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Sampaense vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game88.8
PortugalProligaRound 16· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Vasco Da Gama
23 Jan 2027
SAMP v VASC
upcoming
19 Oct 2024
SAMP80
VASC78
08 Dec 2023
SAMP90
VASC95
12 Nov 2022
SAMP73
VASC92
20 Dec 2020
SAMP89
VASC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco Da Gama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 65
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 65
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 65
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 65
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 65
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 65
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 65
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 65
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
81-112
81
112
-31
75avg 71
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 71
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 71
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 71
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
30avg 71
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 71
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 71
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 71
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 71
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-30
21-26
19-31
25-30
17-22
22-17
15-26
28-14
20-17
18-24
30-34
27-23
21-37
12-21
10-22
24-20
23-19
22-21
21-22
14-29
16-27
26-22
28-14
35-20
10-27
14-12
23-13
20-24
16-28
20-24
20-17
21-26
20-18
20-23
21-24
24-14
22-23
27-31
17-22
177.3Avg total
84.1Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.888.8174.7-3.033%
Season at home (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Season away (3)87.096.0183.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)84.193.2177.3-9.130%
Last 5 (5)85.090.2175.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.098.4180.4-16.423%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.186.6175.7+2.643%
vs Weaker (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
SampaenseVasco Da Gama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/11
Proliga
89.7Avg total
42.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.448.289.6-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.348.089.3-6.731%-
Last 30 away (14)41.648.490.0-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.447.389.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.450.691.0-10.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.140.985.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker (1)45.047.092.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
30.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.9
65.8%
67.3%12.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
Vasco Da Gama
LLLWLWLWLL
#8
League position
#11
+6.6
Net rating
-16.4
99.4
Offensive rating
82.1
92.8
Defensive rating
98.5
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
29.5%
52.1%
Assist %
73.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 82.1Defence92.8 · 98.5Shooting56.5% · 50.3%3-point %36.4% · 29.5%Ball care15.7% · 18.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sampaense   ■ Vasco Da Gama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
7
Vasco Da Gama wins
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AMaia101-103 OT
31/10/26HGalomar82-91
24/10/26AGinasio Olhanense76-93
17/10/26HBarcelos82-72
10/10/26AGalitos Aveiro84-92
03/10/26HSampaense90-82
25/04/26ABenfica70-103
18/04/26HVitoria96-89
11/04/26AImortal79-95
04/04/26HSporting CP81-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco Da Gama
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game85.884.787.0
Allowed / game88.881.796.0
Point differential-3.0+3.0-9.0
Avg total174.7166.3183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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