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Freseros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-101
16-20 23-28 14-28 32-25
Position#14
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#10
Record5-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game91.4
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2025-26
Meetings · Freseros v Correcaminos
11 Aug 2026
FRES83
CORR86
10 Aug 2026
FRES99
CORR96
22 Aug 2025
FRES86
CORR87
21 Aug 2025
FRES85
CORR101
05 Oct 2024
FRES88
CORR89
04 Oct 2024
FRES93
CORR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
61-102
61
102
-41
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H29/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H30/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A03/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A03/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H08/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H09/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A15/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A16/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-21
26-17
20-21
24-22
21-17
10-25
6-38
20-20
21-13
25-25
12-21
18-19
24-20
11-17
8-22
16-16
11-31
20-16
9-15
17-16
18-31
13-22
19-19
24-17
14-27
12-23
16-15
17-19
25-31
22-29
18-23
17-24
18-25
20-30
11-15
16-22
21-26
21-19
31-26
159.3Avg total
71.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.391.6163.9-19.319%
Season at home (8)73.285.1158.4-11.925%
Season away (8)71.498.1169.5-26.812%
Last 10 (10)71.288.1159.3-16.910%
Last 5 (5)74.091.8165.8-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.392.0169.4-14.721%
vs Similar (4)84.279.0163.2+5.225%
vs Weaker (2)90.592.5183.0-2.00%
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A23/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A24/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H29/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H30/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A03/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A04/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H09/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H10/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
20-30
15-24
21-20
13-33
17-30
15-21
29-18
23-26
17-19
22-21
18-24
20-22
7-28
14-21
28-20
16-30
23-25
30-26
18-19
23-23
20-23
16-23
14-26
13-22
19-24
24-24
26-28
17-18
28-23
20-19
23-29
23-19
26-22
22-21
13-21
17-23
20-22
27-21
21-17
172.5Avg total
80.0Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.091.4173.4-9.431%
Season at home (10)81.388.8170.1-7.540%
Season away (6)83.295.7178.8-12.517%
Last 10 (10)80.092.5172.5-12.520%
Last 5 (5)82.489.6172.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)79.590.4169.9-10.921%
vs Similar (2)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
FreserosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A03/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A03/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H09/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A15/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A16/08
LNBP
82.5Avg total
38.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.146.286.2-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.043.485.4-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.448.687.0-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.382.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.685.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.647.487.0-7.825%-
vs Similar (4)42.541.083.5+1.525%-
vs Weaker (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
30-63
30
63
-33
A24/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H29/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H30/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A03/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H09/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H17/08
LNBP
86.6Avg total
38.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.145.683.7-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.344.082.3-5.728%-
Last 30 away (12)37.748.185.8-10.417%-
Last 10 (10)38.448.286.6-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)37.546.283.7-8.818%-
vs Similar (2)46.537.584.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
2
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos88-89 OT
05/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos93-96 OT
06/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros92-121
05/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros105-109 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25APanteras89-93
15/08/25APanteras66-94
09/08/25HAstros82-102
08/08/25HAstros66-82
03/08/25ASoles67-88
03/08/25ASoles56-78
30/07/25HAbejas61-78
29/07/25HAbejas78-79
25/07/25AMineros61-102
24/07/25AMineros86-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun85-83
16/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun84-83
10/08/25HHalcones de Xalapa88-89
09/08/25HHalcones de Xalapa82-98
04/08/25APanteras73-95
03/08/25APanteras87-100
30/07/25HAstros69-91
29/07/25HAstros80-90
24/07/25ASoles74-102
23/07/25ASoles78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game72.373.271.4
Allowed / game91.685.198.1
Point differential-19.3-11.9-26.8
Avg total163.9158.4169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%40%17%
Points / game82.081.383.2
Allowed / game91.488.895.7
Point differential-9.4-7.5-12.5
Avg total173.4170.1178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles1614288%88.076.9+11.1
2 Astros1412286%88.775.4+13.4
3 Diablos Rojos1612475%95.181.2+13.9
4 Mineros1612475%91.683.4+8.1
5 Fuerza Regia1611569%92.381.8+10.5
6 Dorados169756%82.581.9+0.6
7 Panteras167944%90.590.1+0.4
8 Gambusinos167944%84.287.4-3.2
9 Halcones de Xalapa1771041%82.485.3-2.9
10 El Calor de Cancun1761135%81.286.8-5.6
11 Correcaminos1651131%82.091.4-9.4
12 Abejas1441029%80.886.9-6.1
13 Freseros1631319%72.391.6-19.3
14 Santos1621412%80.490.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1623143285
Correcaminos20282825101
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