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Pato vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 80-88
20-28 14-25 18-16 28-19
Position#12
Record11-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#10
Record11-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Sao Jose
18 Mar 2026
PATO72
SAO 81
19 Dec 2024
PATO85
SAO 81
05 Feb 2024
PATO80
SAO 88
17 Oct 2022
PATO61
SAO 71
04 Apr 2020
PATO v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 69
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 69
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 69
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 69
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 69
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 69
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 69
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 69
H24/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
16-25
23-14
10-28
28-24
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
15-19
26-16
12-15
24-15
22-15
13-21
26-16
21-23
21-17
20-20
19-26
21-18
15-21
16-23
24-18
12-14
24-19
27-30
26-23
20-14
160.0Avg total
81.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.178.1155.2-1.048%
Season at home (11)79.875.6155.5+4.264%
Season away (12)74.680.3154.9-5.833%
Last 10 (10)81.079.0160.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)84.078.6162.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.880.8155.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.478.3154.7-1.940%
vs Weaker (8)84.175.0159.1+9.188%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 74
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
74avg 74
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 74
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
73avg 74
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 74
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
90avg 74
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 74
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 74
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
no box
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 74
A24/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
17-20
20-25
22-11
18-29
20-19
15-16
21-18
16-20
17-15
18-18
12-22
30-20
16-21
16-20
12-17
21-18
19-27
14-29
25-18
17-21
22-26
22-13
28-17
22-17
14-19
14-22
21-12
17-20
18-17
14-19
22-17
19-15
18-14
17-25
22-22
21-21
14-21
9-16
24-26
157.1Avg total
76.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.376.1155.5+3.250%
Season at home (12)77.673.0150.6+4.650%
Season away (10)81.479.9161.3+1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.880.3157.1-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.880.6159.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.382.3157.5-7.027%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.377.6156.9+1.645%
vs Weaker (8)84.274.1158.4+10.175%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
PatoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/01
NBB
76.9Avg total
39.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.677.3+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.576.9+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.877.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.976.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.640.977.5-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.637.174.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker (8)43.137.180.2+6.075%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/01
NBB
77.8Avg total
38.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.077.3-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.976.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.177.6-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.777.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.042.180.1-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.537.073.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker (8)41.137.578.6+3.675%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.9
53.4%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
72.6%10.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.7
47.6%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
72.6%13.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLWWWWWLLL
Sao Jose
LLLWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#10
+1.1
Net rating
-5.3
109.4
Offensive rating
99.6
108.2
Defensive rating
104.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
32.0%
58.7%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 99.6Defence108.2 · 104.9Shooting50.6% · 47.7%3-point %31.3% · 32.0%Ball care14.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
4
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
06/11/23Sao Jose v Pato100-69
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HBotafogo97-86
15/01/24HVasco67-76
13/01/24HFlamengo97-91 OT
08/01/24ACerrado82-75
06/01/24ABrasilia77-65
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84
18/12/23APinheiros77-91
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AUnifacisa68-84
22/01/24ACearense95-99 OT
15/01/24HPinheiros71-73
09/01/24HCorinthians Paulista71-70
05/01/24ACorinthians Paulista89-77
29/12/23APaulistano79-92
27/12/23ASao Paulo74-78
23/12/23HFranca63-75
20/12/23HBauru74-82
12/12/23HMogi84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game77.179.874.6
Allowed / game78.175.680.3
Point differential-1.0+4.2-5.8
Avg total155.2155.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.377.681.4
Allowed / game76.173.079.9
Point differential+3.2+4.6+1.5
Avg total155.5150.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2320387%86.472.0+14.4
2 Flamengo2319483%85.674.5+11.0
3 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
4 Vasco2316770%74.371.0+3.3
5 Unifacisa2315865%83.779.3+4.3
6 Paulistano2214864%74.672.5+2.1
7 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
8 Cearense23121152%79.877.8+2.0
9 Sao Jose22111150%79.376.1+3.2
10 Corinthians Paulista22111150%79.779.0+0.8
11 Pato23111248%77.178.1-1.0
12 Pinheiros22101245%77.178.3-1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%78.080.4-2.5
14 Caxias do Sul2271532%72.280.1-7.9
15 Uniao Corinthians2271532%72.481.1-8.7
16 Botafogo2361726%77.085.0-8.0
17 Cerrado2251723%72.376.4-4.1
18 Brasilia2241818%71.386.3-15.0
19 Mogi2231914%73.080.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2014182880
Sao Jose2825161988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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