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Samobor vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 55-87
22-20 19-26 6-26 8-15
Position#16
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaCroatian Cup· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Zadar
18 Dec 2026
SAMO v ZAD
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
SAMO84
ZAD88
17 Oct 2025
SAMO80
ZAD99
16 Dec 2024
SAMO55
ZAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
105avg 82
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 82
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 82
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 82
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 82
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 82
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 82
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
25-13
29-15
15-25
27-26
25-10
14-22
17-21
19-27
25-23
29-21
19-16
33-29
23-16
25-29
18-17
18-18
22-19
19-18
25-23
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
165.0Avg total
86.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.578.5165.0+8.090%
Last 5 (5)82.076.0158.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.383.8159.2-8.517%
vs Similar (7)84.185.7169.9-1.671%
vs Weaker (17)92.879.5172.4+13.3100%
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 77
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
62avg 77
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 77
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 77
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 77
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 77
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 77
A15/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-7
24-25
19-17
21-24
19-16
23-17
10-11
16-21
34-14
21-11
13-17
22-22
17-14
27-21
15-13
24-19
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
19-21
25-19
12-11
9-17
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
140.8Avg total
75.1Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.165.7140.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)73.066.0139.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar (5)72.473.4145.8-1.040%
vs Weaker (21)82.666.7149.3+15.990%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
SamoborZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A27/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
84.0Avg total
46.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.387.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.239.286.4+8.081%-
Last 30 away (14)43.943.887.7+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)46.337.784.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.879.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)42.642.384.9+0.343%-
vs Weaker (17)48.441.189.5+7.371%-
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
73.9Avg total
42.0Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.235.576.7+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.335.477.7+6.872%-
Last 30 away (12)39.535.775.2+3.867%-
Last 10 (10)42.031.973.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.874.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (5)36.638.074.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker (21)43.433.777.0+9.776%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.5
57.6%
52.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.4
32.1%
32.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
71.8%12.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.3
52.3%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
32.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
71.8%13.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLWWWWWWW
Zadar
WWWLLWWWWW
#16
League position
#5
+11.2
Net rating
+14.1
110.3
Offensive rating
105.4
99.1
Defensive rating
91.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.1%
3-point %
30.9%
64.7%
Assist %
62.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.4Defence99.1 · 91.2Shooting54.0% · 49.7%3-point %32.1% · 30.9%Ball care16.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Samobor   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
0
Zadar wins
No previous meetings.
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67
09/11/24ACrikvenica84-78
02/11/24HMladost99-91
27/10/24AKK Zagreb92-87
22/10/24HHermes83-79
12/10/24ADakovo97-70
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71
02/12/24HMega Basket65-68
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58
17/11/24AFMP Beograd83-67
15/11/24HGKK Sibenka90-64
11/11/24ACedevita Junior68-65
09/11/24HCedevita Olimpija81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zadar
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alkar110100%85.070.0+15.0
2 Kastela110100%88.073.0+15.0
3 Zabok110100%84.069.0+15.0
4 Cibona110100%81.072.0+9.0
5 Cedevita Junior110100%84.078.0+6.0
6 Marsonia110100%86.085.0+1.0
7 Dinamo Zagreb1010%85.086.0-1.0
8 Kvarner1010%78.084.0-6.0
9 Dubrava1010%72.081.0-9.0
10 Dubrovnik1010%69.084.0-15.0
11 Osijek1010%73.088.0-15.0
12 Skrljevo1010%70.085.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor22196855
Zadar2026261587
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