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Sampaense vs Santo Andre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-77
20-15 27-19 15-15 20-28
Position#11
Record10-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#9
Record14-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.7
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Santo Andre
21 Nov 2026
SAMP v SANT
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SAMP87
SANT80
04 May 2025
SAMP82
SANT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santo Andre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 71
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 71
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 71
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 71
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 71
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 71
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 71
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 71
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 71
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
66avg 71
A25/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
24-27
20-24
15-20
21-29
19-31
15-17
16-19
21-26
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
20-13
29-23
17-16
30-20
20-17
25-25
20-13
20-16
27-19
16-27
21-15
15-22
25-26
15-24
15-34
29-19
21-21
12-13
17-16
18-18
169.2Avg total
82.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.384.9165.2-4.637%
Season at home (13)82.885.3168.2-2.554%
Season away (14)77.984.5162.4-6.621%
Last 10 (10)82.287.0169.2-4.820%
Last 5 (5)84.282.0166.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.187.9161.0-14.89%
vs Similar (15)85.682.0167.6+3.653%
vs Weaker (4)77.281.5158.8-4.250%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
84-53
84
53
+31
84avg 64
H15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 64
A01/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 64
H08/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
50avg 64
H15/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A22/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
71avg 64
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 64
A05/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
56avg 64
A16/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 64
H19/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
58-51
58
51
+7
50avg 64
H26/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
24-14
20-18
19-6
20-19
19-9
21-15
22-23
16-13
21-26
20-17
25-21
24-12
14-17
7-11
5-16
25-23
25-26
23-23
22-21
16-15
13-23
21-17
20-19
26-20
9-21
19-22
25-20
18-19
13-9
21-19
8-17
16-25
28-14
17-21
12-18
17-7
6-9
19-15
16-20
142.8Avg total
73.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.069.7141.7+2.252%
Season at home (14)70.665.4135.9+5.264%
Season away (13)73.574.5147.9-1.038%
Last 10 (10)73.369.5142.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)68.070.0138.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.389.7164.0-15.333%
vs Similar (10)70.471.8142.2-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)72.968.5141.4+4.459%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
SampaenseSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/04
Proliga
86.6Avg total
41.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.581.1-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.982.7+2.875%-
Last 30 away (14)35.943.379.2-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.986.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.683.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.040.577.5-3.545%-
vs Similar (15)42.242.584.7-0.353%-
vs Weaker (4)36.840.277.0-3.525%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A01/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A22/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A05/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A16/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
23-16
23
16
+7
H26/04
Proliga
70.7Avg total
37.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.571.4+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.931.066.9+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.975.9+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.670.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.464.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.385.0-9.733%-
vs Similar (10)34.230.865.0+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.434.472.7+4.059%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.523.6
58.3%
49.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
30.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
68.4%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.4
50.8%
49.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
30.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.0
71.0%
68.4%12.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LLLWWLLLLL
Santo Andre
WLLLLWLWWW
#11
League position
#9
-6.6
Net rating
+6.9
112.1
Offensive rating
94.6
118.8
Defensive rating
87.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
23.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
31.7%
46.2%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 94.6Defence118.8 · 87.7Shooting54.7% · 49.3%3-point %31.9% · 31.7%Ball care17.3% · 23.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sampaense   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sampaense wins
1
Santo Andre wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Santo Andre v Sampaense82-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25AGalitos Aveiro77-81 OT
19/04/25HLusitania84-103
05/04/25AGinasio79-83
29/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-71
22/03/25HMaia96-72
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
01/03/25HGalitos Aveiro71-93
22/02/25ALusitania80-100
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HBarreirense58-51
19/04/25HMaia73-78
16/04/25AMaia60-64
05/04/25AGalitos Aveiro79-83
30/03/25HLusitania70-74
22/03/25AGinasio95-93
15/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B50-56
08/03/25HSampaense82-77
01/03/25ABarreirense82-66
15/02/25HGalitos Aveiro84-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game80.382.877.9
Allowed / game84.985.384.5
Point differential-4.6-2.5-6.6
Avg total165.2168.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game72.070.673.5
Allowed / game69.765.474.5
Point differential+2.2+5.2-1.0
Avg total141.7135.9147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2822679%83.370.8+12.5
2 Vasco Da Gama2820871%83.478.7+4.7
3 CAB Madeira2819968%76.770.2+6.5
4 CB Queluz28171161%78.274.7+3.5
5 Illiabum28161257%74.869.9+4.8
6 Portimonense28161257%76.874.1+2.6
7 Lusitania27151256%79.676.8+2.8
8 Maia27151256%76.379.4-3.0
9 Santo Andre27141352%72.069.7+2.2
10 Sangalhos28111739%76.777.5-0.8
11 Barreirense27101737%72.375.5-3.2
12 Sampaense27101737%80.384.9-4.6
13 Ginasio27101737%80.385.7-5.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B27101737%69.075.6-6.6
15 Imortal B28101836%67.375.2-8.0
16 Galitos Aveiro2752219%69.178.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2027152082
Santo Andre1519152877
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