Sao Jose vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

On 13 November 2026 the NBB will see Sao Jose host Paulistano, with the model favouring Sao Jose at 59% to 41% and projecting a tight 80-78 finish; the home line of 1.0 gives a 61% chance that Sao Jose covers, while the total of 158.75 carries a 48% over probability and a 5% chance of overtime. Sao Jose, 14th in the league, has gone 2-4 overall, averaging 80.5 points and conceding 84.5, and is 1-1 at home with 89.5 points for and 75.0 against; their last five games were 2-3, including a 90-81 win over Osasco and a 96-53 home victory over Cearense. Paulistano, 9th, is 3-3 overall, scoring 70.3 and allowing 73.0, and is 1-3 on the road with 68.5 points for and 75.2 against; their last five games were also 2-3, highlighted by a 83-75 home win over Bauru. Historically, Paulistano leads the series 9-1, though Sao Jose last won 88-81 on 9 January 2026, setting the stage for a competitive encounter that hinges on the home team's defensive edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon

59.0%fair 1.69

Best odds1.91

Implied48.9%

Edge+10.1pp

Paulistano winLost

41.0%fair 2.44

Best odds1.85

Implied51.1%

Edge-10.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Jose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJose

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#12

88-97

-9

79avg 73

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

70-75

-5

56avg 73

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

75-79

-4

59avg 73

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

70-81

-11

60avg 73

A27/04

NBB

Franca

59-90

-31

42avg 73

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

68-83

-15

54avg 73

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

83-97

-14

72avg 73

H28/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

96-53

+43

no box

H02/11

NBB

Osasco

#16

90-81

no box

A05/11

NBB

Pinheiros

87-103

103

-16

no box

A07/11

NBB

20-30

29-23

20-29

19-15

25-16

14-21

16-20

15-18

17-16

21-25

18-15

19-23

18-25

17-17

22-19

13-20

15-17

17-25

12-23

15-25

22-23

20-11

17-25

9-24

16-26

27-23

17-23

23-25

27-11

31-12

24-15

14-15

31-16

19-17

28-13

12-35

21-22

19-28

16-30

31-23

162.5Avg total

78.6Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	80.5	84.5	165.0	-4.0	33%
Season at home (2)	89.5	75.0	164.5	+14.5	50%
Season away (4)	76.0	89.2	165.2	-13.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	83.9	162.5	-5.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	83.4	168.2	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.4	90.2	169.6	-10.9	12%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	76.0	81.9	157.9	-5.9	30%
vs Weaker (12)	88.8	79.5	168.2	+9.2	83%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPaulistano

Date

Competition

Bauru

#10

71-62

67avg 74

H29/04

NBB

Pinheiros

92-101 OT

101

-9

77avg 74

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

68-76

-8

54avg 74

H07/05

NBB

Pinheiros

74-84

-10

59avg 74

H09/05

NBB

Pato

#15

80-74

70avg 74

A21/10

NBB

Brasilia

73-91

-18

50avg 74

A24/10

NBB

Franca

65-62

48avg 74

H28/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

83-75

no box

H30/10

NBB

Unifacisa

63-71

-8

no box

A04/11

NBB

Cearense

#17

58-65

-7

no box

A07/11

NBB

15-16

20-16

20-18

16-12

23-16

24-26

22-24

20-23

24-20

14-16

24-28

6-12

23-18

12-24

18-18

21-24

13-10

20-18

30-13

17-33

22-29

16-25

16-18

19-19

20-14

16-12

22-21

7-15

26-23

26-12

16-21

15-19

19-22

16-18

15-20

13-11

15-18

14-10

16-25

13-12

148.8Avg total

72.7Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	70.3	73.0	143.3	-2.7	50%
Season at home (2)	74.0	68.5	142.5	+5.5	100%
Season away (4)	68.5	75.2	143.8	-6.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	76.1	148.8	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	72.8	141.2	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	74.8	82.0	156.8	-7.2	22%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	85.4	81.2	166.6	+4.2	80%
vs Weaker (11)	84.0	74.5	158.5	+9.5	73%

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5

Over 152.5

62.0%

@ 1.52+0.3pp

Under 152.5

38.0%

@ 2.42-0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

Over/Under 157.75 · main lineActual: Under 157.75

Over 157.75

50.1%

@ 1.81+0.2pp

Under 157.75

49.9%

@ 1.80-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5

Over 162.5

38.2%

@ 2.40-1.0pp

Under 162.5

61.8%

@ 1.52+1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.32

Under

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Sao Jose total 74.5Actual: Sao Jose over 74.5

Over 74.5

71.0%

@ 1.40+6.3pp

Under 74.5

29.0%

@ 2.65-6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.43

Sao Jose total 78.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 78.5

Over 78.5

56.5%

@ 1.83+5.7pp

Under 78.5

43.5%

@ 1.91-5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

1xBet

1.70

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Sao Jose total 82.5Actual: Sao Jose under 82.5

Over 82.5

41.0%

@ 2.47+3.8pp

Under 82.5

59.0%

@ 1.47-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.34

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.39

Paulistano total 75Actual: Paulistano under 75

Over 75

60.1%

Under 75

39.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Paulistano total 79 · main lineActual: Paulistano under 79

Over 79

44.2%

@ 1.83-5.5pp

Under 79

55.8%

@ 1.83+5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.75

Under

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.70

Paulistano total 83Actual: Paulistano under 83

Over 83

29.3%

Under 83

70.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sao Jose -2Actual: Sao Jose -2

SAO -2

54.2%

@ 2.08+9.5pp

PAUL +2

45.8%

@ 1.68-9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Pinnacle

2.08

Bet365

2.05

Marathon Be

2.03

PAUL

Pinnacle

1.68

Bet365

1.68

Marathon Be

1.63

Spread Sao Jose +1 · main lineActual: Sao Jose +1

SAO +1

60.7%

@ 1.84+10.0pp

PAUL -1

39.3%

@ 1.89-10.0pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Pinnacle

1.84

Marathon Be

1.80

Bet365

1.80

PAUL

Pinnacle

1.89

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

Spread Sao Jose +4Actual: Sao Jose +4

SAO +4

71.1%

@ 1.52+9.9pp

PAUL -4

28.9%

@ 2.40-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Bet365

1.52

PAUL

Bet365

2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao JosePaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	33%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	23.7	47.3	-0.1	43%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.9	40.2	-1.5	25%	56%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	23.9	44.5	-3.2	12%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	60%
vs Weaker (12)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.7	42%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.2	+1.1	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	19.5	42.7	+3.7	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	38%	38%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	44%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	50%	40%
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	45%	36%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.6	38.8	+1.5	62%	38%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.1	50%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	30%
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	67%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.8	53%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.4	33.0	+2.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	60%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	20.4	17.5	37.8	+2.9	64%	27%

Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#12

49-53

-4

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

39-37

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

38-41

-3

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

35-42

-7

A27/04

NBB

Franca

32-42

-10

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

42-34

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

43-49

-6

H28/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

58-23

+35

H02/11

NBB

Osasco

#16

50-33

+17

A05/11

NBB

Pinheiros

40-50

-10

A07/11

NBB

83.0Avg total

42.6Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	43.6	88.9	+1.6	57%	93%
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.4	83.0	+2.2	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	46.6	37.8	84.4	+8.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.9	46.2	87.1	-5.4	38%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	50%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	45.4	38.6	84.0	+6.8	58%	75%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

#10

35-32

H29/04

NBB

Pinheiros

47-42

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

38-36

H07/05

NBB

Pinheiros

35-42

-7

H09/05

NBB

Pato

#15

33-28

A21/10

NBB

Brasilia

38-54

-16

A24/10

NBB

Franca

36-26

+10

H28/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

52-35

+17

H30/10

NBB

Unifacisa

35-40

-5

A04/11

NBB

Cearense

#17

29-28

A07/11

NBB

74.1Avg total

37.8Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.2	79.3	+2.9	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	37.3	81.3	+6.7	79%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	39.1	77.6	-0.5	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.3	74.1	+1.5	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.6	74.6	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-2.0	33%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.9	37.1	80.0	+5.8	70%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	41.3	37.1	78.4	+4.2	73%	36%

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Paulistano win

SAO win

no forecast

@ 1.92

PAUL win

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Sao Jose +0.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose +0.5

SAO +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

PAUL -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

Sao Jose 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Paulistano 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Paulistano over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: SAO + total 79.5

SAO & over

no forecast

@ 3.65

SAO & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half: Draw + total 79.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PAUL + total 79.5

PAUL & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

PAUL & under

no forecast

@ 3.75

1st half Over/Under 78.25Actual: Over 78.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 80.75Actual: Over 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.73

1st half Spread Sao Jose -0.5Actual: Paulistano +0.5

SAO -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

PAUL +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Sao Jose +1.5Actual: Sao Jose +1.5

SAO +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.68

PAUL -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Sao Jose -1.5Actual: Paulistano +1.5

SAO -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.18

PAUL +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Sao Jose +2.5Actual: Sao Jose +2.5

SAO +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

PAUL -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.43

Under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sao Jose (regulation)

SAO

no forecast

@ 1.95

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

PAUL

no forecast

@ 1.95

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	57%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	57%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	56%	75%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	22.5	38.4	-6.6	25%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	60%	70%
vs Weaker (12)	24.2	20.9	45.2	+3.3	75%	92%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+1.0	50%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.9	50%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	21.4	39.7	-3.2	11%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	50%	90%
vs Weaker (11)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	82%	82%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.5	39.7	-1.4	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.6	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.1	38%	31%
Last 10 (10)	17.0	22.3	39.3	-5.3	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.4	42.2	-6.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	62%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	20%	40%
vs Weaker (12)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	36%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.1	39.2	-0.9	44%	50%
Last 10 (10)	14.7	18.0	32.7	-3.3	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	13.4	15.2	28.6	-1.8	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	33%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	30%	40%
vs Weaker (11)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	55%	45%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.7	81.5	-1.9	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	41.1	83.7	+1.4	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.9	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	36.0	43.5	79.5	-7.5	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	45.6	83.8	-7.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	44.0	82.5	-5.5	25%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.6	40.9	77.5	-4.3	30%	30%
vs Weaker (12)	43.3	40.9	84.2	+2.4	58%	83%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.7	79.2	-0.2	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	30.4	36.2	66.6	-5.8	0%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	39.8	75.3	-4.2	11%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.5	42.0	81.5	-2.5	50%	70%
vs Weaker (11)	42.7	37.5	80.2	+5.3	82%	73%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SAO win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

PAUL win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PAUL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SAO :PAUL): SAO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Sao Jose +11.5	88.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Sao Jose +8	82.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Sao Jose +7	80.0%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Sao Jose +6	77.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Sao Jose +9.5	85.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Sao Jose +9	84.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Sao Jose +5	74.3%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Sao Jose +6.5	77.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Sao Jose +4	71.1%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Sao Jose +7.5	80.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Sao Jose +8.5	82.9%	1.26	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Sao Jose +5.5	75.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Sao Jose +4.5	72.1%	1.45	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Sao Jose +10.5	86.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Sao Jose +16.5	94.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Sao Jose +21.5	97.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Sao Jose +15.5	93.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Sao Jose +20.5	97.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Sao Jose over 66.5	90.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Sao Jose over 73.5	74.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Sao Jose over 68.5	87.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 62.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Sao Jose over 72.5	77.3%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Sao Jose over 64.5	93.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Sao Jose over 60.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Paulistano under 84.5	74.8%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Sao Jose over 71.5	80.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Sao Jose over 74.5	71.0%	1.39	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Paulistano under 88.5	85.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Sao Jose over 69.5	85.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Sao Jose over 67.5	89.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Paulistano under 83.5	71.6%	1.38	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Paulistano under 85.5	77.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Paulistano under 89.5	87.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 65.5	92.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 58.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Paulistano under 91.5	90.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Paulistano under 87.5	82.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Paulistano +24.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Paulistano +23.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Paulistano over 58.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Paulistano over 60.5	95.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.7%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Paulistano +19.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 132.5	93.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Under 182.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 149	70.2%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Paulistano over 62.5	92.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Paulistano over 63.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Paulistano +18.5	91.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Sao Jose under 93.5	90.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 137.5	89.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Under 172.5	81.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Over 142.5	82.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Paulistano over 64.5	89.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Under 177.5	88.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Paulistano over 65.5	88.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 91.5	86.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Over 147.5	72.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Lost
Under 167.5	72.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Paulistano over 68.5	81.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Lost
Paulistano over 67.5	83.6%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Lost
Paulistano over 66.5	85.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 89.5	81.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Paulistano +14.5	85.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Sao Jose under 88.5	79.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Paulistano over 69.5	78.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 87.5	76.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Paulistano over 71.5	72.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Paulistano +13.5	83.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Paulistano +9.5	72.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	16.8	42.7%	49.8%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.4	30.1%	31.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.1	68.1%	71.3%	14.1

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	49.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.2	33.7%	31.6%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.9	73.9%	71.3%	11.9

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.8	54.5%	49.8%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.8	31.5%	31.6%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.6	70.9%	71.3%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	19.3	53.5%	49.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	7.6	29.2%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.1	71.2%	71.3%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.6	50.5%	49.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.6	31.6%	31.6%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.0	73.6%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.9	50.6%	49.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.4	35.2%	31.6%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.2	73.3%	71.3%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.5	49.5%	49.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.4	32.3%	31.6%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.3	73.3%	71.3%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.7	52.9%	49.8%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.6	33.1%	31.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.8	71.6%	71.3%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sao Jose

LWWLLLLLLL

Paulistano

LLWWLWLLLW

#12

League position

#13

-9.8

Net rating

+2.1

82.2

Offensive rating

89.1

92.1

Defensive rating

87.0

43.8%

Effective FG%

49.8%

51.4%

Opp. effective FG%

49.4%

15.0%

Turnover %

17.5%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.25

30.1%

3-point %

33.7%

63.9%

Assist %

49.4%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Sao Jose ■ Paulistano

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Jose wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/26	Sao Jose v Paulistano	88-81
04/11/25	Paulistano v Sao Jose	80-71
13/02/25	Paulistano v Sao Jose	93-78
08/11/24	Sao Jose v Paulistano	62-75
12/04/24	Sao Jose v Paulistano	64-93
29/12/23	Paulistano v Sao Jose	92-79
23/03/23	Sao Jose v Paulistano	71-77
20/12/22	Paulistano v Sao Jose	72-62
15/10/19	Paulistano v Sao Jose	93-75
26/03/19	Sao Jose v Paulistano	65-73

Sao Joselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Pinheiros	87-103
05/11/26	A	Osasco	90-81
02/11/26	H	Cearense	96-53
28/10/26	H	Unifacisa	83-97
21/10/26	A	Bauru	68-83
19/10/26	A	Franca	59-90
27/04/26	A	Mogi	70-81
25/04/26	A	Mogi	75-79
22/04/26	H	Mogi	70-75
17/04/26	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-97

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Cearense	58-65
04/11/26	A	Unifacisa	63-71
30/10/26	H	Bauru	83-75
28/10/26	H	Franca	65-62
24/10/26	A	Brasilia	73-91
21/10/26	A	Pato	80-74
09/05/26	H	Pinheiros	74-84
07/05/26	H	Pinheiros	68-76
04/05/26	A	Pinheiros	92-101 OT
29/04/26	H	Bauru	71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	33%	50%	25%
Points / game	80.5	89.5	76.0
Allowed / game	84.5	75.0	89.2
Point differential	-4.0	+14.5	-13.2
Avg total	165.0	164.5	165.2
Over 157.75	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	17%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	50%	100%	25%
Points / game	70.3	74.0	68.5
Allowed / game	73.0	68.5	75.2
Point differential	-2.7	+5.5	-6.8
Avg total	143.3	142.5	143.8
Over 157.75	33%	50%	25%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	7	6	1	86%	83.1	73.9	+9.3
3	Pinheiros	8	6	2	75%	85.2	73.1	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	8	5	3	62%	78.9	71.6	+7.2
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Corinthians Paulista	6	2	4	33%	79.3	79.8	-0.5
13	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
14	Botafogo	6	2	4	33%	76.7	83.0	-6.3
15	Pato	7	2	5	29%	74.1	83.6	-9.4
16	Osasco	5	1	4	20%	78.6	87.4	-8.8
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Jose	26	16	17	20	79
Paulistano	22	20	7	16	65

← all games of the day

Sao Jose vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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