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San Diego State vs Creighton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:20
Final 57-56
28-33 29-23
Position#10
Record30-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game63.1
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Creighton
USA
Position#83
Record24-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · San Diego State v Creighton
26 Mar 2023
SAN 57
CREI56
17 Mar 2022
SAN 69
CREI72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
36-32
27-37
46-34
30-27
30-39
34-22
33-28
27-25
37-36
33-20
31-29
28-29
34-28
32-29
31-28
39-25
36-27
28-23
43-41
126.1Avg total
67.6Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)71.963.1135.0+8.883%
Season at home (23)73.760.7134.5+13.091%
Season away (13)68.567.3135.8+1.269%
Last 10 (10)67.658.5126.1+9.190%
Last 5 (5)67.055.8122.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.060.5127.5+6.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.964.0133.9+5.971%
vs Weaker (14)71.958.5130.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H02/03
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A05/03
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A11/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H17/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H25/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
35-35
40-32
31-41
24-38
43-41
51-24
48-35
39-24
45-46
32-23
55-51
26-40
34-42
28-26
44-37
39-29
46-47
47-43
39-32
150.6Avg total
78.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)77.068.7145.7+8.367%
Season at home (20)79.064.4143.4+14.685%
Season away (16)74.474.1148.6+0.344%
Last 10 (10)78.871.8150.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)78.074.0152.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.061.0119.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.076.3152.3-0.338%
vs Weaker (15)77.364.7142.1+12.680%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
San Diego StateCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A24/03
NCAA
58.2Avg total
31.9Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.627.362.9+8.377%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.725.462.1+11.384%-
Last 30 away (11)33.730.564.3+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)31.926.358.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)32.025.257.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.026.056.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.029.364.3+5.764%-
vs Weaker (14)37.025.462.4+11.686%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Villanova
#196
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H02/03
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A05/03
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H17/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A19/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.469.1+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.229.667.8+8.687%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.370.3-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)36.831.167.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.266.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.836.072.8+0.862%-
vs Weaker (15)37.329.366.6+8.180%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Diego State wins
1
Creighton wins
DateGameScore
17/03/22San Diego State v Creighton69-72 OT
29/11/19Creighton v San Diego State52-83
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23AAlabama71-64
18/03/23HFurman75-52
16/03/23HCharleston63-57
11/03/23HUtah State62-57
11/03/23HSan Jose State64-49
09/03/23HColorado State64-61
05/03/23HWyoming67-50
01/03/23ABoise State60-66
26/02/23ANew Mexico73-71
22/02/23HColorado State77-58
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HPrinceton86-75
19/03/23ABaylor85-76
17/03/23HNC State72-63
11/03/23AXavier60-82
10/03/23HVillanova87-74
05/03/23ADePaul84-70
02/03/23HGeorgetown99-59
25/02/23AVillanova67-79
22/02/23HMarquette71-73
19/02/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362313
Win %83%91%69%
Points / game71.973.768.5
Allowed / game63.160.767.3
Point differential+8.8+13.0+1.2
Avg total135.0134.5135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%61%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)80% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Creighton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %67%85%44%
Points / game77.079.074.4
Allowed / game68.764.474.1
Point differential+8.3+14.7+0.3
Avg total145.7143.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%65%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3630683%71.963.1+8.8
2 Utah State3526974%78.269.9+8.3
3 Boise State34241071%72.164.6+7.4
4 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
5 Nevada33221167%72.667.8+4.8
6 Grand Canyon35231266%71.666.6+5.0
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette3629781%79.370.3+9.1
2 Uconn3729878%78.864.4+14.4
3 Xavier37271073%80.974.1+6.9
4 Creighton36241267%77.068.7+8.3
5 Providence33211264%77.371.0+6.3
6 Seton Hall32171553%68.565.1+3.4
7 St. John's (N.Y.)34181653%76.675.6+1.0
8 Villanova33171652%70.067.8+2.1
9 Butler32141844%65.267.9-2.7
10 DePaul33102330%71.277.3-6.1
11 Georgetown3272522%69.578.1-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State282957
Creighton332356
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