburgh48-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game88.792.085.0
Allowed / game75.866.886.1
Point differential+12.9+25.2-1.1
Avg total164.5158.8171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%75%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
VMI
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %40%67%22%
Points / game78.393.868.0
Allowed / game72.062.278.6
Point differential+6.3+31.7-10.6
Avg total150.3156.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1614288%78.164.9+13.2
2 Samford1512380%88.775.8+12.9
3 NC Greensboro1610662%74.864.3+10.5
4 East Tennessee St169756%75.468.4+7.1
5 Mercer169756%81.975.4+6.5
6 Chattanooga Mocs169756%76.672.6+4.1
7 Wofford168850%74.871.0+3.8
8 VMI156940%78.372.0+6.3
9 Citadel145936%71.173.5-2.4
10 Western Carolina1441029%69.278.1-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford473481
VMI402868
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