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Samobor vs Dakovo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-79
29-16 22-21 14-15 19-27
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game80.5
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#12
Record3-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 82
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 82
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 82
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
55-87
55
87
-32
39avg 82
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 82
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 82
H19/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-19
19-18
25-23
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
22-20
19-26
6-26
8-15
22-27
28-17
23-18
27-32
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
165.2Avg total
84.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.380.5169.8+8.892%
Season at home (7)88.676.0164.6+12.6100%
Season away (6)90.285.8176.0+4.383%
Last 10 (10)84.580.7165.2+3.880%
Last 5 (5)85.682.8168.4+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.383.8159.2-8.517%
vs Similar (7)89.088.1177.1+0.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.679.0171.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
71-112
71
112
-41
55avg 71
A02/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
91avg 71
H10/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
64-80
64
80
-16
56avg 71
A17/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
75avg 71
H23/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 71
H30/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 71
A07/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 71
A14/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
57-66
57
66
-9
52avg 71
A22/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 71
H12/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
72avg 71
A18/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
16-36
17-29
18-20
33-27
24-32
18-11
15-30
18-19
19-22
15-19
12-20
30-28
9-20
21-31
20-20
22-20
14-12
35-33
30-15
17-22
15-21
19-30
22-20
20-19
21-20
16-18
19-23
19-15
17-9
11-21
10-21
22-11
18-20
17-25
26-22
19-15
28-30
15-21
24-26
166.1Avg total
78.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.086.8164.8-8.823%
Season at home (6)84.589.8174.3-5.333%
Season away (7)72.484.3156.7-11.914%
Last 10 (10)78.188.0166.1-9.920%
Last 5 (5)75.081.8156.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.690.7166.4-15.19%
vs Similar (3)79.371.0150.3+8.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
SamoborDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
84.4Avg total
45.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.288.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.440.187.5+7.371%-
Last 30 away (13)44.244.889.1-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.084.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.289.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)44.641.986.4+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.742.691.2+6.162%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A02/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H10/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A22/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/01
Prva Liga
82.6Avg total
40.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)38.642.180.7-3.547%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.744.184.9-3.443%-
Last 30 away (8)36.840.477.1-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.582.6-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.544.583.0-6.136%-
vs Similar (3)37.330.367.7+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.5
56.0%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.511.0
75.9%
70.4%11.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.9
48.8%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.013.8
81.2%
70.4%13.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWLWWLWWW
Dakovo
LWLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#12
+5.8
Net rating
-13.2
108.9
Offensive rating
101.7
103.1
Defensive rating
114.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.1%
3-point %
33.9%
62.1%
Assist %
63.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 101.7Defence103.1 · 114.9Shooting54.0% · 49.5%3-point %34.1% · 33.9%Ball care18.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 27.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Samobor   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
0
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Dakovo v Samobor70-97
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88
11/01/25AJazine100-94
16/12/24HZadar55-87
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67
09/11/24ACrikvenica84-78
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AOmis86-92
12/01/25HSonik Puntamika83-78
22/12/24ACrikvenica57-66
14/12/24AMladost76-80
07/12/24AKK Zagreb73-93
30/11/24HHermes101-80
23/11/24HKastela80-99
17/11/24AMarsonia64-80
10/11/24HJazine90-100
02/11/24ASkrljevo71-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game89.388.690.2
Allowed / game80.576.085.8
Point differential+8.8+12.6+4.3
Avg total169.8164.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game78.084.572.4
Allowed / game86.889.884.3
Point differential-8.8-5.3-11.9
Avg total164.8174.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1312192%89.380.5+8.8
2 Jazine1310377%94.583.0+11.5
3 Mladost1310377%83.178.0+5.1
4 Skrljevo139469%91.780.3+11.4
5 Kastela138562%86.872.3+14.5
6 Marsonia138562%84.680.0+4.6
7 Gorica138562%79.882.5-2.6
8 KK Zagreb137654%75.474.5+0.9
9 Omis135838%76.077.2-1.2
10 Sonik Puntamika134931%74.074.9-0.9
11 Crikvenica134931%68.078.8-10.8
12 Dakovo1331023%78.086.8-8.8
13 Hermes1321115%77.493.6-16.2
14 Bosco131128%72.588.7-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2922141984
Dakovo1621152779
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