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San Pablo Burgos vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-76
26-14 21-20 19-19 26-23
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#18
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game88.3
SpainACBRound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Breogan
03 Apr 2027
SPB v BRE
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SPB94
BRE99
23 Sep 2021
SPB62
BRE87
20 Oct 2018
SPB92
BRE76
26 May 2017
SPB92
BRE81
06 Jan 2017
SPB83
BRE92
11 Nov 2015
SPB78
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H22/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A29/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H06/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H12/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A19/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H24/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A29/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H03/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H06/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A14/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
27-21
19-24
14-13
18-9
16-15
17-24
20-15
19-18
30-20
26-14
21-36
25-23
18-20
26-27
20-28
13-26
20-20
29-23
20-33
30-21
18-24
17-17
25-24
17-22
15-23
24-24
25-22
24-18
19-20
25-27
14-14
17-16
15-26
16-23
31-28
15-20
19-19
15-11
13-22
166.3Avg total
81.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.083.8159.8-7.825%
Season at home (2)80.586.0166.5-5.550%
Season away (2)71.581.5153.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.185.2166.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)78.884.2163.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.390.6172.9-8.321%
vs Similar (14)79.578.9158.4+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)96.592.0188.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iberojet Palma
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A21/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H25/03
Primera FEB
Araberri
#9
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H01/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A06/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#18
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H13/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A20/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H27/04
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A07/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H13/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-12
11-18
17-27
16-15
28-9
31-7
16-22
19-37
37-15
27-32
23-14
30-21
22-16
15-23
25-16
23-26
23-18
26-17
21-28
17-21
19-22
21-20
36-23
27-26
21-10
23-14
20-15
31-20
14-14
13-27
20-29
17-27
24-28
12-20
19-21
21-14
23-27
21-19
21-19
168.4Avg total
87.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.788.3167.0-9.733%
Season at home (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)87.281.2168.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)84.083.2167.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
vs Similar (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (27)86.675.7162.3+10.978%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
San Pablo BurgosBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A29/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H24/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/10
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H06/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/10
ACB
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.280.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.582.2-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.978.3-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.879.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.943.482.3-4.629%-
vs Similar (14)38.838.176.9+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.047.090.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iberojet Palma
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#15
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H25/03
Primera FEB
Araberri
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A06/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H27/04
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/10
ACB
85.5Avg total
45.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.080.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.835.481.1+10.493%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.380.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.185.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.884.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (1)44.041.085.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)42.837.480.2+5.470%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.0
52.6%
52.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
74.6%16.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.7
50.8%
52.5%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.2%
36.6%25.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.0
63.5%
74.6%11.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LLWLWLLWWL
Breogan
WLLWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#18
-4.6
Net rating
-13.8
106.0
Offensive rating
103.1
110.6
Defensive rating
116.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.9%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
35.2%
57.5%
Assist %
52.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 103.1Defence110.6 · 116.8Shooting51.1% · 51.6%3-point %32.3% · 35.2%Ball care17.4% · 21.9%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Pablo Burgos wins
2
Breogan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18AMurcia62-72
06/10/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza79-93
03/10/18HBaskonia82-79
29/09/18AObradoiro CAB81-91
24/05/18HBilbao90-86
19/05/18ABaskonia82-102
12/05/18HGran Canaria89-98
06/05/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza96-88
29/04/18AGipuzkoa71-63
22/04/18HJoventut Badalona79-80
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18HEstudiantes86-79
07/10/18AGran Canaria72-96
04/10/18ATenerife78-90
27/04/18HOviedo91-65
20/04/18ALeyma Coruna93-86
13/04/18HIraurgi SB93-89
06/04/18AClavijo92-76
01/04/18HAraberri106-98
25/03/18HHuesca91-53
21/03/18AIberojet Palma70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game76.080.571.5
Allowed / game83.886.081.5
Point differential-7.8-5.5-10.0
Avg total159.8166.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.786.075.0
Allowed / game88.379.093.0
Point differential-9.7+7.0-18.0
Avg total167.0165.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona440100%88.068.5+19.5
2 Real Madrid440100%89.273.5+15.8
3 Baskonia43175%93.271.0+22.2
4 Unicaja43175%87.579.2+8.2
5 Tenerife43175%80.072.8+7.2
6 MoraBanc Andorra42250%73.272.5+0.8
7 Manresa42250%76.277.2-1.0
8 Valencia42250%76.280.0-3.8
9 Obradoiro CAB42250%78.583.0-4.5
10 Tecnyconta Zaragoza42250%75.087.5-12.5
11 Murcia31233%72.073.7-1.7
12 Estudiantes31233%77.780.0-2.3
13 Breogan31233%78.788.3-9.7
14 Joventut Badalona31233%67.077.7-10.7
15 Gran Canaria41325%85.588.0-2.5
16 San Pablo Burgos41325%76.083.8-7.8
17 Fuenlabrada41325%72.585.0-12.5
18 Gipuzkoa4040%68.079.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos2621192692
Breogan1420192376
← all games of the day
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