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San Francisco vs St. Marys (CA) Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#105
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Francisco v St. Marys (CA)
26 Jan 2027
SAN v ST.
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
SAN 68
ST. 82
06 Feb 2025
SAN 65
ST. 64
20 Jan 2024
SAN 60
ST. 77
14 Jan 2023
SAN 61
ST. 78
27 Jan 2022
SAN 70
ST. 72
23 Jan 2021
SAN 63
ST. 67
02 Jan 2020
SAN 58
ST. 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Francisco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-38
29-41
30-39
38-44
35-50
42-35
30-26
29-29
53-36
32-30
45-48
37-30
39-32
45-31
34-39
26-28
37-30
28-47
40-37
147.2Avg total
74.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season at home (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.1147.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.679.8146.3-13.211%
vs Similar (7)76.175.9152.0+0.357%
vs Weaker (14)76.169.1145.2+6.971%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#212
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
37-42
40-39
43-28
42-36
44-31
29-36
41-23
35-32
36-44
26-37
24-26
33-39
44-38
45-26
60-38
35-42
44-37
42-24
42-37
151.4Avg total
80.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.576.5170.0+17.075%
Season at home (3)93.070.0163.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)95.096.0191.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.670.8151.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.873.8158.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.566.0133.5+1.550%
vs Similar (5)73.272.4145.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.766.5146.2+13.287%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +7.1+7.1
San FranciscoSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.067.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.935.669.5-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)32.131.863.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.338.167.4-8.80%-
vs Similar (7)36.735.372.0+1.457%-
vs Weaker (14)33.830.664.4+3.171%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#212
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H14/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.068.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.9+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)33.933.667.5+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.535.068.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)35.635.070.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.731.167.8+5.670%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Francisco wins
9
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPortland State68-84
11/11/26HMontana63-58
07/11/26HNorth Dakota St79-70
03/11/26HRadford76-62
09/03/26AOregon State77-78
08/03/26HPortland82-65
28/02/26APacific72-61
22/02/26HSanta Clara73-94
19/02/26HGonzaga59-80
15/02/26ASan Diego Toreros92-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllinois (Chi.)84-61
08/11/26ANevada95-96 OT
05/11/26HNorth Dakota St105-64
03/11/26HIllinois State90-85 OT
19/03/26HTexas A&M50-63
10/03/26HSanta Clara71-76
01/03/26HGonzaga70-59
26/02/26HSanta Clara86-67
22/02/26AWashington State83-67
19/02/26ASeattle72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Francisco
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.593.095.0
Allowed / game76.570.096.0
Point differential+17.0+23.0-1.0
Avg total170.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%33%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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