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Samford vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-65
32-24 42-41
Position#78
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game69.5
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#161
Record11-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samford v Western Carolina
07 Jan 2026
SAMF82
WEST77
22 Feb 2025
SAMF93
WEST72
14 Feb 2024
SAMF88
WEST62
21 Jan 2023
SAMF74
WEST65
08 Jan 2022
SAMF85
WEST60
18 Jan 2021
SAMF82
WEST78
05 Feb 2020
SAMF70
WEST78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A31/12
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
26-38
35-40
26-22
26-38
30-41
36-35
42-34
30-25
45-38
46-39
41-39
34-31
36-37
43-27
40-31
31-45
44-29
35-33
34-26
139.7Avg total
71.2Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.269.5147.8+8.765%
Season at home (11)83.467.1150.5+16.382%
Season away (9)72.072.6144.6-0.644%
Last 10 (10)71.268.5139.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)76.867.4144.2+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.675.0149.6-0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.374.3144.6-4.060%
vs Weaker (15)81.967.7149.6+14.373%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brevard College
#602
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H10/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#601
W
117-50
117
50
+67
H20/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H29/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H07/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A12/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
57-30
42-25
37-30
38-35
51-24
66-26
30-34
17-38
38-41
41-26
38-38
33-22
31-23
42-22
39-46
37-49
25-26
36-39
32-37
44-34
141.9Avg total
77.4Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.668.6144.2+7.055%
Season at home (11)82.766.7149.5+16.073%
Season away (9)66.970.9137.8-4.033%
Last 10 (10)77.464.5141.9+12.970%
Last 5 (5)71.467.2138.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.774.7140.3-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.969.2136.1-2.344%
vs Weaker (9)87.167.8154.9+19.367%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +8.0+8.0
SamfordWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A31/12
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.671.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.231.870.9+7.471%-
Last 30 away (13)36.036.172.1-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.069.8-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.072.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.633.665.2-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.335.972.2+0.440%-
vs Weaker (15)40.932.173.0+8.780%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brevard College
#602
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#601
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H20/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.967.8-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.635.270.8+0.331%-
Last 30 away (14)29.934.564.4-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.970.7+4.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.067.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.937.768.6-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.233.864.0-3.633%-
vs Weaker (9)38.232.370.6+5.944%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samford wins
2
Western Carolina wins
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23AEast Tennessee St69-59
14/01/23HChattanooga Mocs75-74
12/01/23HWofford83-58
07/01/23ANC Greensboro70-68
05/01/23HVMI87-78
31/12/22ACitadel75-63
29/12/22HMercer78-69
22/12/22ABelmont56-79
17/12/22ASouth Carolina St61-62
11/12/22ALouisiana Lafayette58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HWofford76-71
14/01/23ACitadel61-65
12/01/23AChattanooga Mocs76-95
07/01/23HMercer73-45
05/01/23AEast Tennessee St71-60
31/12/22HFurman79-67
29/12/22HNC Greensboro47-72
20/12/22HToccoa Falls117-50
17/12/22ATennessee Tech75-65
10/12/22HBrevard College99-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%82%44%
Points / game78.283.472.0
Allowed / game69.567.172.6
Point differential+8.7+16.3-0.6
Avg total147.8150.5144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%22%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game75.682.766.9
Allowed / game68.666.770.9
Point differential+7.0+16.0-4.0
Avg total144.2149.5137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2014670%81.772.0+9.7
2 Samford2013765%78.269.5+8.7
3 NC Greensboro2113862%70.963.9+7.0
4 Western Carolina2011955%75.668.6+7.0
5 Wofford2011955%73.867.7+6.0
6 Chattanooga Mocs21111052%78.170.3+7.8
7 Mercer2191243%70.068.5+1.6
8 Citadel2081240%68.974.5-5.5
9 East Tennessee St2181338%69.768.1+1.6
10 VMI2151624%71.675.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford324274
Western Carolina244165
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