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Sampaense vs Santo Andre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Santo Andre
21 Nov 2026
SAMP v SANT
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SAMP87
SANT80
04 May 2025
SAMP82
SANT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Santo Andre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#11
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H30/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
16-20
18-23
16-19
20-13
15-14
19-4
23-41
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
164.1Avg total
82.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Season at home (3)96.383.0179.3+13.3100%
Season away (2)74.579.5154.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)82.581.6164.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.880.5148.3-12.624%
vs Similar ◀ (2)68.576.5145.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (11)79.973.5153.4+6.573%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
H21/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H03/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#7
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
10-16
23-14
12-10
16-11
15-14
21-13
8-13
12-29
15-21
29-17
14-18
20-21
20-22
22-26
18-18
21-19
19-12
30-23
24-7
13-17
23-27
18-21
20-21
13-19
22-18
11-19
18-16
25-15
21-12
13-23
19-23
10-20
21-11
18-16
23-12
26-18
30-21
19-23
21-25
149.4Avg total
76.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.572.8150.2+4.875%
Season at home (2)68.065.5133.5+2.550%
Season away (2)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.073.4149.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.875.4152.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.282.5154.7-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.575.5148.0-3.038%
vs Weaker (12)78.369.8148.1+8.675%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
SampaenseSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
77.8Avg total
38.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.673.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.379.1+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)31.236.968.1-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.977.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.839.672.4-6.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (11)40.734.675.4+6.182%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H21/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H03/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/10
Proliga
73.6Avg total
37.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.374.3-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.638.574.1-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.536.174.5+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.341.377.6-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.136.975.0+1.262%-
vs Weaker (12)36.934.271.1+2.858%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
53.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
66.9%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
53.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
30.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
66.9%13.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
WWLWLWLWWL
Santo Andre
WWWLLWLLWL
#8
League position
#4
+6.6
Net rating
+0.5
99.4
Offensive rating
84.8
92.8
Defensive rating
84.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
29.4%
52.1%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 84.8Defence92.8 · 84.3Shooting56.5% · 49.6%3-point %36.4% · 29.4%Ball care15.7% · 20.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sampaense   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
2
Santo Andre wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Sampaense v Santo Andre87-80
22/02/26Santo Andre v Sampaense78-51
04/05/25Sampaense v Santo Andre82-77
08/03/25Santo Andre v Sampaense82-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
04/04/26ASangalhos77-72
29/03/26ALusitania60-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACB Queluz96-87
17/10/26HMaia72-59
10/10/26AAcademica78-73
03/10/26HGalomar64-72
02/05/26HGalomar74-86
25/04/26ASangalhos94-61
19/04/26ASampaense80-87
03/04/26HLusitania70-85
28/03/26HBenfica Lisboa B60-51
21/03/26HCB Queluz72-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game87.696.374.5
Allowed / game81.683.079.5
Point differential+6.0+13.3-5.0
Avg total169.2179.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game77.568.087.0
Allowed / game72.865.580.0
Point differential+4.8+2.5+7.0
Avg total150.2133.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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