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Sampaense vs Santo Andre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 78-79
Projected total 157.4
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
Vs
45%
55%
■ SAMP 45%■ SANT 55%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.4
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Santo Andre
21 Nov 2026
SAMP v SANT
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SAMP87
SANT80
04 May 2025
SAMP82
SANT77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Sampaense host Santo Andre in the Proliga. Pythia makes Santo Andre the favourite at 55% and projects 78-79, about 157 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Sampaense are 4-3 this season (82.1 scored, 82.4 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Santo Andre are 5-2 this season (78.1 scored, 74.4 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
45.4%fair 2.20
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Santo Andre win
54.6%fair 1.83
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 62
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 62
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 62
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 62
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 62
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 62
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 62
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 62
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 66
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
98avg 66
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 66
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
40avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
56avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
67avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
96-87
96
87
+9
87avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
83avg 66
A31/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-22
22-26
18-18
21-19
19-12
30-23
24-7
13-17
23-27
18-21
20-21
13-19
22-18
11-19
18-16
25-15
21-12
13-23
19-23
10-20
21-11
18-16
23-12
26-18
30-21
19-23
21-25
18-13
33-13
19-22
15-32
22-17
19-19
22-22
14-28
18-11
19-18
17-17
21-18
155.0Avg total
79.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.174.4152.6+3.771%
Season at home (3)70.365.0135.3+5.367%
Season away (4)84.081.5165.5+2.575%
Last 10 (10)79.575.5155.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)81.075.2156.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.182.2154.3-10.111%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.175.4145.5-5.225%
vs Weaker (13)78.670.3148.9+8.377%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
69.3%
Under 149
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
57.6%
Under 154
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
45.3%
Under 159
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sampaense total 75
Over 75
61.8%
Under 75
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampaense total 79
Over 79
45.9%
Under 79
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampaense total 83
Over 83
30.8%
Under 83
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santo Andre total 71.5
Over 71.5
77.6%
Under 71.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santo Andre total 75.5
Over 75.5
64.4%
Under 75.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santo Andre total 79.5
Over 79.5
49.2%
Under 79.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sampaense -3
SAMP -3
36.4%
SANT +3
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
SAMP
No market prices yet.
SANT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sampaense 0
SAMP 0
45.4%
SANT 0
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
SAMP
No market prices yet.
SANT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sampaense +3
SAMP +3
54.6%
SANT -3
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
SAMP
No market prices yet.
SANT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
SampaenseSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A31/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/11
Proliga
75.6Avg total
41.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.473.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.973.5-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.734.873.5+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.375.6+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.275.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.239.876.0-3.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.236.572.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker (13)38.333.972.2+4.462%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.3
55.6%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
30.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
67.3%13.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
Santo Andre
WLWWWWLLWL
#8
League position
#4
+6.6
Net rating
+1.2
99.4
Offensive rating
86.8
92.8
Defensive rating
85.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
29.6%
52.1%
Assist %
52.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 86.8Defence92.8 · 85.6Shooting56.5% · 50.9%3-point %36.4% · 29.6%Ball care15.7% · 19.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Sampaense   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
2
Santo Andre wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Sampaense v Santo Andre87-80
22/02/26Santo Andre v Sampaense78-51
04/05/25Sampaense v Santo Andre82-77
08/03/25Santo Andre v Sampaense82-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarreirense75-64
07/11/26AGalitos Barreiro77-86
31/10/26ALusitania85-80
24/10/26ACB Queluz96-87
17/10/26HMaia72-59
10/10/26AAcademica78-73
03/10/26HGalomar64-72
02/05/26HGalomar74-86
25/04/26ASangalhos94-61
19/04/26ASampaense80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game78.170.384.0
Allowed / game74.465.081.5
Point differential+3.7+5.3+2.5
Avg total152.6135.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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