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Botafogo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-93 (OT)
19-17 23-24 17-22 18-14 13-16
Position#15
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#10
Record14-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.4
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Sao Jose
21 Jan 2026
BOTA89
SAO 80
03 Mar 2025
BOTA71
SAO 68
29 Feb 2024
BOTA90
SAO 93
18 Dec 2019
BOTA93
SAO 75
05 Apr 2019
BOTA66
SAO 61
27 Nov 2018
BOTA84
SAO 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 65
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 65
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 65
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 65
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 65
A16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
164.7Avg total
75.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.986.5163.3-9.622%
Season at home (13)77.785.2162.9-7.531%
Season away (14)76.187.6163.7-11.614%
Last 10 (10)75.289.5164.7-14.310%
Last 5 (5)78.295.4173.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.588.3164.9-11.824%
vs Similar (8)76.982.2159.1-5.425%
vs Weaker (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
73avg 76
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
90avg 76
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 76
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 76
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
no box
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 76
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 76
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
111-86
111
86
+25
106avg 76
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
82-68
82
68
+14
77avg 76
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
16-21
16-20
12-17
21-18
19-27
14-29
25-18
17-21
22-26
22-13
28-17
22-17
14-19
14-22
21-12
17-20
18-17
14-19
22-17
19-15
18-14
17-25
22-22
21-21
14-21
9-16
24-26
28-20
25-14
16-18
19-28
27-30
28-15
30-12
26-29
19-19
23-10
19-18
21-21
163.5Avg total
82.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.076.4157.4+4.756%
Season at home (14)80.373.6153.9+6.757%
Season away (11)82.079.9161.9+2.155%
Last 10 (10)82.880.7163.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.081.0155.0-7.025%
vs Similar (12)80.077.8157.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.774.7161.4+12.080%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
BotafogoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
83.6Avg total
38.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.980.9-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.443.684.0-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.042.278.2-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.483.6-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.889.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.844.982.7-7.124%-
vs Similar (8)36.838.174.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (1)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/02
NBB
80.3Avg total
41.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.277.3+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.276.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.377.9-0.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.580.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.880.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.641.578.1-4.938%-
vs Similar (12)37.836.874.6+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.637.480.0+5.280%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.2
47.8%
51.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
72.6%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.5
53.9%
51.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
72.6%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLLW
Sao Jose
WWWLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#10
-19.3
Net rating
+1.5
97.0
Offensive rating
107.3
116.2
Defensive rating
105.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
35.0%
65.3%
Assist %
57.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 107.3Defence116.2 · 105.8Shooting48.6% · 53.4%3-point %33.1% · 35.0%Ball care17.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Botafogo   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Botafogo wins
2
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
28/01/19Sao Jose v Botafogo79-72
27/11/18Botafogo v Sao Jose84-74
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HCaxias do Sul82-68
14/02/24HUniao Corinthians111-86
05/02/24APato88-80
24/01/24AUnifacisa68-84
22/01/24ACearense95-99 OT
15/01/24HPinheiros71-73
09/01/24HCorinthians Paulista71-70
05/01/24ACorinthians Paulista89-77
29/12/23APaulistano79-92
27/12/23ASao Paulo74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%31%14%
Points / game76.977.776.1
Allowed / game86.585.287.6
Point differential-9.6-7.5-11.6
Avg total163.3162.9163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%57%55%
Points / game81.080.382.0
Allowed / game76.473.679.9
Point differential+4.7+6.7+2.1
Avg total157.4153.9161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2622485%86.275.0+11.3
2 Minas2521484%87.072.6+14.4
3 Franca2521484%87.775.3+12.4
4 Vasco2518772%75.671.8+3.8
5 Paulistano2517868%74.470.6+3.8
6 Bauru26161062%79.778.2+1.5
7 Unifacisa27161159%83.579.4+4.1
8 Sao Jose25141156%81.076.4+4.7
9 Cearense26141254%78.877.0+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista25121348%79.378.5+0.8
11 Sao Paulo26121446%78.880.8-2.0
12 Pinheiros25111444%75.778.4-2.7
13 Pato27111641%76.779.6-2.9
14 Uniao Corinthians27101737%74.882.6-7.8
15 Caxias do Sul2681831%72.480.0-7.6
16 Cerrado2571828%74.576.5-2.0
17 Botafogo2762122%76.986.5-9.6
18 Mogi2542116%73.381.3-8.0
19 Brasilia2542116%70.785.4-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Botafogo192317181390
Sao Jose172422141693
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