PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Martin vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Fortín Rojinegro
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Martin v Independiente de Oliva
16 Dec 2026
SAN v INDE
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
SAN 67
INDE68
16 Jan 2025
SAN 85
INDE69
26 Apr 2024
SAN 68
INDE63
14 Apr 2023
SAN 90
INDE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Martin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San MartinArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMartin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
97-101
97
101
-4
85avg 70
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 70
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
116avg 70
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 70
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
86-106
86
106
-20
78avg 70
H21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
71avg 70
A28/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
72-81
72
81
-9
68avg 70
A30/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
A07/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
75-42
75
42
+33
no box
A08/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
20-25
22-26
27-32
19-22
23-19
12-17
19-23
18-30
23-16
23-19
26-25
24-28
16-17
16-15
23-22
23-30
20-19
20-34
23-23
11-23
21-25
25-24
19-23
23-20
13-19
10-21
26-21
13-14
17-28
14-21
19-27
20-8
17-17
21-8
17-9
18-20
12-26
21-19
36-19
171.9Avg total
83.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.687.4169.0-5.922%
Season at home (2)79.593.5173.0-14.00%
Season away (7)82.185.7167.9-3.629%
Last 10 (10)83.188.8171.9-5.720%
Last 5 (5)74.678.4153.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.187.6165.6-9.514%
vs Similar (14)81.283.1164.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (2)78.560.5139.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 78
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 78
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 78
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 78
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 78
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 78
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 78
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 78
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
San MartinIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A08/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A11/11
Liga A
80.3Avg total
37.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.777.9-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.140.478.5-2.333%-
Last 30 away (18)35.142.577.6-7.411%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.480.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.073.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.943.481.2-5.521%-
vs Similar (14)34.941.176.0-6.114%-
vs Weaker (2)34.534.068.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Martintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Martin: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
54.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
32.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.012.8
67.4%
72.7%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Martin
WWLLLLLLLL
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
#18
League position
#7
-12.2
Net rating
-3.2
112.4
Offensive rating
107.5
124.6
Defensive rating
110.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
49.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.3%
3-point %
29.3%
47.1%
Assist %
43.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 107.5Defence124.6 · 110.8Shooting55.9% · 49.1%3-point %38.3% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ San Martin   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

San Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AFerro87-84
08/11/26ASan Lorenzo75-42
07/11/26ABoca Juniors63-90
30/10/26ALanus72-81
28/10/26APenarol76-95
21/10/26HOlimpico86-106
11/10/26AArgentino79-82
09/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy123-126 OT
01/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-81
01/05/26HBoca Juniors97-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Martin
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW22%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %22%0%29%
Points / game81.679.582.1
Allowed / game87.493.585.7
Point differential-5.9-14.0-3.6
Avg total169.0173.0167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%14%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.