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Cearense vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 99-95 (OT)
15-19 14-18 25-17 22-22 23-19
Position#8
Record10-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#10
Record11-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game74.6
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Sao Jose
18 Nov 2025
CEAR77
SAO 86
09 Dec 2024
CEAR55
SAO 75
27 Apr 2024
CEAR90
SAO 66
22 Jan 2024
CEAR99
SAO 95
16 Jan 2023
CEAR71
SAO 90
14 Nov 2019
CEAR77
SAO 81
13 Feb 2019
CEAR76
SAO 86
06 Nov 2015
CEAR80
SAO 91
27 Nov 2014
CEAR70
SAO 76
08 Mar 2014
CEAR74
SAO 64
24 Jan 2013
CEAR73
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 72
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 72
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
70avg 72
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 72
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
24-26
15-21
26-20
21-23
23-13
20-27
13-14
18-23
21-21
22-24
16-16
16-20
25-12
15-19
24-20
23-25
18-15
20-18
20-21
25-19
22-29
21-22
12-15
17-11
20-18
16-25
22-20
17-18
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
156.9Avg total
77.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.277.1155.4+1.148%
Season at home (10)77.573.9151.4+3.660%
Season away (11)78.980.1159.0-1.236%
Last 10 (10)77.779.2156.9-1.520%
Last 5 (5)78.681.0159.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.982.9160.8-5.027%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.378.8158.2+0.558%
vs Weaker (7)77.775.3153.0+2.457%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 74
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 74
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 74
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
74avg 74
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 74
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
73avg 74
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 74
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
90avg 74
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 74
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 74
H15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
24-11
30-18
21-16
10-25
20-20
18-9
23-19
25-17
17-20
20-25
22-11
18-29
20-19
15-16
21-18
16-20
17-15
18-18
12-22
30-20
16-21
16-20
12-17
21-18
19-27
14-29
25-18
17-21
22-26
22-13
28-17
22-17
14-19
14-22
21-12
17-20
18-17
14-19
22-17
152.7Avg total
76.8Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.174.6153.7+4.555%
Season at home (12)77.673.0150.6+4.650%
Season away (8)81.477.0158.4+4.462%
Last 10 (10)76.875.9152.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.878.0154.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.382.3157.5-7.027%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.874.6153.3+4.256%
vs Weaker (10)87.075.1162.1+11.980%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
CearenseSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
78.4Avg total
38.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.777.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.677.9+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.977.4-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.278.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.439.476.7-2.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.438.779.1+1.850%-
vs Weaker (7)38.937.976.7+1.043%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A05/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/01
NBB
78.3Avg total
38.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.976.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.980.3-1.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.378.3-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.042.180.1-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.637.373.9-0.844%-
vs Weaker (10)43.038.381.3+4.780%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
72.6%14.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.1
48.6%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.3
33.0%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
72.6%13.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLWWLLLL
Sao Jose
LWWLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#10
-1.1
Net rating
+0.4
105.1
Offensive rating
102.0
106.2
Defensive rating
101.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.6%
3-point %
33.0%
53.5%
Assist %
64.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 102.0Defence106.2 · 101.6Shooting51.8% · 48.9%3-point %29.6% · 33.0%Ball care18.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Cearense   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cearense wins
6
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
13/02/19Cearense v Sao Jose76-86
17/10/18Sao Jose v Cearense92-86 OT
14/01/16Sao Jose v Cearense81-90
06/11/15Cearense v Sao Jose80-91
12/02/15Sao Jose v Cearense70-78
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
16/01/24AFranca75-81
13/01/24HSao Paulo75-81
03/01/24HFranca72-77
29/12/23HBrasilia83-73
27/12/23HCerrado87-76
23/12/23AVasco75-81
22/12/23AFlamengo74-77
18/12/23ABotafogo86-90
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HPinheiros71-73
09/01/24HCorinthians Paulista71-70
05/01/24ACorinthians Paulista89-77
29/12/23APaulistano79-92
27/12/23ASao Paulo74-78
23/12/23HFranca63-75
20/12/23HBauru74-82
12/12/23HMogi84-73
09/12/23APinheiros71-73
04/12/23ABrasilia92-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL48%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game78.277.578.9
Allowed / game77.173.980.1
Point differential+1.1+3.6-1.2
Avg total155.4151.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %55%50%62%
Points / game79.177.681.4
Allowed / game74.673.077.0
Point differential+4.5+4.6+4.4
Avg total153.7150.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2320387%86.472.0+14.4
2 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
4 Vasco2215768%73.770.7+3.0
5 Paulistano2114767%74.871.7+3.1
6 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
7 Unifacisa2113862%83.980.4+3.5
8 Sao Jose2011955%79.174.6+4.5
9 Cearense21101148%78.277.1+1.1
10 Pato22101245%76.277.7-1.5
11 Corinthians Paulista2091145%79.780.8-1.1
12 Pinheiros2091145%76.278.5-2.2
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians2071335%72.280.3-8.1
15 Caxias do Sul2171433%72.779.0-6.2
16 Botafogo2261627%76.584.5-7.9
17 Cerrado2051525%73.776.2-2.5
18 Mogi2031715%73.279.5-6.4
19 Brasilia2031715%70.686.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cearense151425222399
Sao Jose191817221995
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