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San Diego State vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 01:20
Final 76-59
36-24 40-35
Position#10
Record32-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.1
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Uconn
USA
Position#29
Record30-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAANCAA - Final
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H01/04
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
30-39
34-22
33-28
27-25
37-36
33-20
31-29
28-29
34-28
32-29
31-28
39-25
36-27
28-23
43-41
28-33
29-23
33-40
39-31
123.8Avg total
65.5Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)71.563.1134.6+8.384%
Season at home (25)73.061.0134.0+12.092%
Season away (13)68.567.3135.8+1.269%
Last 10 (10)65.558.3123.8+7.290%
Last 5 (5)67.660.0127.6+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.060.5127.5+6.5100%
vs Similar (15)69.063.6132.6+5.473%
vs Weaker (13)70.258.6128.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H02/03
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A05/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H17/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H19/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H23/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A26/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H02/04
NCAA
1H
2H
50-41
45-45
51-19
37-40
32-24
39-35
35-19
38-47
38-38
30-32
37-39
50-24
31-30
39-25
46-29
42-36
39-32
43-22
37-24
35-35
143.0Avg total
79.4Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.664.3142.9+14.479%
Season at home (23)81.663.0144.6+18.791%
Season away (15)74.166.3140.3+7.860%
Last 10 (10)79.463.6143.0+15.890%
Last 5 (5)79.859.2139.0+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.757.3137.0+22.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)76.966.9143.8+10.070%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
San Diego StateUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A24/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H26/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/04
NCAA
58.5Avg total
31.2Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.627.762.3+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.126.161.2+9.074%-
Last 30 away (11)33.730.564.3+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)31.227.358.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.062.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.026.056.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (15)34.630.264.8+4.453%-
vs Weaker (13)35.325.260.5+10.285%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H02/03
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/03
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H23/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A26/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/04
NCAA
69.1Avg total
39.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.830.469.3+8.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.429.870.2+10.682%-
Last 30 away (13)36.831.268.0+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)39.629.569.1+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.868.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.733.769.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.230.169.3+9.178%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Uconn wins
No previous meetings.
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HFlorida Atlantic72-71
26/03/23HCreighton57-56
24/03/23AAlabama71-64
18/03/23HFurman75-52
16/03/23HCharleston63-57
11/03/23HUtah State62-57
11/03/23HSan Jose State64-49
09/03/23HColorado State64-61
05/03/23HWyoming67-50
01/03/23ABoise State60-66
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HMiami (FL)72-59
26/03/23AGonzaga82-54
23/03/23HArkansas88-65
19/03/23HSt. Marys (CA)70-55
17/03/23HIona87-63
10/03/23AMarquette68-70
09/03/23HProvidence73-66
05/03/23AVillanova71-59
02/03/23HDePaul88-59
25/02/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382513
Win %84%92%69%
Points / game71.573.068.5
Allowed / game63.161.067.3
Point differential+8.3+12.0+1.2
Avg total134.6134.0135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)86% (7)100% (4)
Overtime %5%4%8%
Uconn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382315
Win %79%91%60%
Points / game78.681.674.1
Allowed / game64.363.066.3
Point differential+14.4+18.7+7.8
Avg total142.9144.6140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%74%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3832684%71.563.1+8.3
2 Utah State3526974%78.269.9+8.3
3 Boise State34241071%72.164.6+7.4
4 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
5 Nevada33221167%72.667.8+4.8
6 Grand Canyon35231266%71.666.6+5.0
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette3629781%79.370.3+9.1
2 Uconn3830879%78.664.3+14.4
3 Xavier37271073%80.974.1+6.9
4 Creighton37241365%76.468.4+8.0
5 Providence33211264%77.371.0+6.3
6 Seton Hall32171553%68.565.1+3.4
7 St. John's (N.Y.)34181653%76.675.6+1.0
8 Villanova33171652%70.067.8+2.1
9 Butler32141844%65.267.9-2.7
10 DePaul33102330%71.277.3-6.1
11 Georgetown3272522%69.578.1-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State364076
Uconn243559
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