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Santos vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-87
22-16 30-24 30-27 26-20
Position#10
Record9-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#13
Record9-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game90.7
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio Miguel Barragán
Other2026-27
Meetings · Santos v Freseros
02 Oct 2026
SANT108
FRES87
01 Oct 2026
SANT96
FRES81
19 Sep 2025
SANT78
FRES71
18 Sep 2025
SANT87
FRES69
11 Oct 2024
SANT84
FRES83
10 Oct 2024
SANT71
FRES117
25 Aug 2023
SANT80
FRES74
24 Aug 2023
SANT84
FRES72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
95-82
95
82
+13
86avg 72
A30/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
89-101
89
101
-12
74avg 72
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-103
74
103
-29
60avg 72
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 72
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
109-78
109
78
+31
102avg 72
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 72
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 72
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 72
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 72
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 72
H02/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
23-18
28-15
20-25
34-23
16-24
16-28
23-26
15-25
27-18
14-37
18-23
20-23
22-26
15-14
20-26
32-21
31-19
23-24
23-14
14-26
22-25
23-18
27-26
15-27
19-27
27-25
23-20
21-25
21-23
22-18
23-20
22-21
14-27
23-18
19-26
22-28
32-22
18-13
24-18
178.1Avg total
87.5Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.689.3172.9-5.636%
Season at home (13)85.289.5174.6-4.338%
Season away (12)82.089.1171.1-7.133%
Last 10 (10)87.590.6178.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)86.290.6176.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.192.4173.6-11.322%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.385.4173.8+2.956%
vs Weaker (3)75.780.7156.3-5.067%
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
48avg 75
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 75
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 75
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 75
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
45avg 75
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 75
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 75
A22/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 75
H26/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
81avg 75
H27/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
73avg 75
A02/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
20-15
15-15
19-25
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
17-20
19-27
7-25
20-20
21-25
28-22
16-29
15-21
23-17
25-12
12-22
29-32
28-26
27-23
12-22
20-23
19-30
18-17
29-29
22-21
28-22
22-32
13-18
18-24
167.8Avg total
80.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.290.7175.9-5.536%
Season at home (12)86.292.9179.2-6.733%
Season away (13)84.288.7172.9-4.538%
Last 10 (10)80.087.8167.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)85.093.4178.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)82.890.2173.0-7.430%
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.792.7180.3-5.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
SantosFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A30/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H11/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H12/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A17/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H02/10
LNBP
91.8Avg total
44.6Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.647.189.7-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.145.587.6-3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.248.992.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.647.291.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.450.290.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.449.191.4-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.745.791.3+0.044%-
vs Weaker (3)35.039.374.3-4.367%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A22/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H26/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H27/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A02/10
LNBP
87.6Avg total
42.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.046.088.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.647.590.2-4.931%-
Last 30 away (17)41.644.886.4-3.235%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.787.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.293.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)41.645.687.1-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)46.049.795.7-3.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.5
50.4%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.816.1
62.4%
71.7%16.1
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.5
56.4%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.7
31.4%
34.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
71.7%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Santos
WLWLLWLLLW
Freseros
LLLWLLLWWL
#10
League position
#13
-4.2
Net rating
-9.3
96.1
Offensive rating
89.5
100.3
Defensive rating
98.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
31.4%
47.1%
Assist %
52.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 89.5Defence100.3 · 98.9Shooting50.5% · 52.2%3-point %33.8% · 31.4%Ball care11.5% · 18.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Santos   ■ Freseros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Santos wins
1
Freseros wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Santos v Freseros96-81
20/09/25Santos v Freseros78-71
19/09/25Santos v Freseros87-69
12/10/24Santos v Freseros84-83
11/10/24Santos v Freseros71-117
26/08/23Santos v Freseros80-74
25/08/23Santos v Freseros84-72
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HFreseros96-81
27/09/26AAbejas78-92
26/09/26AAbejas87-86
22/09/26HLobos Plateados84-99
21/09/26HLobos Plateados86-95
17/09/26AGambusinos109-78
16/09/26AGambusinos77-89
12/09/26HFuerza Regia74-103
11/09/26HFuerza Regia89-101
30/08/26ADiablos Rojos95-82
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ASantos81-96
27/09/26HPanteras88-97
26/09/26HPanteras87-94
22/09/26AAbejas89-83
21/09/26AAbejas80-97
16/09/26HSoles63-92
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
31/08/26HAstros67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game83.685.282.0
Allowed / game89.389.589.1
Point differential-5.6-4.3-7.1
Avg total172.9174.6171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game85.286.284.2
Allowed / game90.792.988.7
Point differential-5.5-6.7-4.5
Avg total175.9179.2172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2519676%85.374.8+10.6
2 Astros2417771%88.280.1+8.1
3 Fuerza Regia2417771%90.485.1+5.3
4 Panteras2517868%89.085.0+4.0
5 Lobos Plateados2617965%84.980.7+4.3
6 Mineros25141156%86.484.9+1.5
7 Dorados25141156%84.685.0-0.4
8 Diablos Rojos25111444%83.384.6-1.3
9 Gambusinos26111542%79.782.5-2.8
10 Abejas2591636%84.686.1-1.5
11 Freseros2591636%85.290.7-5.5
12 Santos2591636%83.689.3-5.6
13 El Calor de Cancun2681831%81.685.6-4.0
14 Correcaminos2642215%82.593.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Santos22303026108
Freseros1624272087
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