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Zadar vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-59
24-14 13-20 26-15 18-10
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 1· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zadar v Samobor
27 Sep 2026
ZAD81
SAMO59
09 Jan 2026
ZAD84
SAMO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
113-71
113
71
+42
119avg 79
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 79
H13/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
96-72
96
72
+24
95avg 79
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-57
83
57
+26
80avg 79
H22/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 79
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
58avg 79
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
92-57
92
57
+35
87avg 79
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
87-70
87
70
+17
92avg 79
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
60avg 79
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 79
H10/06
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
37-13
21-17
30-18
21-5
16-27
24-22
29-16
20-13
25-26
28-24
23-9
17-13
20-12
23-25
23-7
25-15
19-22
18-18
19-13
20-22
22-20
13-18
17-14
22-12
20-14
21-14
29-17
19-9
24-29
22-21
22-11
14-19
21-19
21-18
11-17
21-15
15-15
19-25
20-27
155.0Avg total
85.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.669.4155.0+16.270%
Last 5 (5)78.671.2149.8+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)66.971.6138.5-4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.570.6155.1+13.977%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 80
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 80
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 80
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 80
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 80
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 80
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 80
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
55avg 80
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#20
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 80
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
23-21
15-17
21-13
17-15
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
19-21
18-19
15-22
29-24
21-21
17-23
6-20
25-13
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
169.7Avg total
83.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.486.3169.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)83.884.6168.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.895.9177.6-14.10%
vs Similar (8)83.579.0162.5+4.562%
vs Weaker (14)89.584.1173.6+5.471%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
ZadarSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H13/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H22/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/06
Premijer liga
76.6Avg total
42.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.335.875.1+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.435.678.0+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)36.636.072.6+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.334.376.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.874.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)32.838.070.8-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.735.076.7+6.782%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#20
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
85.7Avg total
41.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.086.7+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.443.890.2+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.642.182.8-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.385.7-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.086.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.147.993.0-2.825%-
vs Similar (8)41.040.981.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker (14)44.441.585.9+2.957%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.8
57.8%
54.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.4
33.6%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
71.7%15.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
54.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
71.7%14.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LLWWLWWWWW
Samobor
LLLWWLWLLL
#1
League position
#11
+19.9
Net rating
-2.6
102.0
Offensive rating
95.0
82.1
Defensive rating
97.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
37.7%
65.1%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 95.0Defence82.1 · 97.7Shooting53.9% · 53.5%3-point %33.6% · 37.7%Ball care12.9% · 16.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zadar wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Samobor v Zadar84-88
09/01/26Zadar v Samobor84-67
17/10/25Samobor v Zadar80-99
16/12/24Samobor v Zadar55-87
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/06/26HCibona75-82
07/06/26ACibona67-73
05/06/26ACibona87-70
02/06/26HCibona92-57
31/05/26HCibona72-74
25/05/26ADubrovnik81-68
22/05/26HDubrovnik83-57
16/05/26AKvarner96-72
13/05/26HKvarner90-70
10/05/26HGKK Sibenka113-71
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
16/05/26ADubrovnik69-77
13/05/26HDubrovnik81-86
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91
02/05/26ADubrava76-66
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split110100%81.066.0+15.0
2 Skrljevo110100%81.072.0+9.0
3 Cibona110100%84.078.0+6.0
4 Cedevita Junior110100%96.093.0+3.0
5 Dinamo Zagreb110100%80.078.0+2.0
6 Zabok1010%78.080.0-2.0
7 Kvarner1010%93.096.0-3.0
8 Alkar1010%78.084.0-6.0
9 Dubrava1010%72.081.0-9.0
10 Dubrovnik1010%66.081.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2413261881
Samobor1420151059
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