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Samobor vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-65
25-9 20-23 19-10 13-23
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game80.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Gorica
13 Dec 2024
SAMO77
GORI65
10 Dec 2023
SAMO85
GORI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 83
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
105avg 83
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 83
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 83
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 83
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 83
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 83
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 83
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 83
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 83
H05/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-24
18-16
21-23
28-17
25-13
29-15
15-25
27-26
25-10
14-22
17-21
19-27
25-23
29-21
19-16
33-29
23-16
25-29
18-17
18-18
22-19
19-18
25-23
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
166.4Avg total
86.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.680.0167.6+7.689%
Season at home (4)86.874.8161.5+12.0100%
Season away (5)88.284.2172.4+4.080%
Last 10 (10)86.180.3166.4+5.880%
Last 5 (5)83.478.6162.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.383.8159.2-8.517%
vs Similar (7)84.185.7169.9-1.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.880.4174.2+13.4100%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 75
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
78-108
78
108
-30
no box
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 75
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 75
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
90avg 75
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
95avg 75
A09/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
73avg 75
H16/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
55-68
55
68
-13
46avg 75
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 75
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
57-80
57
80
-23
49avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
25-24
17-25
19-35
17-24
20-24
33-23
22-19
19-16
17-27
18-12
22-22
28-22
26-18
28-25
20-24
21-13
20-20
20-11
21-23
16-23
14-25
19-19
21-31
21-17
17-17
19-14
10-13
9-24
12-23
24-13
19-23
19-10
12-21
11-18
11-24
23-17
165.8Avg total
78.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.784.9163.6-6.256%
Season at home (4)84.580.8165.2+3.875%
Season away (5)74.088.2162.2-14.240%
Last 10 (10)78.687.2165.8-8.650%
Last 5 (5)72.681.2153.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.188.3162.4-14.114%
vs Similar (9)81.681.6163.1+0.067%
vs Weaker (13)81.674.3155.9+7.377%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
SamoborGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
84.1Avg total
45.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.339.787.0+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)44.344.088.3+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.984.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.879.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)42.642.384.9+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.641.790.3+6.969%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/12
Prva Liga
79.7Avg total
38.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.081.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.241.384.5+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.1-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.279.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.269.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.445.080.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (9)40.939.680.4+1.367%-
vs Weaker (13)42.539.281.6+3.362%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.1
55.3%
52.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
70.4%13.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.8
50.6%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.4
35.7%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.1
76.0%
70.4%11.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLWWWWWWWL
Gorica
LWLLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#7
+8.0
Net rating
-8.8
108.8
Offensive rating
97.8
100.8
Defensive rating
106.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
21.4%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.2%
3-point %
35.7%
63.2%
Assist %
68.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 97.8Defence100.8 · 106.6Shooting52.5% · 51.7%3-point %32.2% · 35.7%Ball care16.0% · 21.4%Off. rebounds26.3% · 23.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Samobor   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
0
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Gorica v Samobor80-85
10/12/23Samobor v Gorica85-74
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67
09/11/24ACrikvenica84-78
02/11/24HMladost99-91
27/10/24AKK Zagreb92-87
22/10/24HHermes83-79
12/10/24ADakovo97-70
16/04/24HOsijek73-83
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AOmis57-80
30/11/24HSonik Puntamika74-69
23/11/24ACrikvenica55-68
16/11/24HMladost75-92
09/11/24AKK Zagreb102-97 OT
02/11/24HHermes95-80
26/10/24ADakovo85-83
19/10/24HMarsonia94-82
15/10/24HSencur78-108
13/10/24AJazine71-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game87.686.888.2
Allowed / game80.074.884.2
Point differential+7.6+12.0+4.0
Avg total167.6161.5172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game78.784.574.0
Allowed / game84.980.888.2
Point differential-6.2+3.8-14.2
Avg total163.6165.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor98189%87.680.0+7.6
2 Kastela97278%87.069.6+17.4
3 Skrljevo97278%89.474.8+14.7
4 Jazine97278%96.182.6+13.6
5 Mladost97278%83.476.2+7.2
6 Marsonia95456%81.880.1+1.7
7 Gorica95456%78.784.9-6.2
8 Omis94544%73.771.3+2.3
9 KK Zagreb94544%76.475.8+0.7
10 Sonik Puntamika93633%68.670.1-1.6
11 Dakovo92722%79.190.3-11.2
12 Hermes92722%78.197.9-19.8
13 Bosco91811%74.886.1-11.3
14 Crikvenica91811%67.382.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2520191377
Gorica923102365
← all games of the day
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