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UNLV vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 74-67
32-34 42-33
Position#165
Record16-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game68.0
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#65
Record20-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UNLV v San Diego State
24 Jan 2026
UNLV71
SAN 82
04 Mar 2025
UNLV74
SAN 67
14 Mar 2024
UNLV71
SAN 74
05 Mar 2024
UNLV62
SAN 58
31 Dec 2022
UNLV67
SAN 76
01 Jan 2022
UNLV55
SAN 62
03 Mar 2021
UNLV62
SAN 71
02 Jan 2021
UNLV v SAN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
UNLV67
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
34-36
24-33
47-43
30-33
35-38
29-33
33-38
30-23
38-34
44-22
33-30
26-18
26-33
26-27
27-34
35-31
42-40
34-26
34-29
130.6Avg total
66.6Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.668.0137.6+1.655%
Season at home (18)71.266.9138.1+4.261%
Season away (11)67.069.6136.6-2.645%
Last 10 (10)66.664.0130.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)65.458.0123.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.575.2140.7-9.815%
vs Similar (9)73.466.9140.3+6.678%
vs Weaker (8)71.860.2132.0+11.588%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-21
41-29
29-41
42-27
28-25
35-36
35-38
28-30
20-37
49-29
28-18
36-29
43-23
40-37
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
133.1Avg total
69.8Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.463.4134.8+8.074%
Season at home (16)72.161.8133.9+10.375%
Season away (11)70.365.7136.0+4.573%
Last 10 (10)69.863.3133.1+6.580%
Last 5 (5)72.664.0136.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar (12)69.162.8131.9+6.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)74.962.3137.2+12.693%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +6.1+6.1
UNLVSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A02/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H12/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H01/03
NCAA
60.2Avg total
31.7Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.863.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.629.965.4+5.767%-
Last 30 away (12)29.532.261.7-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)31.728.560.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.024.857.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.835.365.1-5.531%-
vs Similar (9)35.230.665.8+4.778%-
vs Weaker (8)36.223.860.0+12.588%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
60.2Avg total
30.3Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.029.361.3+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.127.961.9+6.278%-
Last 30 away (12)28.931.560.4-2.642%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.960.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.627.460.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (12)32.429.361.8+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)32.928.361.1+4.671%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UNLV wins
7
San Diego State wins
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HNevada68-55
26/02/25ASan Jose State77-71
23/02/25HColorado State53-61
16/02/25AFresno State52-51
12/02/25HAir Force77-52
08/02/25AWyoming68-57
05/02/25HBoise State62-71
02/02/25ANevada65-71
30/01/25AUtah State71-76
25/01/25HNew Mexico73-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79
19/02/25HFresno State83-60
16/02/25HBoise State64-47
12/02/25ASan Jose State69-66
09/02/25AColorado State63-68
02/02/25HWyoming63-61
29/01/25HSan Jose State71-68
26/01/25ANevada69-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLLWLW61%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %55%61%45%
Points / game69.671.267.0
Allowed / game68.066.969.6
Point differential+1.6+4.2-2.6
Avg total137.6138.1136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %74%75%73%
Points / game71.472.170.3
Allowed / game63.461.865.7
Point differential+8.0+10.3+4.5
Avg total134.8133.9136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3024680%82.371.5+10.8
2 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
3 Grand Canyon2822679%77.868.1+9.7
4 San Diego State2720774%71.463.4+8.0
5 Boise State3022873%76.165.8+10.3
6 Colorado State3021970%75.267.4+7.8
7 UNLV29161355%69.668.0+1.6
8 Nevada30161453%72.767.7+5.0
9 San Jose State31131842%72.474.3-1.9
10 Wyoming31121939%67.471.3-4.0
11 Fresno State3062420%70.880.1-9.3
12 Air Force3042613%62.573.4-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV324274
San Diego State343367
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