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Samobor vs Dubrava Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game85.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrava
11 Dec 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
SAMO103
DUBR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 75
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 75
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 75
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 75
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 75
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 75
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 75
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 74
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
91avg 74
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 74
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
56avg 74
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
62-85
62
85
-23
51avg 74
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 74
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
69avg 74
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#5
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 74
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
20-15
17-18
19-23
18-26
28-20
13-18
28-18
15-21
23-19
12-17
34-32
15-19
17-18
16-21
14-28
16-23
18-19
7-24
21-19
26-19
10-24
21-24
23-17
15-23
11-29
28-21
25-28
17-26
21-25
18-21
25-23
13-21
18-20
22-15
28-19
18-21
25-21
8-25
15-14
161.3Avg total
75.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.685.0159.6-10.414%
Season at home (4)73.881.5155.2-7.825%
Season away (3)75.789.7165.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.485.9161.3-10.520%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.385.9165.2-6.638%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.784.2166.9-1.625%
vs Weaker (2)90.081.5171.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
SamoborDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/11
ENBL
79.4Avg total
36.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.780.0-3.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.479.3-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.880.7-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.479.4-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.880.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.242.880.0-5.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.740.880.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.2
50.0%
54.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
71.7%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
Dubrava
LWLLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#11
-12.7
Net rating
-11.0
86.4
Offensive rating
91.3
99.1
Defensive rating
102.3
47.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
35.5%
61.7%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 91.3Defence99.1 · 102.3Shooting47.8% · 51.5%3-point %31.0% · 35.5%Ball care18.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
1
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Dubrava v Samobor66-76
18/01/26Dubrava v Samobor91-77
02/11/25Samobor v Dubrava103-63
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABristol Flyers66-81
07/11/26HZabok81-75
31/10/26AKvarner81-95
28/10/26ASyntainics MBC79-101
24/10/26HDubrovnik80-84
17/10/26ADinamo Zagreb62-85
10/10/26HSplit62-86
02/10/26ACedevita Junior84-89
29/09/26HCIU87-82
26/09/26HSkrljevo72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game74.673.875.7
Allowed / game85.081.589.7
Point differential-10.4-7.8-14.0
Avg total159.6155.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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