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Paulistano vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 92-79
18-21 27-19 29-14 18-25
Position#7
Record12-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#10
Record9-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Sao Jose
04 Nov 2025
PAUL80
SAO 71
13 Feb 2025
PAUL93
SAO 78
29 Dec 2023
PAUL92
SAO 79
20 Dec 2022
PAUL72
SAO 62
15 Oct 2019
PAUL93
SAO 75
20 Nov 2018
PAUL88
SAO 82
09 Mar 2016
PAUL89
SAO 77
09 Apr 2015
PAUL72
SAO 67
07 Apr 2015
PAUL75
SAO 76
16 Dec 2014
PAUL89
SAO 71
23 May 2014
PAUL81
SAO 68
15 May 2014
PAUL78
SAO 83
13 May 2014
PAUL88
SAO 71
25 Jan 2014
PAUL92
SAO 93
09 Mar 2013
PAUL80
SAO 68
14 Jan 2012
PAUL73
SAO 93
25 Mar 2011
PAUL87
SAO 86
18 Mar 2009
PAUL82
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 67
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 67
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 67
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 67
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 67
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 67
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
148.3Avg total
77.2Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.270.2144.5+4.071%
Season at home (9)76.371.3147.7+5.067%
Season away (8)71.969.0140.9+2.975%
Last 10 (10)77.271.1148.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.272.8154.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.883.8149.5-18.00%
vs Similar (12)76.374.1150.4+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.767.9149.6+13.893%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 75
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 75
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 75
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 75
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 75
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
74avg 75
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 75
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
73avg 75
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
17-20
22-14
16-17
20-20
31-12
25-16
20-24
20-15
21-17
24-19
18-20
12-14
19-14
21-28
26-18
17-21
24-11
30-18
21-16
10-25
20-20
18-9
23-19
25-17
17-20
20-25
22-11
18-29
20-19
15-16
21-18
16-20
17-15
18-18
12-22
30-20
16-21
16-20
12-17
152.5Avg total
79.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.573.8153.2+5.856%
Season at home (10)78.973.3152.2+5.650%
Season away (6)80.574.5155.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)79.772.8152.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)73.276.2149.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.883.2158.9-7.433%
vs Similar (9)77.075.9152.9+1.133%
vs Weaker (9)88.875.3164.1+13.489%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
PaulistanoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
71.4Avg total
38.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.073.3+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.733.374.0+7.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.836.772.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.171.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.473.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.845.277.0-13.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.235.974.1+2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.231.371.5+8.979%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
NBB
76.0Avg total
39.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.379.5-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.179.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.579.8-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.376.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.279.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.743.681.2-5.933%-
vs Similar (9)36.737.874.4-1.144%-
vs Weaker (9)43.938.482.3+5.489%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
51.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
72.6%12.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.8
51.0%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
72.9%
72.6%12.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWWLWLWWLW
Sao Jose
LLLWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#10
+8.9
Net rating
+9.1
106.7
Offensive rating
103.7
97.8
Defensive rating
94.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
32.7%
57.4%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 103.7Defence97.8 · 94.6Shooting49.6% · 50.2%3-point %31.7% · 32.7%Ball care19.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds37.9% · 31.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
23/03/23Sao Jose v Paulistano71-77
20/12/22Paulistano v Sao Jose72-62
15/10/19Paulistano v Sao Jose93-75
26/03/19Sao Jose v Paulistano65-73
20/11/18Paulistano v Sao Jose88-82
09/03/16Paulistano v Sao Jose89-77
15/12/15Sao Jose v Paulistano83-77
15/04/15Sao Jose v Paulistano74-65
13/04/15Sao Jose v Paulistano85-74
09/04/15Paulistano v Sao Jose72-67
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
22/11/23HPato79-68
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23ASao Paulo74-78
23/12/23HFranca63-75
20/12/23HBauru74-82
12/12/23HMogi84-73
09/12/23APinheiros71-73
04/12/23ABrasilia92-66
02/12/23ACerrado78-74
27/11/23HVasco83-71
23/11/23HBotafogo96-72
21/11/23HFlamengo82-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game74.276.371.9
Allowed / game70.271.369.0
Point differential+4.0+5.0+2.9
Avg total144.5147.7140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%50%67%
Points / game79.578.980.5
Allowed / game73.873.374.5
Point differential+5.8+5.6+6.0
Avg total153.2152.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1513287%84.173.2+10.9
2 Minas1714382%84.873.8+10.9
3 Franca1613381%86.174.0+12.1
4 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
5 Paulistano1712571%74.270.2+4.0
6 Unifacisa1610662%79.876.6+3.2
7 Sao Jose169756%79.573.8+5.8
8 Cearense169756%78.175.9+2.2
9 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
10 Corinthians Paulista168850%81.180.8+0.4
11 Sao Paulo178947%76.779.0-2.3
12 Pinheiros1771041%75.978.5-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul1661038%71.278.9-7.7
14 Pato1761135%75.078.2-3.2
15 Uniao Corinthians1651131%72.080.0-8.0
16 Cerrado1751229%73.474.4-1.1
17 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
18 Brasilia1731418%70.985.4-14.5
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1827291892
Sao Jose2119142579
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