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San Francisco vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 68-82
28-42 40-40
Position#191
Record12-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game68.6
San Francisco
USA
vs
St. Marys (CA) 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)
26 Jan 2027
SAN v ST.
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
SAN 68
ST. 82
06 Feb 2025
SAN 65
ST. 64
20 Jan 2024
SAN 60
ST. 77
14 Jan 2023
SAN 61
ST. 78
27 Jan 2022
SAN 70
ST. 72
23 Jan 2021
SAN 63
ST. 67
02 Jan 2020
SAN 58
ST. 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Francisco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A14/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A31/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H05/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-22
35-40
30-31
45-54
50-36
35-35
42-28
52-36
32-30
35-29
30-25
32-45
29-28
45-36
27-34
46-34
31-31
36-36
32-21
48-39
144.4Avg total
75.7Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.768.6144.3+7.163%
Season at home (9)80.764.8145.4+15.989%
Season away (10)71.272.1143.3-0.940%
Last 10 (10)75.768.7144.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.781.2155.8-6.533%
vs Similar (9)72.873.0145.8-0.244%
vs Weaker (14)77.964.4142.3+13.686%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-51
37-45
27-24
43-37
32-37
35-31
38-30
50-45
28-27
35-31
33-33
45-40
34-25
38-20
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
145.9Avg total
76.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.864.9144.8+14.989%
Season at home (12)84.163.4147.5+20.7100%
Season away (6)71.368.0139.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)76.869.1145.9+7.780%
Last 5 (5)81.866.6148.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.562.5125.0+0.050%
vs Similar (4)73.574.5148.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)75.462.7138.1+12.791%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.6+5.6
San FranciscoSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A31/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A11/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
33.3Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.765.3+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.930.866.7+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)33.430.664.0+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)33.328.661.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)29.827.857.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.534.067.5-0.533%-
vs Similar (9)32.733.466.1-0.844%-
vs Weaker (14)36.227.463.6+8.886%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.930.366.3+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.329.968.2+8.384%-
Last 30 away (11)31.931.062.9+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.669.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.473.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.070.8-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.129.265.3+6.983%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Francisco wins
9
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)65-64
24/01/25St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco71-51
21/02/24St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco70-66
21/01/24San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)60-77
03/02/23St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco68-59
15/01/23San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)61-78
18/02/22St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco69-64
28/01/22San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)70-72
24/01/21San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)63-67
24/01/20St. Marys (CA) v San Francisco58-48
San Franciscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26APepperdine80-60
09/01/26ALoyola Marymount82-84 OT
05/01/26HPortland73-68
03/01/26HSan Diego Toreros74-64
31/12/25AOregon State62-70
29/12/25ASeattle67-59
21/12/25HMorgan State94-64
18/12/25HLoyola Chicago85-71
14/12/25ASt. Louis Billikens75-85
07/12/25AMississippi St.65-62
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
29/12/25ALoyola Marymount78-73
23/12/25HNorthern Iowa63-58
20/12/25HFlorida Atlantic88-75
14/12/25ABoise State67-68
07/12/25ADavidson70-61
28/11/25AVanderbilt71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Francisco
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%89%40%
Points / game75.780.771.2
Allowed / game68.664.872.1
Point differential+7.1+15.9-0.9
Avg total144.3145.4143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game79.884.171.3
Allowed / game64.963.468.0
Point differential+14.9+20.7+3.3
Avg total144.8147.5139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1817194%91.467.9+23.6
2 St. Marys (CA)1816289%79.864.9+14.9
3 Santa Clara1914574%83.371.5+11.8
4 Seattle1812667%76.968.2+8.7
5 Pacific1912763%75.868.7+7.2
6 San Francisco1912763%75.768.6+7.1
7 Loyola Marymount1911858%76.871.2+5.6
8 Portland1991047%79.381.1-1.8
9 Oregon State1991047%71.174.3-3.3
10 Washington State1881044%75.275.9-0.8
11 San Diego Toreros1871139%73.877.2-3.4
12 Pepperdine1951426%69.776.2-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Francisco284068
St. Marys (CA)424082
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