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Samobor vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-77
28-16 18-14 23-25 19-22
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.9
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game93.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Stoja
26 Nov 2023
SAMO88
STOJ77
29 Apr 2023
SAMO91
STOJ79
09 Oct 2022
SAMO74
STOJ72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 65
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 65
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 65
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 65
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 65
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 65
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 65
A19/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
25-18
21-23
22-16
30-12
16-22
26-18
22-21
16-24
20-21
20-21
19-18
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
19-25
18-23
20-22
18-14
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
159.7Avg total
78.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.482.9157.3-8.443%
Season at home (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
Season away (5)78.881.4160.2-2.660%
Last 10 (10)78.181.6159.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)75.281.0156.2-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.688.2162.8-13.614%
vs Similar (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.278.3165.5+8.883%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 73
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 73
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 73
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 73
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 73
A18/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
180.6Avg total
84.5Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.393.0176.3-9.714%
Season at home (3)88.3102.0190.3-13.70%
Season away (4)79.586.2165.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)84.596.1180.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)79.286.4165.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)86.696.8183.4-10.227%
vs Similar (8)79.681.6161.2-2.050%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.9169.7+6.071%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
SamoborStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
79.8Avg total
36.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.880.4-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.442.578.8-6.138%-
Last 30 away (17)36.844.881.6-7.918%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.079.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.244.076.2-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.544.380.8-7.823%-
vs Similar (2)23.051.574.5-28.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.739.280.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
91.6Avg total
41.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.289.3-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.643.987.6-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)42.648.290.8-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.550.191.6-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.250.490.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.549.993.5-6.427%-
vs Similar (8)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.487.9+3.043%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
52.9%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.4
25.6%
32.9%19.3
🏀 Free throws19.012.6
66.2%
71.2%12.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.7 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.3
52.6%
52.9%50.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.05.0
33.3%
32.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.3
77.9%
71.2%12.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWWWLLLWW
Stoja
LLWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#13
-11.9
Net rating
-13.5
91.2
Offensive rating
102.0
103.0
Defensive rating
115.5
44.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
23.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.6%
3-point %
33.3%
55.0%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 102.0Defence103.0 · 115.5Shooting44.9% · 52.0%3-point %25.6% · 33.3%Ball care23.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Samobor   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samobor wins
1
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Samobor v Stoja91-79
01/04/23Stoja v Samobor79-76
07/01/23Stoja v Samobor79-80
09/10/22Samobor v Stoja74-72
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
12/10/23HHermes75-84
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
13/05/23AJazine75-84
10/05/23HSonik Puntamika94-73
29/04/23HStoja91-79
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%0%60%
Points / game74.463.578.8
Allowed / game82.986.581.4
Point differential-8.4-23.0-2.6
Avg total157.3150.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game83.388.379.5
Allowed / game93.0102.086.2
Point differential-9.7-13.7-6.8
Avg total176.3190.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner87188%94.978.5+16.4
2 Osijek87188%88.475.9+12.5
3 KK Zagreb76186%82.066.6+15.4
4 Gorica86275%81.871.5+10.2
5 Omis85362%77.977.2+0.6
6 Kastela84450%83.878.8+5.0
7 Hermes84450%88.488.8-0.4
8 Jazine63350%91.597.8-6.3
9 Samobor73443%74.482.9-8.4
10 Crikvenica72529%72.385.4-13.1
11 Mladost82625%79.886.6-6.9
12 Marsonia71614%80.387.1-6.9
13 Stoja71614%83.393.0-9.7
14 Podstrana71614%73.187.9-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2818231988
Stoja1614252277
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