PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Diego State vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-66
33-32 44-34
Position#70
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#33
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game62.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
36-40
45-51
152.3Avg total
75.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.579.2160.7+2.350%
Season at home (4)84.575.2159.8+9.250%
Season away (2)75.587.0162.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)75.676.7152.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)82.486.0168.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.094.0148.0-40.00%
vs Similar (14)70.970.2141.1+0.743%
vs Weaker (15)74.063.5137.5+10.587%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H15/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H16/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#15
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A20/03
NIT
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
116-35
116
35
+81
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A16/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-45
89
45
+44
H26/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-24
0-0
34-31
0-0
33-40
0-0
49-49
0-0
32-37
0-0
38-42
0-0
64-16
0-0
52-19
0-0
35-46
0-0
42-55
0-0
43-29
0-0
48-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
34-42
0-0
31-27
0-0
48-45
0-0
29-24
0-0
46-28
0-0
42-14
0-0
47-31
148.4Avg total
82.1Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.962.9148.7+23.071%
Season at home (4)93.853.0146.8+40.8100%
Season away (3)75.376.0151.3-0.733%
Last 10 (10)82.166.3148.4+15.860%
Last 5 (5)81.660.8142.4+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.071.2143.2+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.864.0144.8+16.992%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +6.5+6.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +6.5+6.5
San Diego StateUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.963.8+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.729.162.7+4.674%-
Last 30 away (11)31.634.065.6-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.870.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)32.431.163.6+1.357%-
vs Weaker (15)33.429.763.1+3.773%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H15/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A20/03
NIT
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
64-16
64
16
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A16/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
42-14
42
14
+28
H26/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
38.3Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.066.3+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.127.266.3+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)33.033.366.3-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.329.067.3+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.025.462.4+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.632.063.6-0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.429.366.8+8.171%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Utah Valley State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HBaylor81-91
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HSamford89-45
25/11/25ASouth Dakota St.75-52
20/11/25HUC Irvine79-72
16/11/25AFresno State74-75
13/11/25HWestminster UT91-60
08/11/25ABoise State77-101
05/11/25HWest Coast Baptist116-35
20/03/25ASan Francisco70-79
16/03/25HGrand Canyon82-89
15/03/25HSeattle68-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.584.575.5
Allowed / game79.275.287.0
Point differential+2.3+9.2-11.5
Avg total160.7159.8162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game85.993.875.3
Allowed / game62.953.076.0
Point differential+23.0+40.8-0.7
Avg total148.7146.8151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State770100%88.967.3+21.6
2 Wyoming86275%85.169.8+15.4
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 New Mexico86275%80.268.8+11.5
5 Fresno State96367%77.368.3+9.0
6 Nevada96367%77.273.7+3.6
7 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
8 Grand Canyon85362%73.666.5+7.1
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State83538%72.071.8+0.2
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force103730%67.274.8-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist97278%73.167.8+5.3
2 Utah Valley State75271%85.962.9+23.0
3 UT Arlington96367%76.165.3+10.8
4 Abilene Christian96367%73.465.3+8.1
5 Tarleton106460%78.974.0+4.9
6 Utah Tech105550%77.872.5+5.3
7 Southern Utah104640%81.480.2+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State334477
Utah Valley State323466
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.