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Paulistano vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-71
18-15 19-13 17-26 26-17
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Sao Jose
04 Nov 2025
PAUL80
SAO 71
13 Feb 2025
PAUL93
SAO 78
29 Dec 2023
PAUL92
SAO 79
20 Dec 2022
PAUL72
SAO 62
15 Oct 2019
PAUL93
SAO 75
20 Nov 2018
PAUL88
SAO 82
09 Mar 2016
PAUL89
SAO 77
09 Apr 2015
PAUL72
SAO 67
07 Apr 2015
PAUL75
SAO 76
16 Dec 2014
PAUL89
SAO 71
23 May 2014
PAUL81
SAO 68
15 May 2014
PAUL78
SAO 83
13 May 2014
PAUL88
SAO 71
25 Jan 2014
PAUL92
SAO 93
09 Mar 2013
PAUL80
SAO 68
14 Jan 2012
PAUL73
SAO 93
25 Mar 2011
PAUL87
SAO 86
18 Mar 2009
PAUL82
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 68
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 68
H22/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
57avg 68
A25/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
52avg 68
A27/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
54-84
54
84
-30
47avg 68
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
65avg 68
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
66-59
66
59
+7
63avg 68
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
51avg 68
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 68
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 68
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
21-18
15-27
18-11
27-27
21-16
25-18
20-16
12-18
18-20
16-21
17-22
21-16
10-21
14-13
17-10
12-23
14-20
12-21
16-20
28-25
8-15
14-17
19-12
13-13
17-19
21-16
15-11
18-21
20-19
18-13
13-18
32-21
20-18
10-26
25-24
13-20
18-20
14-14
9-17
145.5Avg total
70.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.072.5141.5-3.525%
Season at home (2)67.565.0132.5+2.550%
Season away (2)70.580.0150.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)70.974.6145.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)71.275.0146.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.3152.8-5.817%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.675.9150.6-1.350%
vs Weaker (6)84.879.0163.8+5.850%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 73
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 73
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 73
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
67avg 73
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 73
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
83avg 73
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
74avg 73
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
61-57
61
57
+4
60avg 73
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 73
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 73
H01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
23-17
16-30
15-17
16-17
14-25
26-18
19-25
19-25
18-24
25-23
21-17
17-17
20-17
23-21
21-23
28-29
19-25
18-20
18-14
17-18
25-10
16-15
27-19
21-20
16-16
13-17
25-22
10-20
19-13
19-11
13-13
19-20
19-24
11-19
23-25
19-10
23-26
12-14
23-14
156.8Avg total
78.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.271.8148.0+4.460%
Season at home (3)70.069.7139.7+0.367%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)78.078.8156.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)76.271.8148.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.690.2172.8-7.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.180.2159.3-1.241%
vs Weaker (8)77.568.8146.2+8.875%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
PaulistanoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/10
NBB
75.3Avg total
37.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.477.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.478.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.237.476.7+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.375.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.275.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.840.781.5+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.438.476.8+0.039%-
vs Weaker (6)40.236.076.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
NBB
78.3Avg total
38.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.677.8+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.940.380.2-0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.537.475.9+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.878.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.239.778.9-0.559%-
vs Weaker (8)38.535.073.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.0
44.9%
52.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
72.8%13.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.8
52.2%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.5
29.4%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
72.8%13.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLWLLWLWW
Sao Jose
WLWLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#9
-5.5
Net rating
-0.5
99.3
Offensive rating
103.0
104.8
Defensive rating
103.5
45.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.9%
3-point %
29.4%
62.1%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 103.0Defence104.8 · 103.5Shooting45.5% · 48.3%3-point %30.9% · 29.4%Ball care19.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Paulistano wins
0
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Paulistano v Sao Jose93-78
08/11/24Sao Jose v Paulistano62-75
12/04/24Sao Jose v Paulistano64-93
29/12/23Paulistano v Sao Jose92-79
23/03/23Sao Jose v Paulistano71-77
20/12/22Paulistano v Sao Jose72-62
15/10/19Paulistano v Sao Jose93-75
26/03/19Sao Jose v Paulistano65-73
20/11/18Paulistano v Sao Jose88-82
09/03/16Paulistano v Sao Jose89-77
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25ABrasilia54-71
28/10/25ARio Claro87-89
24/10/25HFranca69-71
20/10/25HBauru66-59
03/05/25ABauru80-85 OT
30/04/25HBauru54-84
27/04/25ABauru62-60
25/04/25ABauru63-81
22/04/25HBauru93-77
17/04/25HBrasilia81-69
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HBotafogo77-64
29/10/25HFlamengo72-88
27/10/25HVasco61-57
20/10/25AMinas86-88 OT
18/10/25ACruzeiro85-62
02/05/25HVasco83-88
28/04/25AVasco81-78
26/04/25AVasco83-89
23/04/25HVasco75-85
18/04/25HPato77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.067.570.5
Allowed / game72.565.080.0
Point differential-3.5+2.5-9.5
Avg total141.5132.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game76.270.085.5
Allowed / game71.869.775.0
Point differential+4.4+0.3+10.5
Avg total148.0139.7160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo660100%90.774.2+16.5
2 Minas550100%82.077.8+4.2
3 Franca54180%86.470.0+16.4
4 Pinheiros54180%80.075.0+5.0
5 Brasilia43175%81.063.5+17.5
6 Unifacisa43175%81.075.8+5.2
7 Caxias do Sul43175%75.272.5+2.8
8 Mogi53260%81.466.8+14.6
9 Sao Jose53260%76.271.8+4.4
10 Corinthians Paulista53260%82.078.0+4.0
11 Cearense42250%79.086.2-7.2
12 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
13 Uniao Corinthians31233%73.781.3-7.7
14 Cruzeiro62433%72.382.8-10.5
15 Paulistano41325%69.072.5-3.5
16 Rio Claro51420%82.896.0-13.2
17 Osasco51420%76.491.6-15.2
18 Botafogo61517%70.283.2-13.0
19 Pato4040%73.877.2-3.5
20 Vasco6060%68.779.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1819172680
Sao Jose1513261771
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