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San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game119.2
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Atlanta Hawks
27 Dec 2026
SAS v ATL
upcoming
08 Oct 2026
SAS116
ATL123
20 Nov 2025
SAS135
ATL126
19 Dec 2024
SAS133
ATL126
30 Nov 2023
SAS135
ATL137
19 Mar 2023
SAS126
ATL118
14 Jul 2022
SAS86
ATL87
24 Nov 2021
SAS106
ATL124
01 Apr 2021
SAS129
ATL134
17 Jan 2020
SAS120
ATL121
12 Jul 2019
SAS72
ATL80
02 Apr 2019
SAS117
ATL111
20 Nov 2017
SAS96
ATL85
13 Mar 2017
SAS107
ATL99
08 Oct 2016
SAS102
ATL91
28 Nov 2015
SAS108
ATL88
05 Nov 2014
SAS94
ATL92
22 Oct 2014
SAS107
ATL117
02 Dec 2013
SAS102
ATL100
06 Apr 2013
SAS99
ATL97
10 Oct 2012
SAS101
ATL99
25 Jan 2012
SAS105
ATL83
10 Dec 2010
SAS108
ATL92
27 Jan 2010
SAS105
ATL90
10 Dec 2008
SAS95
ATL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
122-106
122
106
+16
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-20
30-42
26-31
21-30
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
224.9Avg total
115.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Season at home (6)118.2109.3227.5+8.850%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6110.0226.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)108.2107.1215.3+1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)117.5105.6223.1+11.965%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
H05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
123-116
123
116
+7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
119-117
119
117
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
113-110
113
110
+3
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
135-111
135
111
+24
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
132-125
132
125
+7
A21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
117-129
117
129
-12
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
114-111
114
111
+3
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
26-49
37-29
25-22
20-39
42-30
31-26
30-21
31-32
31-28
34-26
23-31
29-28
27-21
23-30
34-31
39-34
34-20
29-24
33-33
28-33
44-29
27-38
33-25
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
239.2Avg total
120.0Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)120.0119.2239.2+0.860%
Season at home (5)116.2120.6236.8-4.440%
Season away (5)123.8117.8241.6+6.080%
Last 10 (10)120.0119.2239.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)117.4121.2238.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)107.7117.4225.1-9.733%
vs Similar (10)120.8117.0237.8+3.870%
vs Weaker (5)136.0111.6247.6+24.4100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
San Antonio SpursAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
61.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.453.4110.8+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.649.4106.9+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)57.358.0115.3-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.9118.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.0119.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)54.952.6107.5+2.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)59.153.5112.6+5.653%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
121.2Avg total
60.2Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.9118.7+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.557.8113.3-2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)63.659.8123.4+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)60.261.0121.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.659.4117.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)55.361.6116.9-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)61.657.7119.3+3.980%-
vs Weaker (5)69.653.0122.6+16.6100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.3
51.3%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.1
33.7%
34.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
76.4%19.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.9
53.1%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.314.7
33.9%
34.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
76.4%19.6
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLLWWLLL
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#7
+2.7
Net rating
-4.1
99.4
Offensive rating
105.1
96.7
Defensive rating
109.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.7%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
33.9%
63.7%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 105.1Defence96.7 · 109.3Shooting50.9% · 52.1%3-point %33.7% · 33.9%Ball care14.8% · 12.7%Off. rebounds20.3% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
09/10/26HAtlanta Hawks116-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121
21/10/26AOrlando Magic132-125
17/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-111
12/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder113-110
10/10/26AIndiana Pacers119-117
09/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-116
05/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies123-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game115.5118.2111.5
Allowed / game109.4109.3109.5
Point differential+6.1+8.8+2.0
Avg total224.9227.5221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%40%80%
Points / game120.0116.2123.8
Allowed / game119.2120.6117.8
Point differential+0.8-4.4+6.0
Avg total239.2236.8241.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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