PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Pablo Burgos vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game92.7
SpainACBRound 32· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Bilbao
09 May 2027
SPB v BIL
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
SPB96
BIL88
16 Feb 2022
SPB104
BIL97
29 Dec 2020
SPB96
BIL86
24 May 2018
SPB90
BIL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
85-81
85
81
+4
81avg 79
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
84avg 79
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 79
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#8
L
87-96
87
96
-9
79avg 79
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
65avg 79
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
80avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
99-81
99
81
+18
97avg 79
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 79
H28/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
14-28
16-25
25-16
25-24
20-19
25-25
25-30
17-22
18-24
21-22
20-24
25-15
23-25
15-21
16-20
18-13
25-18
20-18
17-22
17-31
34-20
18-17
29-26
18-18
21-17
14-22
19-23
17-17
17-14
14-25
22-25
26-26
168.4Avg total
83.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.087.5175.5+0.533%
Season at home (2)84.588.5173.0-4.00%
Season away (4)89.887.0176.8+2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.085.4168.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)80.083.6163.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.890.2173.0-7.38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.889.8180.7+1.058%
vs Weaker (6)91.085.0176.0+6.067%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 83
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 83
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 83
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 83
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 83
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 83
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 83
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 83
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 83
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
182.9Avg total
91.7Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.892.7185.5+0.267%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)88.7100.3189.0-11.733%
Last 10 (10)91.791.2182.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)90.092.4182.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.094.1175.1-13.112%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.583.9172.4+4.675%
vs Weaker (14)90.982.8173.7+8.179%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
San Pablo BurgosBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#17
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A01/11
ACB
82.0Avg total
39.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.486.6-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.844.588.3-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.284.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.382.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.944.083.9-4.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.244.888.0-1.542%-
vs Weaker (6)45.044.389.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.083.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.483.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.483.9-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.885.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.846.082.8-9.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (14)44.740.385.0+4.464%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.0
55.0%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.7%15.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
55.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.2
37.7%
36.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
75.7%18.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LLWLLLLLWW
Bilbao
WLWLWWWLWL
#13
League position
#8
-1.4
Net rating
-0.1
94.2
Offensive rating
100.2
95.6
Defensive rating
100.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.3%
3-point %
37.7%
55.2%
Assist %
66.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 100.2Defence95.6 · 100.3Shooting52.7% · 53.8%3-point %32.3% · 37.7%Ball care17.1% · 13.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Pablo Burgos wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AReal Madrid79-90
28/10/26HRigas Zelli71-79
24/10/26AManresa99-81
21/10/26ATortona79-89
17/10/26HObradoiro CAB72-79
14/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem84-85
11/10/26ABilbao87-96
07/10/26AAris80-93
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game88.084.589.8
Allowed / game87.588.587.0
Point differential+0.5-4.0+2.8
Avg total175.5173.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game92.897.088.7
Allowed / game92.785.0100.3
Point differential+0.2+12.0-11.7
Avg total185.5182.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.