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Dubrava vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-76
21-23 17-15 13-21 15-17
Position#6
Record15-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#4
Record16-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 32· Sportska dvorana Dubrava
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dubrava v Samobor
12 Mar 2027
DUBR v SAMO
upcoming
02 May 2026
DUBR66
SAMO76
18 Jan 2026
DUBR91
SAMO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
86avg 74
A10/03
ENBL
Cibona
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
66avg 74
H14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
92-81
92
81
+11
76avg 74
H20/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 74
A31/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 74
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 74
A07/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
81avg 74
A10/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
85avg 74
A15/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
82avg 74
H19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
A25/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
20-20
21-28
21-16
23-18
19-16
18-20
21-24
18-22
19-15
31-27
24-17
21-19
20-23
14-20
15-17
17-18
19-12
22-18
22-30
16-17
13-20
20-27
30-16
15-26
22-16
22-19
27-25
12-22
23-15
31-15
21-20
21-21
20-15
23-13
21-20
14-16
18-19
16-25
23-16
163.3Avg total
83.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.984.0166.9-1.148%
Season at home (15)86.684.7171.3+1.953%
Season away (16)79.483.3162.8-3.944%
Last 10 (10)83.280.1163.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.478.2161.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.781.9163.6-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.685.9171.5-0.340%
vs Weaker (5)83.873.6157.4+10.280%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 81
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
49avg 81
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
107-76
107
76
+31
113avg 81
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
96avg 81
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
75avg 81
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 81
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 81
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 81
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 81
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 81
H29/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
27-19
23-20
16-21
11-23
11-16
24-16
19-14
34-21
29-22
20-18
24-15
19-21
28-16
29-18
26-21
13-25
24-20
27-27
25-10
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
168.8Avg total
86.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.385.5171.9+0.852%
Season at home (16)90.686.4177.0+4.262%
Season away (15)81.784.7166.4-2.940%
Last 10 (10)86.382.5168.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)83.088.0171.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.495.4176.8-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.179.9170.0+10.275%
vs Weaker (14)88.183.9172.0+4.171%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
DubravaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A10/03
ENBL
Cibona
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A07/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/04
Premijer liga
76.0Avg total
38.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.680.6-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.483.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.978.0-1.919%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.076.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.472.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.939.377.2-1.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.943.186.0-0.147%-
vs Weaker (5)35.435.871.2-0.440%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
84.4Avg total
41.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.786.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.942.988.8+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.742.483.1-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.884.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.589.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.040.284.2+3.862%-
vs Weaker (14)43.941.385.1+2.650%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
53.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
74.3%14.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.1
53.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
74.3%15.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrava
LWWWLWLWWL
Samobor
LWLLLWWWLW
#6
League position
#4
+3.6
Net rating
+4.9
97.4
Offensive rating
96.1
93.7
Defensive rating
91.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
36.0%
56.4%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 96.1Defence93.7 · 91.2Shooting52.5% · 53.7%3-point %34.2% · 36.0%Ball care13.9% · 16.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Dubrava   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dubrava wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Dubrava v Samobor91-77
02/11/25Samobor v Dubrava103-63
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ADubrovnik71-76
19/04/26HAlkar85-69
15/04/26ADinamo Zagreb87-72
10/04/26AGKK Sibenka95-94 OT
07/04/26ASplit79-80
03/04/26HKvarner80-78
31/03/26ACedevita Junior70-79
20/03/26HZadar92-81
14/03/26HCibona81-78
10/03/26AManchester Basketball92-94
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89
29/03/26AZabok89-82
23/03/26HGKK Sibenka102-76
18/03/26HDubrovnik107-76
14/03/26AAlkar65-69
07/03/26HKvarner85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrava
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLWWWW53%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game82.986.679.4
Allowed / game84.084.783.3
Point differential-1.1+1.9-3.9
Avg total166.9171.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%62%40%
Points / game86.390.681.7
Allowed / game85.586.484.7
Point differential+0.8+4.2-2.9
Avg total171.9177.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3127487%86.171.3+14.8
2 Split3124777%91.580.4+11.1
3 Cibona3224875%83.275.0+8.2
4 Samobor31161552%86.385.5+0.8
5 Dubrava31151648%82.984.0-1.1
6 Dubrovnik31151648%78.481.6-3.3
7 Zabok31141745%79.780.4-0.7
8 Cedevita Junior32122038%79.882.5-2.7
9 Alkar32122038%70.978.6-7.6
10 Kvarner31112035%78.482.8-4.4
11 Dinamo Zagreb31102132%83.087.7-4.7
12 GKK Sibenka3282425%76.886.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrava2117131566
Samobor2315211776
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