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Samobor vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-79
23-22 25-18 21-23 22-16
Position#11
Record5-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game86.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record12-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game87.4
CroatiaPrva Liga
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samobor v Stoja
26 Nov 2023
SAMO88
STOJ77
29 Apr 2023
SAMO91
STOJ79
09 Oct 2022
SAMO74
STOJ72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H25/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A08/03
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H11/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
75-109
75
109
-34
H25/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
A26/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
26-16
13-21
23-16
16-25
23-28
18-17
19-29
23-25
16-22
27-24
25-21
15-27
11-24
24-20
26-24
15-28
19-25
18-30
23-26
22-27
24-17
16-18
14-17
24-16
28-25
19-30
28-19
18-26
16-24
25-16
26-20
21-24
25-17
14-29
29-22
26-31
20-29
30-25
23-26
176.4Avg total
83.8Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.486.0160.3-11.617%
Season at home (14)74.983.7158.6-8.814%
Season away (15)73.988.1161.9-14.220%
Last 10 (10)83.892.6176.4-8.810%
Last 5 (5)89.691.6181.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.486.8160.2-13.412%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)84.879.5164.2+5.275%
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H25/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
A05/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
105-97 OT
105
97
+8
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H26/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
14-27
13-21
22-17
23-26
33-19
15-20
26-14
21-29
25-18
25-15
18-23
22-22
9-20
15-21
24-21
26-19
23-22
18-24
25-15
27-22
17-24
18-16
17-14
26-22
34-38
15-12
19-22
26-18
23-15
25-23
16-34
29-18
25-19
26-15
18-20
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
175.7Avg total
90.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.387.4171.8-3.141%
Season at home (15)86.186.0172.1+0.153%
Season away (14)82.488.9171.4-6.529%
Last 10 (10)90.785.0175.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)97.086.2183.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.193.6176.7-10.421%
vs Similar (8)84.283.6167.9+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.979.4166.3+7.471%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
SamoborStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H25/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/03
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H25/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
87.4Avg total
39.8Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.079.6-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.841.977.7-6.129%-
Last 30 away (16)37.244.081.2-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.847.687.4-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.292.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.543.979.4-8.323%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)43.237.580.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H25/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A05/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
93.0Avg total
48.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.344.287.6-0.934%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.642.586.1+1.140%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.189.1-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)48.344.793.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)52.443.896.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.247.490.6-4.229%-
vs Similar (8)42.240.983.1+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.941.686.4+3.343%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
1
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Stoja v Samobor79-76
07/01/23Stoja v Samobor79-80
09/10/22Samobor v Stoja74-72
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23AMladost99-111
20/04/23HHermes89-92
15/04/23HJazine85-86
11/04/23ASonik Puntamika99-90
01/04/23AStoja76-79
25/03/23HMladost75-109
19/03/23AHermes76-95
11/03/23HDubrovnik91-92
08/03/23AMladost76-99
25/02/23HSonik Puntamika72-73
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75
22/04/23HMladost98-72
16/04/23HHermes105-97 OT
07/04/23AJazine108-111 OT
01/04/23HSamobor79-76
25/03/23ASonik Puntamika92-80
18/03/23AMladost70-84
11/03/23HMladost89-85
05/03/23ASonik Puntamika97-79
25/02/23HKastela74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %17%14%20%
Points / game74.474.973.9
Allowed / game86.083.788.1
Point differential-11.6-8.8-14.2
Avg total160.3158.6161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)29% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW41%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%53%29%
Points / game84.386.182.4
Allowed / game87.486.088.9
Point differential-3.1+0.1-6.5
Avg total171.8172.1171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik3027390%83.568.9+14.6
2 Osijek3023777%84.171.9+12.3
3 Kastela3022873%80.572.7+7.8
4 Kvarner29181162%78.971.6+7.3
5 Jazine30171357%84.383.7+0.6
6 Hermes30151550%86.787.4-0.7
7 KK Zagreb29131645%74.976.8-1.9
8 Mladost30131743%85.386.3-1.0
9 Stoja29121741%84.387.4-3.1
10 Omis30121840%74.677.3-2.7
11 Samobor2952417%74.486.0-11.6
12 Sonik Puntamika301293%72.794.5-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2325212291
Stoja2218231679
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