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Samford vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-61
36-36 44-25
Position#149
Record16-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.3
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
VMI
USA
Position#364
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samford v VMI
18 Jan 2027
SAMF v VMI
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
SAMF80
VMI61
09 Jan 2025
SAMF81
VMI68
13 Jan 2024
SAMF134
VMI96
04 Jan 2023
SAMF87
VMI78
17 Feb 2022
SAMF100
VMI99
30 Dec 2020
SAMF84
VMI71
06 Mar 2020
SAMF78
VMI96
29 Feb 2020
SAMF84
VMI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
37-50
32-32
43-32
33-35
40-43
41-39
47-35
39-32
39-32
40-22
29-27
47-34
50-46
38-37
30-31
31-34
47-41
41-44
45-45
153.7Avg total
80.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.575.3153.8+3.255%
Season at home (12)81.468.8150.2+12.675%
Season away (17)76.579.9156.4-3.441%
Last 10 (10)80.473.3153.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)82.473.0155.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.879.8146.6-13.020%
vs Similar (14)79.477.8157.1+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.269.6152.8+13.680%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
58-88
58
88
-30
A24/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A30/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H04/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H07/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A12/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H14/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
45-47
33-39
25-49
25-34
31-46
37-43
44-52
27-44
40-37
33-40
37-47
20-47
51-45
27-45
45-45
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
155.2Avg total
69.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.279.7151.8-7.521%
Season at home (14)77.972.8150.7+5.136%
Season away (15)66.886.1152.9-19.37%
Last 10 (10)69.186.1155.2-17.00%
Last 5 (5)70.286.4156.6-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.481.9151.3-12.512%
vs Similar (4)70.583.8154.2-13.225%
vs Weaker (1)122.058.0180.0+64.0100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -5.5-5.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -5.5-5.5
SamfordVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
38.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.937.273.2-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.733.473.1+6.242%-
Last 30 away (18)33.439.873.2-6.328%-
Last 10 (10)38.334.773.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.273.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
vs Similar (14)36.738.875.5-2.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.133.372.4+5.850%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H04/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H07/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A12/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H14/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
29.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.138.572.6-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.634.672.2+3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)30.941.972.9-11.06%-
Last 10 (10)29.741.270.9-11.50%-
Last 5 (5)28.442.871.2-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.840.072.8-7.221%-
vs Similar (4)31.840.572.2-8.80%-
vs Weaker (1)58.015.073.0+43.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Samford wins
2
VMI wins
DateGameScore
01/01/26VMI v Samford58-78
27/02/25VMI v Samford83-95
10/01/25Samford v VMI81-68
10/02/24VMI v Samford63-102
13/01/24Samford v VMI134-96
18/02/23VMI v Samford61-96
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
13/02/21VMI v Samford85-56
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
07/02/26HMercer69-49
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
29/01/26AFurman73-78
24/01/26HChattanooga Mocs75-64
21/01/26AWofford78-88
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82
14/02/26HFurman72-90
12/02/26ANC Greensboro71-92
07/02/26HEast Tennessee St70-87
04/02/26HWofford67-81
31/01/26AMercer81-95
30/01/26ACitadel56-80
24/01/26AWestern Carolina58-88
21/01/26HNC Greensboro78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %55%75%41%
Points / game78.581.476.5
Allowed / game75.368.879.9
Point differential+3.2+12.6-3.4
Avg total153.8150.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%58%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %21%36%7%
Points / game72.277.966.8
Allowed / game79.772.886.1
Point differential-7.5+5.1-19.3
Avg total151.8150.7152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St3021970%78.368.5+9.8
2 Furman30191163%76.369.8+6.5
3 Wofford30191163%78.676.7+1.9
4 Mercer30181260%83.075.4+7.6
5 Samford29161355%78.575.3+3.2
6 Western Carolina28131546%78.678.1+0.5
7 NC Greensboro30131743%78.780.9-2.2
8 Chattanooga Mocs30121840%76.174.7+1.4
9 Citadel30102033%69.875.7-6.0
10 VMI2962321%72.279.7-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford364480
VMI362561
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