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Samford vs VMI Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#281
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#177
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samford v VMI
18 Jan 2027
SAMF v VMI
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
SAMF80
VMI61
09 Jan 2025
SAMF81
VMI68
13 Jan 2024
SAMF134
VMI96
04 Jan 2023
SAMF87
VMI78
17 Feb 2022
SAMF100
VMI99
30 Dec 2020
SAMF84
VMI71
06 Mar 2020
SAMF78
VMI96
29 Feb 2020
SAMF84
VMI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VMI win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#74
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
50-46
38-37
30-31
31-34
47-41
41-44
45-45
36-36
44-25
50-41
37-37
46-46
35-40
45-28
42-30
40-45
39-43
34-40
32-50
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.378.7156.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.383.0150.3-15.717%
vs Similar (14)79.178.4157.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (9)83.665.3148.9+18.289%
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
115-83
115
83
+32
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
36-36
25-44
33-42
46-44
27-39
43-45
60-31
55-52
28-47
42-48
35-31
33-39
32-22
33-29
38-18
33-35
150.2Avg total
73.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Season at home (3)83.762.3146.0+21.3100%
Season away (2)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.776.5150.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.983.0152.0-14.19%
vs Similar (2)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.768.0150.7+14.767%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -3.1-3.1
SamfordVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#74
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/11
NCAA
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.675.2+6.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.039.173.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.083.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.339.370.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (14)37.939.177.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (9)40.332.172.4+8.256%-
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.970.7-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.740.170.8-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.869.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.239.471.6-7.317%-
vs Similar (2)29.540.570.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.328.070.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Samford wins
1
VMI wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Samford v VMI80-61
01/01/26VMI v Samford58-78
27/02/25VMI v Samford83-95
10/01/25Samford v VMI81-68
10/02/24VMI v Samford63-102
13/01/24Samford v VMI134-96
18/02/23VMI v Samford61-96
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWright State66-90
07/11/26AUNLV79-88
03/11/26HBerry Vikings87-58
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMary Baldwin71-53
11/11/26HN. Carolina Central65-51
07/11/26AUTSA Roadrunners68-70
06/11/26ASMU Mustangs70-95
02/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg115-83
07/03/26ANC Greensboro70-84
28/02/26AChattanooga Mocs79-86
27/02/26ASamford61-80
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.376.579.0
Allowed / game78.774.088.0
Point differential-1.3+2.5-9.0
Avg total156.0150.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.883.769.0
Allowed / game70.462.382.5
Point differential+7.4+21.3-13.5
Avg total148.2146.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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