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Samford vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-77
34-38 48-39
Position#149
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.5
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#221
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samford v Western Carolina
07 Jan 2026
SAMF82
WEST77
22 Feb 2025
SAMF93
WEST72
14 Feb 2024
SAMF88
WEST62
21 Jan 2023
SAMF74
WEST65
08 Jan 2022
SAMF85
WEST60
18 Jan 2021
SAMF82
WEST78
05 Feb 2020
SAMF70
WEST78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
106-51
106
51
+55
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
29-36
32-40
40-41
37-32
41-31
14-42
31-47
31-34
26-49
42-50
51-40
60-18
46-33
41-17
44-32
34-36
44-22
35-43
47-46
148.8Avg total
75.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.675.5153.1+2.153%
Season at home (5)85.667.8153.4+17.880%
Season away (10)73.679.4153.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)75.873.0148.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)88.867.4156.2+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.083.7142.7-24.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.677.9152.5-3.436%
vs Weaker (12)87.270.8158.0+16.583%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H16/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-62
124
62
+62
H02/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A12/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
82-112
82
112
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
38-32
41-38
39-35
23-34
39-49
43-45
30-48
58-32
66-30
38-40
29-38
34-53
40-43
40-54
42-58
33-39
41-40
38-30
27-35
161.0Avg total
79.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.280.8158.1-3.638%
Season at home (5)89.864.6154.4+25.280%
Season away (8)69.491.0160.4-21.612%
Last 10 (10)79.281.8161.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)75.488.4163.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.383.8153.1-14.515%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.380.0153.3-6.743%
vs Weaker (2)100.063.5163.5+36.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
SamfordWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.172.6-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.334.673.9+4.842%-
Last 30 away (18)32.938.871.7-5.828%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.371.2+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.875.2+9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.740.367.0-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.338.270.5-5.914%-
vs Weaker (12)42.434.376.8+8.167%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H16/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H02/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A12/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A03/01
NCAA
78.4Avg total
38.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.338.172.4-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.835.971.8-0.133%-
Last 30 away (18)33.339.672.9-6.222%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.279.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.839.972.7-7.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.638.071.6-4.429%-
vs Weaker (2)48.032.580.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Samford wins
1
Western Carolina wins
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ANC Greensboro82-89
01/01/26AVMI78-58
19/12/25HReinhardt85-49
15/12/25HBryan106-51
08/12/25HCornell93-90
06/12/25AVCU Rams57-83
26/11/25AUtah Valley State45-89
25/11/25AGeorgia State78-63
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AFurman80-77 OT
31/12/25HWofford74-79
19/12/25AGeorgia82-112
12/12/25AVirginia Tech74-96
06/12/25AUSC Upstate67-78
02/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-62
29/11/25AHigh Point73-93
22/11/25ALipscomb62-83
20/11/25HUNC Asheville80-73
16/11/25HStetson76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %53%80%40%
Points / game77.685.673.6
Allowed / game75.567.879.4
Point differential+2.1+17.8-5.8
Avg total153.1153.4153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%0%20%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%80%12%
Points / game77.289.869.4
Allowed / game80.864.691.0
Point differential-3.6+25.2-21.6
Avg total158.1154.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1611569%78.270.9+7.3
2 Wofford1611569%78.274.9+3.2
3 East Tennessee St1510567%78.166.5+11.6
4 Mercer158753%82.173.7+8.3
5 Samford158753%77.675.5+2.1
6 VMI156940%76.876.0+0.8
7 Western Carolina135838%77.280.8-3.6
8 Chattanooga Mocs1661038%76.272.6+3.7
9 NC Greensboro1661038%79.479.9-0.6
10 Citadel1541127%71.875.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford344882
Western Carolina383977
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