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San Pablo Burgos vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
SpainACBRound 27· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Breogan
03 Apr 2027
SPB v BRE
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SPB94
BRE99
23 Sep 2021
SPB62
BRE87
20 Oct 2018
SPB92
BRE76
26 May 2017
SPB92
BRE81
06 Jan 2017
SPB83
BRE92
11 Nov 2015
SPB78
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
L
72-79
72
79
-7
65avg 79
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
80avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#16
W
99-81
99
81
+18
97avg 79
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 79
H28/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 79
A01/11
ACB
Rostock
#28
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Valencia
#2
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H08/11
ACB
Le Mans
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Breogan
#6
L
110-119
110
119
-9
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-22
20-24
25-15
23-25
15-21
16-20
18-13
25-18
20-18
17-22
17-31
34-20
18-17
29-26
18-18
21-17
14-22
19-23
17-17
17-14
14-25
22-25
26-26
14-27
13-24
21-23
11-12
27-22
25-19
20-30
21-29
25-18
20-27
16-24
19-19
27-19
11-28
42-41
30-31
172.2Avg total
82.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.493.0184.4-1.625%
Season at home (3)87.392.3179.7-5.00%
Season away (5)93.893.4187.2+0.440%
Last 10 (10)82.689.6172.2-7.010%
Last 5 (5)84.296.6180.8-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)85.592.7178.2-7.113%
vs Similar (10)89.791.8181.5-2.150%
vs Weaker (5)94.887.4182.2+7.480%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 96
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 96
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 96
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 96
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 96
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 96
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 96
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 96
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
San Pablo BurgosBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#16
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A01/11
ACB
Rostock
#28
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H04/11
Eurocup
Valencia
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H08/11
ACB
Le Mans
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/11
Eurocup
Breogan
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/11
ACB
82.9Avg total
40.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.988.2-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.546.189.5-2.627%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.786.8-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.782.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.344.785.9-3.427%-
vs Similar (10)42.247.289.4-5.030%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.7
53.3%
55.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
36.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.3
75.7%
76.0%14.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LLLLLLWLLL
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
#15
League position
#6
-2.6
Net rating
+11.0
92.6
Offensive rating
114.3
95.2
Defensive rating
103.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
64.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
44.8%
56.1%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 114.3Defence95.2 · 103.4Shooting52.8% · 64.1%3-point %34.6% · 44.8%Ball care17.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Pablo Burgos wins
6
Breogan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABreogan110-119
11/11/26ALe Mans80-88
08/11/26HValencia93-100
04/11/26HRostock59-86
01/11/26AReal Madrid79-90
28/10/26HRigas Zelli71-79
24/10/26AManresa99-81
21/10/26ATortona79-89
17/10/26HObradoiro CAB72-79
14/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem84-85
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%0%40%
Points / game91.487.393.8
Allowed / game93.092.393.4
Point differential-1.6-5.0+0.4
Avg total184.4179.7187.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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