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San Diego State vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-67 (OT)
39-34 24-29 13-4
Position#48
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#283
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · San Diego State v California
21 Dec 2024
SAN 71
CALI50
25 Nov 2023
SAN 76
CALI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H01/04
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H04/04
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H15/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
36-27
28-23
43-41
28-33
29-23
33-40
39-31
36-24
40-35
37-35
46-22
28-33
37-41
47-39
41-37
34-33
45-21
43-40
42-45
142.6Avg total
76.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.071.6154.6+11.480%
Season at home (4)87.571.0158.5+16.5100%
Season away (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)76.666.0142.6+10.690%
Last 5 (5)83.071.6154.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.861.6132.4+9.280%
vs Similar (13)71.267.2138.5+4.077%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.860.6133.4+12.2100%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#193
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
51-84
51
84
-33
A03/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A08/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H14/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A21/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
31-34
26-42
25-42
36-28
30-41
21-35
31-34
35-34
36-32
38-40
41-47
49-34
34-29
27-33
33-30
35-40
37-35
35-29
46-55
139.5Avg total
67.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.373.0147.3+1.333%
Season at home (5)74.872.6147.4+2.240%
Season away (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)67.272.3139.5-5.120%
Last 5 (5)75.074.4149.4+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)60.471.9132.3-11.515%
vs Similar (2)71.563.0134.5+8.550%
vs Weaker (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
San Diego StateCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/04
NCAA
Uconn
#29
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H04/04
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H18/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H20/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.829.063.9+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.228.564.8+7.880%-
Last 30 away (10)32.030.162.1+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)35.332.567.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.073.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.628.460.0+3.280%-
vs Similar (13)35.330.866.1+4.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.727.463.1+8.283%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#193
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A03/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
32.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)28.533.361.8-4.831%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.932.162.0-2.235%-
Last 30 away (12)26.534.961.4-8.425%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.467.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.272.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)27.433.060.4-5.631%-
vs Similar (2)38.033.571.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (1)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
California wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HWashington100-97 OT
18/11/23HSt. Marys (CA)79-54
15/11/23HLong Beach State88-76
11/11/23ABrigham Young65-74
07/11/23HCS Fullerton83-57
04/04/23HUconn76-59
01/04/23HFlorida Atlantic72-71
26/03/23HCreighton57-56
24/03/23AAlabama71-64
18/03/23HFurman75-52
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HTulane81-84
21/11/23AUTEP72-75
17/11/23HMontana State60-63
14/11/23HCSU Bakersfield83-63
11/11/23HPacific79-87
07/11/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)71-66
08/03/23AWashington State52-69
05/03/23AOregon State66-69
03/03/23AOregon51-84
25/02/23HWashington State57-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game83.087.565.0
Allowed / game71.671.074.0
Point differential+11.4+16.5-9.0
Avg total154.6158.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
California
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %33%40%0%
Points / game74.374.872.0
Allowed / game73.072.675.0
Point differential+1.3+2.2-3.0
Avg total147.3147.4147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada440100%89.065.2+23.8
2 Colorado State660100%84.766.2+18.5
3 Utah State65183%81.262.5+18.7
4 New Mexico65183%84.069.7+14.3
5 Wyoming54180%79.666.4+13.2
6 San Diego State54180%83.071.6+11.4
7 Grand Canyon43175%80.267.2+13.0
8 Air Force75271%67.461.9+5.6
9 San Jose State64267%75.062.3+12.7
10 Boise State53260%72.068.2+3.8
11 Fresno State53260%75.676.8-1.2
12 UNLV52340%72.874.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson550100%79.666.8+12.8
2 Pittsburgh65183%88.263.2+25.0
3 Duke65183%84.064.2+19.8
4 North Carolina65183%85.369.0+16.3
5 Virginia Tech65183%81.365.2+16.2
6 Miami (FL)65183%84.872.5+12.3
7 Virginia65183%65.353.8+11.5
8 NC State54180%82.669.8+12.8
9 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
10 SMU Mustangs64267%74.564.8+9.7
11 Syracuse64267%78.271.5+6.7
12 Boston College64267%74.570.5+4.0
13 Notre Dame53260%66.267.2-1.0
14 Wake Forest63350%78.373.0+5.3
15 Georgia Tech42250%74.277.5-3.2
16 Stanford73443%79.177.7+1.4
17 Louisville52340%74.474.0+0.4
18 California62433%74.373.0+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
San Diego State39241376
California3429467
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