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Hermes vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 95-76
27-15 24-11 20-24 24-26
Position#6
Record9-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.9
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record4-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game83.2
CroatiaPrva Liga
Other2022-23
Meetings · Hermes v Samobor
01 Feb 2025
HERM94
SAMO100
24 Jan 2024
HERM85
SAMO91
19 Mar 2023
HERM95
SAMO76
13 Nov 2022
HERM92
SAMO79
28 Nov 2021
HERM119
SAMO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
75-107
75
107
-32
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H19/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A25/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H04/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-23
11-19
23-18
15-20
21-26
17-24
16-20
23-13
28-28
20-15
26-19
28-25
18-34
24-22
21-26
12-25
10-21
16-21
34-17
16-27
25-26
13-17
20-21
12-11
23-21
19-23
18-18
19-20
30-16
17-25
24-22
23-20
21-24
24-22
22-23
29-22
22-20
21-18
29-29
24-24
168.6Avg total
82.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.086.9167.9-5.841%
Season at home (11)83.387.0170.3-3.745%
Season away (11)78.886.7165.5-7.936%
Last 10 (10)82.186.5168.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)87.084.4171.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.089.8157.8-21.80%
vs Similar (11)88.490.3178.6-1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.078.8168.8+11.278%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A05/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
65-103
65
103
-38
A19/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H25/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A08/03
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H11/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
15-19
25-26
21-19
12-20
21-18
15-25
15-24
17-17
15-19
12-23
15-17
25-6
9-25
21-24
14-21
11-27
11-19
15-31
11-16
26-25
17-13
21-20
11-12
22-22
17-24
16-30
10-27
10-20
26-16
13-21
23-16
16-25
23-28
18-17
19-29
23-25
16-22
27-24
25-21
154.6Avg total
69.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.883.2154.0-12.418%
Season at home (11)72.780.5153.2-7.718%
Season away (11)68.986.0154.9-17.118%
Last 10 (10)69.884.8154.6-15.020%
Last 5 (5)75.887.4163.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.484.2154.6-13.815%
vs Similar (4)77.071.8148.8+5.250%
vs Weaker (6)74.275.0149.2-0.850%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
HermesSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
18-42
18
42
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H04/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
83.2Avg total
38.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.782.9-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.682.2-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.083.8-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.583.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.747.579.2-15.80%-
vs Similar (11)43.044.087.0-1.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.939.282.1+3.756%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H25/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/03
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/03
Prva Liga
75.6Avg total
35.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.739.574.2-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.337.671.9-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.776.9-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.575.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.642.176.7-7.520%-
vs Similar (4)36.235.872.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)34.033.367.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
2
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Samobor v Hermes75-70
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AOmis96-91
04/03/23HKK Zagreb96-91
25/02/23AJazine94-83
19/02/23HStoja79-82
11/02/23ASamobor70-75
04/02/23HDubrovnik76-86
27/01/23AMladost75-107
21/01/23HSonik Puntamika102-87
15/01/23AKastela77-83
07/01/23HKvarner56-80
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HDubrovnik91-92
08/03/23AMladost76-99
25/02/23HSonik Puntamika72-73
19/02/23AKastela65-103
11/02/23HHermes75-70
05/02/23AOsijek48-93
28/01/23HOmis69-76
22/01/23AKK Zagreb59-76
14/01/23HJazine63-87
07/01/23AStoja80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW41%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game81.083.378.8
Allowed / game86.987.086.7
Point differential-5.8-3.7-7.9
Avg total167.9170.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%18%18%
Points / game70.872.768.9
Allowed / game83.280.586.0
Point differential-12.4-7.7-17.1
Avg total154.0153.2154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik2221195%86.870.0+16.7
2 Osijek2217577%85.071.2+13.8
3 Kastela2317674%81.773.9+7.8
4 Kvarner2314961%77.671.3+6.3
5 KK Zagreb2213959%78.474.1+4.3
6 Jazine23121152%80.381.0-0.7
7 Omis22111150%77.976.8+1.1
8 Hermes2291341%81.086.9-5.8
9 Mladost2391439%82.584.3-1.8
10 Stoja2371630%81.388.0-6.7
11 Samobor2241818%70.883.2-12.4
12 Sonik Puntamika231224%71.092.8-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2724202495
Samobor1511242676
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