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San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#24
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Charlotte Hornets
27 Jan 2027
SAS v CHA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
SAS115
CHA102
14 Mar 2025
SAS134
CHA145
06 Jul 2024
SAS65
CHA97
12 Jan 2024
SAS135
CHA99
07 Jul 2023
SAS76
CHA68
19 Oct 2022
SAS102
CHA129
15 Dec 2021
SAS115
CHA131
22 Mar 2021
SAS97
CHA100
01 Feb 2020
SAS114
CHA90
07 Jul 2019
SAS106
CHA96
14 Jan 2019
SAS93
CHA108
03 Nov 2017
SAS108
CHA101
07 Jan 2017
SAS102
CHA85
07 Nov 2015
SAS114
CHA94
28 Jan 2015
SAS95
CHA86
28 Feb 2014
SAS92
CHA82
12 Jul 2013
SAS69
CHA67
30 Jan 2013
SAS102
CHA78
02 Mar 2012
SAS102
CHA72
19 Mar 2011
SAS109
CHA98
11 Dec 2009
SAS104
CHA85
10 Mar 2009
SAS100
CHA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
74avg 112
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
109-119
109
119
-10
58avg 112
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
92avg 112
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
102avg 112
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
104-116
104
116
-12
88avg 112
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
97avg 112
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 112
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 112
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 112
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
224.2Avg total
116.0Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)116.0109.5225.5+6.555%
Season at home (7)118.6109.6228.1+9.057%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)116.0108.2224.2+7.860%
Last 5 (5)120.0109.0229.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (14)109.7108.5218.2+1.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)117.8105.3223.1+12.567%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
105-90
105
90
+15
92avg 102
H11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
93-114
93
114
-21
72avg 102
A14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
98-116
98
116
-18
47avg 102
A17/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-103
110
103
+7
100avg 102
A21/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
81-128
81
128
-47
64avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
115-110
115
110
+5
107avg 102
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
W
110-103
110
103
+7
93avg 102
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
L
79-95
79
95
-16
59avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
104-109
104
109
-5
91avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
31-19
27-22
18-23
20-28
24-26
33-31
16-29
20-23
18-27
24-29
36-37
27-23
27-25
32-33
24-22
20-33
23-35
19-29
19-31
31-31
35-27
30-17
19-35
19-21
35-23
26-24
30-35
22-21
29-23
19-32
19-21
26-22
20-29
13-28
20-16
37-27
17-30
29-20
21-32
204.9Avg total
98.4Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.6108.1205.7-10.536%
Season at home (6)100.8110.7211.5-9.850%
Season away (5)93.8105.0198.8-11.220%
Last 10 (10)98.4106.5204.9-8.140%
Last 5 (5)99.4102.8202.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)97.4110.4207.7-13.027%
vs Similar (12)113.5109.4222.9+4.167%
vs Weaker (7)119.7101.9221.6+17.986%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -5.9-5.9
San Antonio SpursCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
117.3Avg total
60.5Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.153.5111.6+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.750.1107.8+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)58.558.0116.5+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.556.8117.3+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)63.658.2121.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (14)56.353.9110.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)59.752.7112.3+7.053%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H31/10
NBA
102.9Avg total
51.0Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.7110.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.455.6116.0+4.765%-
Last 30 away (13)50.253.5103.6-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)51.051.9102.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)54.250.8105.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)49.853.5103.4-3.736%-
vs Similar (12)58.256.8115.0+1.358%-
vs Weaker (7)61.752.9114.6+8.971%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.5
52.5%
54.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.912.9
34.0%
34.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.420.9
79.2%
76.3%20.9
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.6
51.1%
54.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.215.1
34.2%
34.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws19.816.3
82.3%
76.3%16.3
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLLWWLL
Charlotte Hornets
LLLWWLWLLW
#12
League position
#24
+3.9
Net rating
-5.2
101.4
Offensive rating
99.1
97.5
Defensive rating
104.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
34.2%
63.6%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 99.1Defence97.5 · 104.3Shooting51.9% · 51.2%3-point %34.0% · 34.2%Ball care14.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers104-109
30/10/26AWashington Wizards79-95
28/10/26ADetroit Pistons89-97
26/10/26HWashington Wizards110-103
24/10/26HMiami Heat115-110
23/10/26HAtlanta Hawks81-128
21/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-103
17/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies98-116
14/10/26ABoston Celtics93-114
11/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks105-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%57%50%
Points / game116.0118.6111.5
Allowed / game109.5109.6109.5
Point differential+6.5+9.0+2.0
Avg total225.5228.1221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game97.6100.893.8
Allowed / game108.1110.7105.0
Point differential-10.5-9.8-11.2
Avg total205.7211.5198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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