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Sao Jose vs Flamengo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sao Jose v Flamengo
12 Dec 2026
SAO v FLAM
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
SAO 72
FLAM88
17 Oct 2024
SAO 63
FLAM71
21 Nov 2023
SAO 82
FLAM64
06 Dec 2022
SAO 74
FLAM84
05 Mar 2020
SAO 97
FLAM102
14 Nov 2018
SAO 57
FLAM64
23 Mar 2016
SAO 80
FLAM88
30 Apr 2015
SAO 81
FLAM76
28 Apr 2015
SAO 68
FLAM86
12 Dec 2014
SAO 71
FLAM94
31 Mar 2014
SAO 74
FLAM94
23 May 2013
SAO 96
FLAM88
14 May 2013
SAO 80
FLAM72
05 Feb 2013
SAO 82
FLAM84
27 May 2012
SAO 106
FLAM90
20 May 2012
SAO 100
FLAM91
18 May 2012
SAO 107
FLAM99
10 Dec 2011
SAO 98
FLAM101
01 Apr 2011
SAO 70
FLAM81
11 Feb 2009
SAO 72
FLAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
56avg 70
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
59avg 70
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 70
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
59-90
59
90
-31
42avg 70
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
54avg 70
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 70
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
96-53
96
53
+43
no box
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
14-21
16-20
15-18
17-16
21-25
18-15
19-23
18-25
17-17
22-19
13-20
15-17
17-25
12-23
15-25
22-23
20-11
17-25
9-24
16-26
27-23
17-23
23-25
27-11
31-12
24-15
14-15
31-16
19-17
28-13
12-35
21-22
19-28
16-30
31-23
26-22
16-20
17-7
20-16
158.4Avg total
77.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.381.7162.0-1.443%
Season at home (3)86.071.7157.7+14.367%
Season away (4)76.089.2165.2-13.225%
Last 10 (10)77.780.7158.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)87.079.8166.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.490.2169.6-10.912%
vs Similar (11)76.380.4156.6-4.136%
vs Weaker (11)88.778.8167.5+9.982%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 77
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 77
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 77
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 77
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 77
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 77
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
Sao JoseFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/11
NBB
81.2Avg total
41.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.043.188.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.579.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.381.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.486.0+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.946.287.1-5.438%-
vs Similar (11)39.641.180.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker (11)45.437.683.0+7.764%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.316.8
42.7%
49.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
31.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
71.3%14.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLWWLLLLLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
#12
League position
#4
-9.8
Net rating
+8.7
82.2
Offensive rating
95.1
92.1
Defensive rating
86.5
43.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.1%
3-point %
32.6%
63.9%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 95.1Defence92.1 · 86.5Shooting43.8% · 52.7%3-point %30.1% · 32.6%Ball care15.0% · 14.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sao Jose wins
8
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Flamengo v Sao Jose79-70
29/10/25Sao Jose v Flamengo72-88
27/12/24Flamengo v Sao Jose82-89
17/10/24Sao Jose v Flamengo63-71
12/03/24Flamengo v Sao Jose69-67
21/11/23Sao Jose v Flamengo82-64
27/03/23Flamengo v Sao Jose96-68
06/12/22Sao Jose v Flamengo74-84
05/03/20Sao Jose v Flamengo97-102 OT
16/12/19Flamengo v Sao Jose103-83
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPaulistano79-65
07/11/26APinheiros87-103
05/11/26AOsasco90-81
02/11/26HCearense96-53
28/10/26HUnifacisa83-97
21/10/26ABauru68-83
19/10/26AFranca59-90
27/04/26AMogi70-81
25/04/26AMogi75-79
22/04/26HMogi70-75
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.386.076.0
Allowed / game81.771.789.2
Point differential-1.4+14.3-13.2
Avg total162.0157.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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